Published: January 8, 2026 | Last Updated:
Title implications and elite talent collide as Arsenal host Liverpool in a thrilling Premier League showdown today. With both soccer clubs battling near the top of the table, this fixture promises intensity, goals, and major betting intrigue. We break down the latest odds, key storylines, and best bets for one of the most anticipated matches of the season.
Arsenal vs. Liverpool best bet
Our best bet for Thursday’s Premier League match between Arsenal and Liverpool is both teams to score at -125 odds.
Both teams to score
- Much has been made of Arsenal’s defensive prowess this season, but they have been leaking goals in their more recent matches. Mikel Arteta’s side have conceded in five of their last six Premier League matches. Arsenal have also conceded in their last four competitive matches at the Emirates.
- Arsenal’s attacking output is superb. They have had to contend with injuries to several key attackers in the first half of the season, but still have the second-most goals and the second-highest xG (expected goals) in the Premier League.
- Mikel Arteta’s side have scored in all 15 of their competitive matches at the Emirates this season, netting an average of 2.53 goals per game.
- Despite their struggles this season, Liverpool comes into this game on an eight-match unbeaten run in the league. Arne Slot’s side have scored in seven of those matches, netting an average of 1.75 goals per game.
- Arsenal are the clear favourites for this game, but they have found it incredibly difficult to keep a clean sheet against Liverpool. In fact, Arteta’s team have conceded in the last 11 head-to-heads between these sides. Arsenal’s previous Premier League clean sheet against Liverpool came way back in 2015.
Arsenal vs. Liverpool match analysis
- The Premier League leaders, Arsenal host last season’s champions, Liverpool.
- 14 points separate the two teams in the Premier League table. Arsenal need to win to continue their push for a first Premier League title since 2004. Liverpool need to win to stay in the fight for the top four.
- Liverpool won 1-0 in the reverse fixture at Anfield back in August. It was one of just two Premier League matches the Gunners have lost all season. It is still the only match in all competitions this season in which Arsenal failed to score.
- Liverpool (28) have conceded twice as many goals as Arsenal have (14) in the Premier League this season.
- Arsenal have the best home record in the Premier League. They’ve won nine and drawn one of their 10 home matches in the league this season. The Gunners kept clean sheets in half of them.
- Liverpool lead the Premier League for average ball possession this season. They’ve held possession for an average of 61.5% of their matches. Arsenal are in third on 58.6%. That may be the key to this match: which side controls the ball.
- Liverpool (334) and Arsenal (333) have completed the most passes into the opposition box in the Premier League season.
- Set pieces could be crucial here. No Premier League side has scored more goals from set pieces than Arsenal this season (12). The Gunners also have the highest expected goals from set pieces and have taken the second-most shots. Liverpool struggle to defend set pieces. No side has conceded more goals from set pieces than Liverpool have this season (13). 46.43% of the goals Liverpool have conceded so far this campaign in the league have come from set pieces.
Arsenal vs. Liverpool odds analysis
- The Arsenal vs Liverpool odds firmly favour the hosts. In the 1X2 market, Arsenal’s price implies around a 63% chance of victory, while Liverpool are given just a 20% implied probability.
- In the Asian handicap market, the current line is: -1.0 Asian handicap for Arsenal and +1.0 Asian handicap for Liverpool. For the Arsenal -1.0 Asian handicap selection, the Gunners need to win by two or more goals for full profit. If they win by exactly one, all stakes are refunded.
- A draw or Liverpool win means the Arsenal -1.0 selection loses. For the Liverpool +1.0 Asian handicap, avoiding defeat returns full profit, while a one-goal loss results in stakes being returned.
- The Asian goal line is set at over/under 2.75 goals. Over 2.75 requires at least four goals in the game for full profit. If exactly three goals are scored, the over 2.75 selection returns half profits. Two goals or fewer mean any bettors on the ‘Over’ side of this Asian goal line lose.
- In the anytime goalscorer market, Arsenal dominate. Five Gunners are priced shorter than Liverpool’s most favoured option, Hugo Ekitike. This is an unusual dynamic for a Liverpool match, but it is understandable given the bookmaker’s view on the upcoming fixture and Arsenal’s home form.
- Gabriel Jesus and Viktor Gyökeres lead the betting in the anytime goalscorer market, with Bukayo Saka just behind. Saka has scored in each of his last three Premier League home games against Liverpool; no Arsenal player has ever managed four in a row against Liverpool at home in Premier League history.