Our three best NHL anytime goal scorer parlay picks for March 24th prices out at +2766 for bettors looking to take a chance on a lottery ticket on the best NHL betting sites. The picks also appear to hold standalone value as straight bets, something worth noting given that we have had lots of success hitting two of our three legs on these bets this season.
Anytime goal-scorer bets are among the most exciting bets available in any sport. The rush of hitting a long shot goal scorer is hard to match, but even the NHL’s top scorers are less than 50% likely to score on average, and it is a volatile market subject to randomness, so as always, we do recommend staying within your means. Regardless of the score, any uncashed goal-scorer bet is still live to win, while hitting this type of wager early in any matchup is also extremely satisfying.
Nick’s AGS parlay
Anthony Mantha +350
Backing Mantha to record over 1.5 shots on goal made the cut for Tuesday’s player props best bets article, and at a long price of +350, there also appears to be value in backing Mantha to score.
It has been confirmed that Evgeni Malkin will miss Tuesday’s matchup versus the Colorado Avalanche due to injury. As a result, Mantha will be elevated back onto the Penguins’ second line alongside Tommy Novak and Egor Chinakhov, as well as the Penguins’ top power-play unit.
During Malkin’s recent five-game suspension, Mantha skated in the same roles and scored four goals in five games. Mantha has a heavy and accurate wrist shot, and has been getting a lot of chances from dangerous locations of the ice this season en route to a total of 26 goals.
Per NHL Edge data, Mantha has 52 shots on goal from high-danger locations this season. For reference, Nathan MacKinnon only has only 15 more high-danger shots, while Macklin Celebrini and Cutter Gauthier both have fewer shots from high danger locations than Mantha.
So while his 20% shooting percentage does scream regression, Mantha’s high shooting percentage certainly has much to do with the quality of chances he is taking on average.
The Avalanche seem to be cleaning up their game defensively ahead of what will likely be a long postseason run, but we can live with the tough matchup given the long price tag for a skater with 26 goals on the season who is now skating in a more favourable role for production.
Cole Caufield +145
Dating back to our Anytime Goal Scorer’s parlay piece on January 15th, I’ve outlined Caufield to score in the vast majority of the Montreal Canadiens matchups. My general contention throughout the last two months has been that oddsmakers continue to hang too-long prices for Caufield to score, given how talented of a shooter he is and the amount of quality chances he continues to generate.
Since January 15th, Caufield has scored 22 goals in 21 games, so our continued belief in his production has obviously worked out quite well. He now sits just two goals back of MacKinnon in the race for the Rocket Richard Trophy, and it wouldn’t be the least bit surprising if he could close that gap the rest of the way.
Caufield was priced at +140 to score on the day of the aforementioned January 15th article, which illustrates that oddsmakers really aren’t buying into his recent goal-scoring spree as sustainable.
While the Carolina Hurricanes defend well and generally allow very few shots, they have still allowed 3.31 goals against in 13 games since the restart. Tuesday’s game features a high total of 6.5, and it does not appear to be a notably poor matchup for Caufield to continue his torrid run of production.
Filip Forsberg +170
Forsberg has been playing at an incredibly high level of late, and is a major reason the Nashville Predators are suddenly holding down the final playoff spot out West.
Forsberg had an especially dominant performance on Sunday versus the Chicago Blackhawks, as he registered two goals and an assist, including a nice overtime winner, and what would have been an assist-of-the-year candidate to Steven Stamkos.
Over the last four games, Forsberg has put up nine points and poured 12 shots on target. He’s had 20 shot attempts in that span, and averaged 0.53 individual expected goals per game.
The San Jose Sharks are still far from good defensively, which is a key reason their surprising bid for a playoff berth is likely to come up short. They have allowed 4.01 xGA/60 over the last 10 games, and they hold the second highest goals against average in the NHL this season.
Forsberg’s play has been eye-popping of late, and at +170, we are getting a good price to see if he can produce another goal in a highly favourable matchup on home ice Tuesday.
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