With a tremendous 12-game slate to pull from Tuesday, this NHL card presents as an excellent opportunity to take a stab on an anytime goal-scorer parlay. Each of our three selections for March 3 appear to provide standalone value, and they’re worth backing as a long-shot parlay at +3860 odds at the best NHL betting sites.
Anytime goal-scorer bets are among the most exciting bets available in any sport. The rush of hitting a long shot goal-scorer is hard to match, but even the NHL’s top scorers are less than 50% likely to score on average, and it is a volatile market subject to randomness, so as always, we do recommend staying within your means. Regardless of the score, any uncashed goal-scorer bet is still live to win, while hitting this type of wager early in any matchup is also extremely satisfying.
Nick’s AGS parlay
Jonathan Marchessault: +300
Marchessault was elevated onto the Nashville Predators’ top line alongside Steven Stamkos and Ryan O’Reilly for Monday’s matinee versus the Detroit Red Wings and he scored a goal while generating 0.77 individual expected goals from five shot attempts.
Marchessault may only have been elevated onto the top unit to help boost his value ahead of Friday’s trade deadline. The former combination of Stamkos, O’Reilly and Luke Evangelista had been dominant of late, and it’s hard to argue that having Marchessault in that role is likely to yield better results.
Still, it undoubtedly places Marchessault in a much greater role to continue producing offence at a greater rate. After slow starts to the year, both Stamkos and O’Reilly have been in exceptional form of late. Marchessault is a fairly one-dimensional skater at this point in his career, but he is still a capable finishing threat and should continue to get more opportunities in his newfound role.
While the Columbus Blue Jackets have been finding plenty of success where it counts recently, they have still allowed 3.36 xGA/60 over the last 15 games, and 3.19 goals against per game this season. They struggled defensively Monday while playing without Zach Werenski, and Marchessault and the Predators should have a solid chance of managing a respectable offensive output Tuesday in a game featuring a betting total of 6.5 goals.
Connor Bedard: +200
After missing a month of action with an upper-body injury, Bedard was starting to look much more dominant once again with three goals in his final four games prior to the layoff. It seemed logical to expect Bedard might have a chip on his shoulder coming out of the break after being left off Team Canada, and that’s looked to be the case as he’s registered two goals and 12 shots on goal in three games since the restart.
Over the last 13 games, Bedard has averaged 0.49 individual expected goals per game and 5.84 shot attempts per game. He’s put up six goals where it counts in that span, which is a perfectly strong level of production relative to a +200 price tag, especially given that he is one of the game’s more talented shooters and has been getting plenty of chances.
A road matchup versus the shorthanded Winnipeg Jets offers a solid spot to target Bedard in this market. The Jets will remain without top defender Josh Morrissey, and have allowed 3.20 goals against per game since December 1st. Bedard has fared well versus Connor Hellebuyck historically, and that trend may be particularly likely to hold true Tuesday, as aside from his play at the Olympics, Hellebuyck has been surprisingly poor in goal this season.
Cutter Gauthier: +230
With eight goals over his last 11 games played, Gauthier is now up to 26 on the season and should be a safe bet to hit the 30-goal plateau. No player in the NHL has attempted more shots per 60 (25.09), and only Brady Tkachuk has generated more shots on target per 60 than Gauthier.
Over the last 12 games, Gauthier has averaged 4.13 shots on goal per game and averaged 0.54 individual expected goals. His overall volume is boosted by some low-percentage shots, to be sure, but he does offer an elite release and is getting enough high-end looks to suggest his recent production is sustainable.
Gauthier has also seemingly benefitted from playing alongside Leo Carlsson, who is the Ducks’ top offensive player and best playmaker. Gauthier spent much of January playing alongside relative no-names on the third line, and his new role alongside Carlsson should continue to mean being on the receiving end of more high quality setups.
The Colorado Avalanche provide a tough matchup for production, but they will be playing the second leg of a back-to-back Tuesday, and have been less effective defensively of late, having allowed 3.20 goals against per game over the last 20 matchups.
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