Premier League Odds: Arsenal vs. Everton Best Bet

Premier League Odds: Arsenal vs. Everton Best Bet kicks off this weekend as the Gunners host struggling Everton at the Emirates. With Arsenal chasing the Premier League title and favored at -200 on the moneyline, our top pick in this soccer match targets Arsenal to win to nil.

Arsenal vs. Everton best bet

• Arsenal are set to host Everton in a pivotal match as they strive to maintain their lead at the top of the Premier League. With a challenging schedule ahead and ambitions of securing a quadruple, expect Mikel Arteta to once again emphasize his team’s defensive strengths.
• Arsenal remain one of the best defensive teams in Europe, most recently demonstrating its solidity in the back with a 1-0 win over Brighton. The Gunners left the Seagulls to just 0.82 xG, and we can expect a similar performance here again.
• Despite Everton’s impressive form, with 21 points from their last 10 away matches, their games tend to see fewer goals, totalling only 19 goals over that span. No team has seen more games stay under the 2.5 goal line than the Toffees, with 19 such matches.
• In other words, David Moyes’ side are not one to prefer open games, and their lack of concrete firepower could see them stay to nil here. Arsenal have already kept 14 clean sheets, and will look to extend this record.
• Everton rank 15th in the league for goals scored, averaging just 1.2 per match, further supporting the view that Arsenal could secure a win-to-nil against a team lacking in offensive firepower.

Arsenal vs. Everton match context

• Premier League leaders Arsenal host in-form Everton in another crucial title test on Saturday (17:30 local time). Mikel Arteta’s men are looking to maintain their grip on the Premier League title race following a productive week for the North London side.
• The Gunners have extended their lead over Manchester City at the top of the table to seven points, capitalizing on the Citizens’ recent 2-2 home draw with Nottingham Forest while securing their third consecutive league win at Brighton.
• Mikel Arteta’s side arrive in high spirits after progressing to the FA Cup quarter-finals last Saturday, where goals from Noni Madueke and Eberechi Eze secured a 2-1 victory away at Mansfield Town.
• Everton travel to the capital in their best form of the season, having secured back-to-back league wins to climb to eighth in the table—sitting just one point behind Brentford in the race for European qualification.
• This fixture has been brought forward to Saturday evening to accommodate Arsenal’s congested schedule, as they prepare for the second leg of their Champions League round-of-16 tie against Leverkusen.
• Despite Everton’s recent resurgence, oddsmakers have installed the hosts as overwhelming favourites, with the latest odds giving Arsenal a 50% probability of winning the encounter by at least a two-goal margin.

Arsenal vs. Everton head-to-head

• It took only one goal to decide the first matchup of the season between Arsenal and Everton. Arsenal won on the road 1-0 with Viktor Gyökeres converting a penalty in the first half of the game. 
• Arsenal have not lost to Everton in their last six games. During that period, Arsenal have won four games while two ended in a draw. 
• Arsenal have defeated Everton to nil two times in their last five, winning both times 1-0. Both teams have scored in two out of the five most recent games between Arsenal and Everton. 
• Only seven goals have been scored in the last five games between Arsenal and Everton, averaging 1.4 goals per game, with only one game ending with three goals scored.

Arsenal vs. Everton odds analysis

• Arsenal’s win price in the 1×2 market implies a 73% probability of winning, while Everton’s odds suggest a 10% chance of an away win.
• The Asian line is set at -1.25 for Arsenal. The hosts will need to record a two-goal margin win at Emirates Stadium to make profits for any Arsenal punters on this Asian line. Everton will return profits on this line with a positive result or even with a one-goal margin defeat.
• The Asian goal line is set at over/under 2.50 goals. Three goals are needed on the over 2.5 line to make a profit, while two goals or fewer will yield returns for any bettors going for under 2.5 goals.