Kicking off Week 15 with a massive matchup that could dictate who emerges as the 2025 NFC South Champion, the Atlanta Falcons will travel to the Sunshine State to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. With huge NFL playoff implications on the line in this matchup as the Bucs look to regain control of the division, meanwhile the Falcons aspire to play the spoiler, you can take the action to the next level with our Falcons vs. Buccaneers same game parlay for Thursday Night Football Week 15.
Below, you can find each leg featured in our moneymaking Falcons vs. Buccaneers same game parlay, as well as expert insight & analysis on each pick so you can gain in-depth knowledge as to why each pick is a good look.
Get ready to stuff your stocking full of cash this holiday season with our Falcons vs. Buccaneers same game parlay.
- Under 44.5 Points (-110)
- Bijan Robinson 80+ Rushing Yards (+115)
- Baker Mayfield Under 220.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Matt’s Falcons vs. Buccaneers Same Game Parlay
Under 44.5 Points (-110)
In a high-stakes tilt airing in primetime, don’t expect an explosive contest between these NFC South foes; instead, sit down and enjoy a methodical, calculated clash that results in Under 44.5 points.
Pitting two teams that have begun to sputter offensively in recent weeks, points are set to come at a premium on Thursday Night Football. For the Falcons, they’ve had little to no consistency in finding the end zone, averaging just 19.4 points per game throughout the season, highlighted by their Week 14 defeat to the Seahawks, when they managed only nine total points.
To make matters worse, the Falcons will once again be without their star wide receiver, Drake London, who will miss his fourth straight game due to a knee injury.
While they started the season gangbusters, the Buccaneers have had similar offensive troubles in recent weeks, averaging just 15.7 points per game over their last three, the fifth-fewest in the NFL in that span. With a noticeable drop-off in production from rookie receiver Emeka Egbuka, as well as the plateaued ability of Chris Godwin, Baker Mayfield has been left alone on an island when dropping back to pass as of late, leading to a major decrease in offensive success.
As both teams come into this duel with their offences ice cold, look for the scoreboard to remain frozen as the Falcons vs. Buccaneers results in Under 44.5 points scored.
Bijan Robinson 80+ Rushing Yards (+115)
The Falcons may be one of the least-effective offences in the NFL this season, but that tag certainly can’t be attributed to the play of star running back Bijan Robinson. In his third NFL season, Robinson has exploded in production and has quickly evolved into one of the game’s best rushers. With no team in the NFL having solved the answer as to how to stop him, bank on Robinson to rattle off 80+ rushing yards against the Buccaneers.
After starting off his 2025 campaign against the Buccaneers, Robinson was held to just 24 yards on the ground, but managed to pile up 100 receiving yards in a 23-20 loss to open the season. With revenge on his mind and plenty of momentum behind him, Robinson is primed for a big day on the ground against the Buccaneers.
Having torched defences over his last five games as a rusher, Robinson has recorded 80+ yards on the ground in four of his last five games. With an increased focus on putting the ball in his hands out of the backfield, Robinson has seen his rushing attempts increase exponentially in recent weeks, with three of his four highest rushing totals in a game coming over the last four weeks.
With the offence now firmly cemented around the play of Robinson, look for him to make magic happen on the ground as he quickly racks up 80+ rushing yards against the Buccaneers.
Baker Mayfield Under 220.5 Passing Yards (-110)
After looking like a possible MVP candidate in the first half of the 2025 NFL season, Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield has seen his production drop significantly as he’s struggled to connect with his receivers for big gains. With several mediocre stat lines in recent weeks, hammer the Under on Mayfield’s passing yard total.
While his numbers have certainly looked better, this has less to do with Mayfield and more to do with his supporting cast. After kicking off the year as one of the top young wideouts in the NFL, rookie wide receiver Emeka Egbuka has struggled mightily down the stretch of the season. Currently fourth in the NFL in total drops and sporting the seventh-worst catch percentage in the league, its safe to say there have been some growing pains for the young prospect out of Ohio State.
Additionally, at wide receiver two, Mayfield isn’t getting much better help as former Pro Bowl receiver Chris Godwin is on pace for the lowest receiving yards season of his career, amidst a myriad of injuries.
With his receivers proving unreliable, Mayfield’s passing yardage has taken a noticeable hit as a result. Having finished with Under 220.5 passing yards in five of his last six games played, fade his statistical output against a top-10 passing defence in A.J. Terrell Jr. and the Falcons in Week 15.