Game 3 of the American League Championship Series between the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners will get underway at 8:08 p.m. ET, with the Mariners holding a commanding 2-0 lead in their best-of-seven series.
Our best Blue Jays player prop bet for ALCS Game 3 is George Springer over 0.5 runs scored.
George Springer over 0.5 runs scored
George Springer over 0.5 runs scored
If the Blue Jays are to get back in this series, they’ll need George Springer to rise to the occasion as a spark plug for the offence hitting out of the leadoff spot.
Springer has scored at least one run in five of six postseason games for the Blue Jays and eight of his last 10 games overall. Additionally, he’s beaten this line at exactly a 50% rate overall this season, including the playoffs (72-for-144). He’s also scored at least once in six of eight games against Seattle this season.
Bet99 is offering the best MLB odds on this Springer player prop at +125, which has an implied probability of 44.4%, so we’re getting great value on this prop based on Springer’s hit rate of 50% this season and his recent ability to get on base and plate runs during these playoffs.
Springer has also fared well historically against Seattle’s starting pitcher for Game 3, George Kirby. He’s 3-for-8 with a solid .444 on-base percentage against the right-hander, which should bode well from a confidence perspective heading into this crucial matchup for the Blue Jays.
Shane Bieber over 3.5 hits allowed
Shane Bieber over 3.5 hits allowed
If you’re looking for another ALCS Game 3 prop play, look no further than Shane Bieber over 3.5 hits allowed.
The right-hander has been touched up for four hits or more in seven of his eight starts this season, including each of the last seven, with a median of five hits allowed in that span.
Bieber didn’t face the Mariners during the regular season, but he’s historically had a fair amount of success against the players currently on Seattle’s roster, surrendering a combined .229/.263/.275 slash line with a .538 OPS in 109 at-bats to Mariners hitters. J.P. Crawford (6-for-12) and Jorge Polanco (8-for-29) have had the most success against Toronto’s Game 3 starting pitcher.
In 29 2/3 career innings pitched at T-Mobile Park, Bieber has allowed 26 hits and just five earned runs (1.52 ERA and 1.11 WHIP).
Seattle’s offence has tallied 17 hits against Toronto through two games in this series, which falls roughly in line with its season average of 8.28 per game (ranked 17th in the majors during the regular season).