The Blue Jays vs Rockies odds make Toronto a huge home favourite in Monday’s matchup at Rogers Centre, and the betting value may be in the props rather than the side. Cody Ponce’s return to MLB comes against a Colorado lineup that has already shown swing-and-miss concerns, making his over strikeouts prop one of the most interesting betting angles on the board today.
Blue Jays vs. Rockies best bet
Cody Ponce over 5.5 strikeouts: -105 @ Betano
Ponce over 5.5 strikeouts
Ponce will surely want to make a huge statement when he makes his return to MLB following a five-year hiatus, and he should have no issues mowing down a weak Rockies lineup that is prone to strikeouts. Only the Los Angeles Angels (1,627) struck out more than the Rockies (1,531) last season, and Colorado already has 30 strikeouts over its first three games (average of 10 per game).
Given the element of surprise that Ponce has in the matchup, he should have no issues on Monday replicating his Spring Training strikeout rate, which fell just short of one per inning. No one on the Colorado roster has faced the right-hander before.
In 2025, Ponce dominated in the KBO league, posting a 17-1 record with a 1.89 ERA and 252 strikeouts in 180 2/3 innings. And although those numbers are impressive, bettors do need to note that MLB hitters are far superior to the competition Ponce faced in the KBO.
You’ll find the best Blue Jays vs Rockies odds on this player prop at Betano.
Blue Jays vs. Rockies odds
| Blue Jays moneyline odds | -290 |
| Rockies moneyline odds | +235 |
| Run line odds | Blue Jays -1.5 (-130), Rockies +1.5 (+110) |
| Game total | Over 8.5 runs (-115), Under 8.5 (-105) |
| Date/Time | March 30, 7:07 p.m. ET |
Betting the Blue Jays (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS, 1-2 o/u)
It was an ideal opening weekend for the Blue Jays, who completed a three-game sweep of the Athletics at Rogers Centre. Two of those three wins came in comeback fashion, with Ernie Clement and Andres Gimenez providing exciting walk-off hits for the fans.
Bettors should note that Toronto has an extremely soft opening schedule. After three games with the Athletics, the Blue Jays host the Rockies for three games before leaving for Chicago for a three-game set with the Chicago White Sox. All three of those opponents were projected to be well under .500 this season.
Betting the Rockies (0-3 SU, 3-0 ATS, 0-3 o/u)
The Rockies were the worst team in baseball with a miserable 41-121 record last season, and they’re off to another poor start in 2026 after getting swept by the Miami Marlins in their opening series. However, they did cover the run line in each of those three games, suffering one-run defeats in each contest.
Oddsmakers set Colorado’s season win total at 55.5 wins for this season, but popular projection systems at FanGraphs and PECOTA have the Rockies winning over 60 games. But make no mistake, this team is still rebuilding and won’t be making the jump to a playoff contender for quite some time.
Probable starting pitchers
Toronto: RHP Cody Ponce
The reigning MVP of the Korea Baseball Organization, Ponce will be making his first MLB start since 2001. Armed with a new splitter and improved velocity, the 31-year-old right-hander is an ideal spot to kick off his second MLB stint against a weak Rockies lineup.
Ponce thrived in Spring Training, allowing just a single run over 13 2/3 innings of work while recording 12 strikeouts. He earned the fourth spot in Toronto’s starting rotation due to numerous injuries to other starting pitchers, but he certainly has the pitch arsenal to compete at the big-league level.
Colorado: RHP Tomoyuki Sugano
Sugano will be making his Rockies debut on Monday night after a mediocre campaign with the Baltimore Orioles. The 36-year-old right-hander pitched to a 10-10 record with a 4.64 ERA and 1.33 WHIP over 157 innings for the Orioles in his MLB rookie season, earning him a one-year deal worth $5.1 million with the Rockies this offseason.
From an analytics perspective, Sugano isn’t very impressive across the board with a 5.81 xERA and .289 xBA last season. However, he does boast an elite walk rate, ranking in the 92nd percentile (5.3%), so don’t expect Toronto to get very many free passes on Monday night.
Sugano throws a split finger the majority of the time, which is his only plus pitch, holding the opposition to a .218 batting average and .248 xBA. His other five pitches all have ugly advanced metrics.
Notable injuries
The Blue Jays are pretty banged up for this early in the season, with OF Anthony Santander (shoulder), P Yimi Garcia (elbow), P Trey Yesavage (shoulder), P Shane Bieber (elbow), and P Jose Berrios (elbow) all opening the year on the injured list. P Mason Fluharty is also day-to-day with a knee contusion.
The Rockies also have early injury issues, with OF Mickey Moniak (finger), P RJ Petit (elbow), OF Tyler Freeman (back) and P McCade Brown (shoulder) all on the IL.
Weather
Rain and cool temperatures will keep the retractable dome at Rogers Centre closed for this contest.
Blue Jays vs. Rockies betting trends
- The Rockies have hit the F5 innings team total under in 52 of their past 79 away games.
- The Blue Jays have covered the F5 innings run line in 16 of their past 21 games.
- Toronto has hit the team total over in 76 of its past 125 games.
Blue Jays F5 run line -1.5
Blue Jays vs. Rockies player prop trends
- Ernie Clement is riding a 13-game hitting streak dating back to last season and is -225 to get a hit.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded over 1.5 total bases in five straight games and eight of his last 10 dating back to last season. He’s -114 to exceed that mark on Monday night.
- Andres Gimenez has struck out at least once in seven straight games dating back to last season and is -137 to extend that streak.