
Canada faces Colombia in an international soccer friendly on October 14th at 8 p.m. ET in New Jersey, with the match serving as a significant tune-up for Canada’s preparations ahead of co-hosting the 2026 World Cup. From a betting perspective, this encounter presents distinct storylines driven by form, squad changes, and tactical contrasts, alongside several prop and outcome markets worth considering.
Canada vs. Colombia best bet
Colombia result/both teams to score
Colombia’s attacking depth and form stabilize their favorite status, while Canada’s roster shuffles and defensive question marks temper confidence for a home crowd. Expect a competitive, open contest with betting value on Colombia to win and possibilities for both teams to contribute to the scoresheet.
Canada vs. Colombia odds
Team | Moneyline odds | Draw | Total |
Canada | +320 | +240 | Over 2.5 goals (-112) |
Colombia | -118 | +240 | Under 2.5 goals (-112) |
Team Form and Recent Performance
Colombia enters with momentum, riding a three-game winning streak that has seen them score 13 goals and remain unbeaten in their last six matches. Their recent 4-0 dismantling of Mexico showcased attacking prowess, with stars James Rodríguez, Luis Díaz, and Luis Suárez heavily involved. In contrast, Canada suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat to Australia, struggling to convert possession and xG dominance into goals despite deploying key attackers like Jonathan David and Tajon Buchanan. Canada has managed to score in eight of their last 10 matches, but has recently lacked cutting edge against stronger opponents.
Predicted Lineups and Tactical Approach
Canada is expected to field a slightly rotated lineup after the lackluster effort against Australia, with Dayne St. Clair confirmed in goal and explosive wing play likely featuring in their 4-4-2 setup. Marsch’s side should rely on counter-attacks, seeking to exploit Colombia’s forward-leaning style, putting pressure on whether Cyle Larin or Tani Oluwaseyi partners Jonathan David up front. The midfield will likely see Stephen Eustáquio play an important role weaving transitions.
For Colombia, manager Néstor Lorenzo has plenty of quality at his disposal despite missing centre-back Yerry Mina and a few regulars. Veterans James Rodríguez and Luis Díaz anchor a creative, ball-dominant 4-2-3-1, with the team averaging close to 60% possession in recent fixtures and allowing very few shots per match. Luis Javier Suárez and Juan Camilo ‘Cucho’ Hernández could also start, and the overall squad features several Europe-based talents.
Betting Odds and Market Analysis
- Colombia is favoured at approximately -115 to -113 on the moneyline at most online sportsbooks, reflecting their stronger recent form and squad depth.
- Canada is priced at +270 to +275, with the draw at about +254 to +270, suggesting moderate upset potential given their North American venue advantage.
- Over/under markets peg over 2.5 goals at -133, and both teams to score (“Yes”) at -159. Recent trends see Colombia involved in games surpassing 2.5 goals and Canada netting in most contests, although play has occasionally been cagey.
- Canada missing key defenders, including Alphonso Davies and Alistair Johnston, adds risk to their clean sheet chances.