The upcoming World Cup qualifying match between Georgia and Spain at the Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena in Tbilisi on November 15, 2025, offers a fascinating clash of contrasting ambitions and styles.
Spain, reigning European champions and dominant favorites in Group E, arrive unbeaten and aiming to secure automatic qualification for the 2026 World Cup with another commanding performance.
Meanwhile, Georgia fights to keep their slim playoff hopes alive, relying heavily on home support and the attacking prowess of Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. With Spain’s flawless defensive record and Georgia’s urgent need for points, this soccer match is set to be a thrilling test of resilience and skill on the road to the World Cup.
Our best bet for Georgia vs. Spain is for Spain to win on the Asian Handicap (-1.5).
Georgia vs. Spain best bet
Spain -1.5 Asian Handicap
Spain failed to convert most of its chances the last time it faced Georgia, but still managed a 2-0 win. The same outcome would result in a half-payout as we back the away side at -1.5 on the Asian Handicap as part of our Georgia vs Spain predictions. However, we are hoping that Luis de la Fuente’s side is more ruthless and records an emphatic win.
De la Fuente promotes high-intensity pressing, quick passing movements, and getting the ball to his mercurial wide players, which is enough to cause problems for any team.
Lamine Yamal won’t participate in this game due to injury, but La Roja created an abundance of chances without its talismanic wide player against Georgia in October. In that game, Spain finished with 3.53 more xG (expected goals) than the underdogs. The forwards will want to be less wasteful this time around, which should help this Asian handicap pick to be a winner.
The last time Georgia hosted Spain, it wound up losing 7-1. On that occasion, La Roja had a total of 33 shots and was credited with creating seven big chances. We should see a similar level of domination once again.
Georgia was comprehensively beaten 4-1 by Turkiye in its last game. The defensive lapses will be a real concern for Willy Sagnol, as his team gears up to take on the number-one-ranked team in the world, so Spain to win by three or more appeals.
Georgia vs. Spain match context
Spain has been impeccable, winning all four games without conceding a goal and scoring 15 times. The Euro 2024 champions need just three points from their next two fixtures to qualify directly to the World Cup. Everything suggests that Luis de la Fuente’s side will get the job done early in Tbilisi.
Spain’s recent 4-0 success over Bulgaria highlighted, once more, why La Roja remains the main favourite to win next summer’s tournament.
Even without the likes of Pedri and Lamine Yamal, both injured, Mikel Oyarzabal’s fine form ensures Spain will not be short of goals come Saturday.
In contrast, Georgia’s campaign has been disappointing, with recent back-to-back defeats, 4-1 against Turkey and 2-0 in Alicante last month, diminishing its World Cup hopes.
Willy Sagnol’s side is an exciting team to watch, but faces a daunting prospect against Spain, who have beaten them in all eight previous encounters. As Spain aims to extend its perfect run, a high-scoring affair could be on the cards.
Georgia vs. Spain odds discussion
The Georgia vs Spain odds have the visiting side installed as -400 favourites on the 1×2 market. That shouldn’t surprise many, following the 2-0 home win in Spain, where Georgia recorded just one attempt in the entire 90 minutes.
The 0.01 expected goal (xG) total for Georgia in the recent meeting tells the story of a dominant home win. However, the 2-0 scoreline in October should have been much more convincing for Spain. The hosts recorded ten big chances to Georgia’s zero, recording 3.54 xG.
The Asian handicap in Georgia has Spain needing to overcome a -1.75 Asian handicap. If Spain had been more clinical in last month’s head-to-head meeting, this Asian handicap line would presumably be much bigger. Spain has to win by two clear goals on the -1.75 Asian handicap line to return punters’ profits.
The Georgia vs Spain odds have a goal line of over/under 3.0. Considering the ten big chances Spain created against Georgia only last month, this could be a goal line to attack.
Interestingly, our internal data projection model, BETSiE, predicts a match goal output of 3.13 when Spain travels to Georgia. The forecasted total is split 0.62 for Georgia and 2.50 for Spain.