
PGA 2026 Pebble Beach odds are in, and golf bettors are zeroing in on top contenders and live long shots for one of the tour’s most iconic coastal tests. This betting preview breaks down outright prices, course-fit stats, and form trends to highlight the best bets at Pebble Beach in 2026, from elite ball-strikers built for small greens to value plays ready to contend if conditions turn windy.
Pebble Beach best bet: Justin Rose (+2500)
Justin Rose to win at Pebble Beach
Rose is coming off a wire-to-wire seven-shot win at the Farmers Insurance Open a couple of weeks ago and should contend this week at Pebble Beach, a course he’s historically thrived at. The 45-year-old won the event in 2023 and finished T3 last year, one year after posting a respectable T11 result. This course sets up well for him, and he knows how to navigate the tricky seaside winds and quickly changing weather conditions the course is known for. He’s also an incredible putter, which keeps him near the top of the leaderboard in most events. Rose finished 12th in putting average and 14th in one-putt percentage on tour last year.
Best long shot bet: Tony Finau (+20000)
We love Finau as our dark horse this week on a course he’s previously played well at Pebble. He finished T13 at the event last year and has never finished worse than T47 in his four career starts at the event. Yes, he’s missed the cut in three of four events to open this PGA season, but he did break through with a T11 result at the Farmers Insurance Open. A six-time winner on the PGA Tour, we’re getting great value on Finau at incredibly long 200-1 odds this week. If you want to play it more conservatively, though, you could back Finau at +333 odds to finish in the top 20.
Pebble Beach betting favourites
Scottie Scheffler (+300) and Rory McIlroy (+1200) top the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds board as betting favourites at most online sportsbooks, commanding short prices for good reason amid a stacked Signature Event field.
Scheffler, the World No. 1, enters as the clear chalk after a T3 at last week’s WM Phoenix Open, where he rebounded from an opening bogey-fest with elite ball-striking. His Pebble history shines—T7 in 2025 with +0.9 SG tee-to-green—and Scheffler’s unmatched iron play (No. 1 SG: Approach) neutralizes the tiny greens while his short-game creativity handles windy conditions. At 300, there’s not much value in backing Scheffler this week.
McIlroy, the defending champion after a 2025 wire-to-playoff win (20 birdies, three eagles), launches his PGA Tour season here at +1300. His Pebble dominance—SG: Off-the-Tee leader last year—pairs with his hot 2026 form (T3 Dubai, T33 Desert Classic), though his green woes linger. His explosive power off the tee suits the layout, and as a proven closer, Rory offers value if his putter heats up for back-to-back titles.
Pebble Beach outright odds (top 10)
| Golfer | Odds |
| Scottie Scheffler | +300 |
| Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +2000 |
| Justin Rose | +2500 |
| Si Woo Kim | +2500 |
| Xander Schauffele | +2500 |
| Viktor Hovland | +2800 |
| Cameron Young | +3000 |
| Chris Gotterup | +3000 |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | +3000 |
Top Canadians in the field
Nick Taylor (+6000): Taylor has the shortest odds of any Canadian in the field this week after posting a T28 result at the Phoenix Open. He’s made the cut in all three events he’s played this year, with his best result coming at the Sony Open in Hawaii (T13). And more importantly, he won this event back in 2020.
Taylor Pendrith (+7000): After an impressive T6 result in Hawaii to open the season, Pendrith has missed the cut in his last two events. However, he posted an impressive T9 result at Pebble Beach last year and managed a T7 finish at the event back in 2023.
Corey Conners (+9000): Conners typically has the shortest odds of any Canadian on any given week, but his slow start to the season has pushed him back to 90-1 to win this week. After a T24 finish in Hawaii, Conners missed the cut at the Phoenix Open. In four career starts at Pebble Beach, Conners has missed the cut twice and finished no higher than T31.
Mackenzie Hughes (+22500): Hughes is coming off a respectable T28 result at the Phoenix Open and holds value as an extreme long shot this week. In seven career starts, his best finish at Pebble Beach was a T10 back in 2017. He also finished T16 at the event in 2022.
