NHL Player Prop Picks For March 9

In this article, Canada Sports Betting’s Nick Martin breaks down two NHL player prop picks that provide value at online sportsbooks on March 9.

We had a frustrating 0-2 reverse sweep on Friday, as we only got half of our point stack of Alex DeBrincat and Lucas Raymond, while our bet on Connor Bedard to score came up short, as he hit a clean post as well as four shots on target. Nothing is guaranteed in sports betting, but the process on the picks seemed reasonable in hindsight. The pair of losses drops our record to +13.08 units on the season nonetheless.

Hopefully, we can bounce back with a better slate Monday, and I’m high on the pair of buy-low opportunities that will be outlined below.

Check out my best NHL player prop bets for March 6 below and tail my picks at any of the top NHL betting sites in Canada.

Matvei Michkov Over 0.5 Points: -105

Michkov was finally awarded the opportunity to play on his off-side Saturday, where he had spent the vast majority of his career before head coach Rick Tocchet switched him to left wing this season. Only one Flyers forward was on the ice for more scoring chances in Saturday’s matchup than Michkov, and he did register a primary assist on Denver Barkey’s game-tying goal.

Barkey has quietly been one of the Flyers’ more effective forwards over the last month, while Noah Cates has has also been in solid form with six points over the last six games. Michkov is expected to remain on his preferred side alongside Barkey and Cates on the second line in this matchup, which is a more favourable role than he has had throughout much of what has been a disappointing season.

A home matchup versus the New York Rangers offers a good opportunity to try to buy low on Michkov in a role that could lead to greater production. Over the last 15 games, the Rangers have allowed 3.93 goals against per game, and look to be a team that is simply playing out the stretch.

This prop will look even more appealing if Travis Konecny is to remain sidelined (day-to-day), as Michkov should remain on the top power play if Konecny is to miss this matchup.

Mackenzie Weegar Over 1.5 Shots on Goal: -130

Head coach André Tourigny awarded Weegar 23:21 of ice time Saturday, and Weegar recorded an assist in what was a strong debut with the Utah Mammoth. Weegar has had a difficult year to this point, but he was playing tough minutes on a very weak Calgary Flames side. He should look much more effective moving forward playing a more suitable role on a Mammoth team that controls play.

I’ve always liked Weegar’s game and am a believer that he will prove to be a strong acquisition for Utah. When true to form, he’s well adept at jumping up in the rush as a fourth attacker and can sift quality point shots through traffic. Both of those strengths seem likely to more consistently be useful on a much higher-quality side.

Weegar likely won’t play quite as many minutes as he did Saturday on average for the Mammoth as he did on Saturday, in a game where Mikhail Sergachev was sidelined. Even still, this seems to be a good time to back Weegar recording two shots while the price is at -130.

Over the last 10 games, Weegar has averaged 4.4 shot attempts per game and he’s attempted 13.45 shots per 60 this season. While it seems logical to expect those marks could rise on his new side, they are still quite reasonable given how much better the price for two shots currently is relative to much of the last three seasons.

Utah should tilt the ice quite heavily in Monday’s matchup versus the Chicago Blackhawks, who will be playing the second leg of a back-to-back after travelling home from Dallas Sunday. The Blackhawks have allowed 27.5 shots against per 60 over the last 15 games and hold a 43.61% expected goal share in that span.

The Blackhawks have allowed the second-most shots on goal per game to defenders this season. I’m not a big believer in shots allowed by position data for forwards because offensive tactics revolve more so around F1, F2, and F3 and not position, but the data is more appealing to me looking at defenders.

Chicago’s wingers collapse low in the defensive zone, and the Mammoth’s defensive core should get plenty of chances off of low-to-high looks in this matchup.

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