Tuesday’s World Cup qualifier brings the spotlight to Belgrade as Serbia hosts England in a high-stakes Group C soccer clash. Both teams will look to secure valuable points on their path to the 2026 tournament. England, energized by a young core and clinical attack, faces a resilient Serbian squad eager to capitalize on home advantage. Expect intensity, quality, and no shortage of crucial moments as these European rivals battle for a place on world football’s biggest stage.
Our best bet for this match is Harry Kane to score at -125 odds (bet365).
England vs. Serbia best bet
Harry Kane to score
Harry Kane is enjoying the best season of his career at Bayern Munich. The striker has hardly put a foot wrong in front of goal. He spearheads a hugely creative England attack, so chances should fall his way here. As a result, we are backing Harry Kane to find the net as part of our England vs Serbia predictions.
Kane has scored 23 goals across 17 competitive matches for Bayern this season. Incredibly, he is averaging a goal every 60 minutes played, and comes into this international break having scored a decisive equalizing goal against Union Berlin in injury time.
Harry is also in excellent form for England. He netted twice in the 5-0 win over Latvia. The former Tottenham forward also scored a headed goal from a corner in the 5-0 win over Serbia. Kane is lethal as both a poacher and an attacker who drops into deeper areas to influence the game. His versatility will make it difficult for Serbia to keep him under wraps in this World Cup qualifier.
Over the past 12 months, Kane has scored an average of 1.03 goals per 90 minutes played, meaning he ranks in the top 1% of forwards across Europe’s top five leagues for goals per 90. Harry is lethal from open play and the penalty spot, and with England likely to put Serbia under immense pressure, a spot kick is a distinct possibility here.
The England vs Serbia odds of -125 for Kane to score represent good value given the extraordinary form the player is in.
He has been priced a lot shorter in the majority of matches this season.
England vs. Serbia odds discussion
Serbia registered 0.03xG (expected goals) and just three attempts during England’s most recent visit to Belgrade. September’s hosts went down to 10 men following a 72nd-minute red card and failed to have a shot following the dismissal. Even with the full eleven, Serbia never looked like scoring.
Therefore, the -333 price on an England win at Wembley in the 1×2 market makes sense. That implies a home win probability of 76.9%. Despite England already qualifying early for the World Cup and Serbia needing a win here to have a realistic chance of qualification, the gap in quality might be too big for the visiting nation.
The odds compilers have set an Asian handicap of +1.5 for Serbia. This line requires Serbia to avoid defeat by a margin of two goals or more. The 0-5 scoreline during the most recent international break in September may be off-putting for the majority of bettors considering a pro-Serbian angle.
England haven’t conceded in any of the six World Cup qualifying games up until this point.
The Both Teams To Score-No option is the favorite compared to the Yes odds-against selection, with one or both teams failing to score commanding an odds-on price.
England vs. Serbia analysis
England has a perfect record in qualifying, so there is no jeopardy coming into the Serbia clash. However, Thomas Tuchel will want to see his players perform as he ponders the best 11 ahead of the World Cup. Serbia is eight points behind, and the gulf in class should be evident.
Under Tuchel, England presses intently and aims to dominate the game. In six competitive matches under the new manager, the Three Lions average 76% possession. Territorial control has helped the English average 19.67 shots per game and concede just 3.5. This meeting with Serbia should be a similar story, with the home side’s creative players queueing up to make an impact.
In the reverse fixture, Serbia accumulated an xG (expected goals) of 0.02, which doesn’t bode well as it prepares for the trip to Wembley. Set pieces will provide a rare opportunity for the visitors to trouble Jordan Pickford, but those will be limited, with England set to be in the ascendancy from start to finish.