The upcoming World Cup qualifying match between Albania and England, set for November 16, 2025, at Arena Kombëtare in Tirana, is a crucial finale for both teams in Group K.
England, having secured an unblemished record so far in the qualifiers and dominating with a perfect defensive slate, aim to maintain their 100% winning streak and set new records.
Meanwhile, Albania, buoyed by a recent string of high-impact wins and eager to keep their World Cup hopes alive via the playoffs, will rely on their passionate home crowd and standout players like Armando Broja. This soccer clash sets the stage for a tactical and emotionally charged battle, with England eyeing history and Albania fighting to defy the odds in front of their fans.
Our best bet for Albania vs. England is England to win to nil.
Albania vs. England best bet
England to win to nil
England has showcased impressive form, securing seven wins out of seven games with a goal difference of 20-0, meaning they’ve maintained an impeccable record of clean sheets and average nearly three goals per game.
Despite this success, they are not known for pursuing emphatic victories, as demonstrated in their recent 2-0 win over Serbia.
Looking ahead, while the upcoming match against Albania might not carry significant stakes, maintaining a clean sheet and completing the group stage in perfect form is crucial for the team’s morale. As a result, we are backing England to win to nil, despite playing away.
England’s defensive prowess is further highlighted by its impressive xGA (expected goals against) statistics. Only Spain has conceded fewer xGA this season, with England facing a mere 1.6 xGA across seven matches.
Albania’s secure spot in the playoffs and its passive play style further enhance England’s defensive stability, as it reduces Albania’s motivation to pursue a win aggressively in this fixture.
The offensive output is modest, with just 7.0 xG, ranking them 29th out of 54 teams. They’ve created merely ten big chances in seven games, a statistic unlikely to trouble England’s resilient defense.
Supporting this view, our internal projection model estimates just 0.32 goals for Albania, reflecting a challenge too steep to overcome against the Three Lions’ stable backline. This defensive solidity suggests England is well-positioned to secure another win-to-nil in the upcoming match.
Albania vs. England match context
Albania’s victory over Andorra makes this an insignificant fixture in terms of points in the standings, as both sides take strides towards the summer tournament.
England has already qualified for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Albania will need to navigate the World Cup playoffs, with this England game giving Sylvinho a chance to assess his entire squad.
The bookmakers have priced England as heavy -263 favorites in the Albania vs England odds, implying a 72.5% probability of victory.
Our Albania vs England predictions align with the bookmakers and favor the visiting side. After all, this is an England team that has yet to concede a single goal after seven matches.
Thomas Tuchel’s England side could become the only nation ever to navigate a qualifying campaign consisting of over six matches without conceding a goal.
Albania vs. England odds analysis
The Albania vs England odds, as expected, favour the visitors. A -263 away win price in the 1×2 market implies a 72.5% probability of an England victory.
The odds compilers have handed England a -1.25 Asian handicap away in Albania. This handicap requires England to win by a two-goal margin, which it has achieved in six of seven qualifying matches.
England’s 0-1 win against Andorra away from home was the only time Thomas Tuchel’s side failed to cover the handicap, despite recording 2.28 xG and six big chances.
Our internal data projection model, BETSiE, forecasts only 2.21 xG in this upcoming fixture. The 2.21 projected goals are split 0.32 for Albania and 1.89 for England. Only two goals arrived during Albania’s trip to England. The Albanians have experienced a low-scoring, low-margin qualifying phase.
If the recent head-to-head is anything to go by, with Albania accumulating 0.00 xG after 90 minutes of football, BETSiE’s low goal projection might be correct. The current Asian goal line in the Albania vs England odds is set at over/under 2.5 goals.