Tracking Where Alien Abduction Stories Consistently Surface
Most alien abduction stories begin quietly — a strange light, a missing moment, something that feels off.
Many are never reported. Others are quickly dismissed.
But when years of UFO data are compared, a clear pattern emerges:
these reports don’t appear evenly across the map.
The Alien Abduction Odds Index 2025 compares where abduction-related UFO reports are most often recorded across the United States and Canada.
It doesn’t predict events — it compares patterns.
Each state and province is given an implied probability, an odds-style measure that shows how frequently these reports have appeared in one place compared with others.
The odds are low everywhere.
But the takeaway is simple:
these reports don’t appear everywhere — they appear somewhere.
Canada: Key Findings
- British Columbia ranks first overall, producing more UFO reports than any other province. Since 2019, B.C. has logged 1,264 sightings — the highest total in Canada.
- New Brunswick reports sightings most frequently relative to its population, with 4.68 UFO reports per 100,000 residents — the highest per-capita rate nationwide.
- Alberta also ranks high on a per-capita basis, recording 4.04 reports per 100,000 residents alongside an elevated share of abduction-related claims (18%).
- Quebec stands out for the type of reports rather than how often sightings occur. One in four UFO reports (25%) includes abduction-related details — the highest share in Canada.
- The same provinces consistently appear near the top, suggesting that abduction-style reports cluster in specific regions rather than appearing randomly across the country.
Top Canadian Provinces by Alien Abduction Odds (2025)
1. British Columbia
British Columbia ranks first because more UFO sightings are reported here than anywhere else in Canada. Since 2019, residents have filed 1,264 reports, giving B.C. the highest total volume nationwide.
2. Alberta
Alberta ranks second due to how frequently sightings are reported relative to its population. The province records 4.04 UFO reports per 100,000 residents, with nearly one in five reports involving abduction-related claims.
3. New Brunswick
New Brunswick ranks third despite its small population. It posts the highest per-capita UFO reporting rate in Canada at 4.68 reports per 100,000 residents, with 20% of reports involving abduction-style claims.
4. Quebec
Quebec’s position is driven by report content rather than frequency. One in four UFO reports (25%) includes abduction-related details — the highest share in Canada.
5. Nova Scotia
Nova Scotia rounds out the top five with steady reporting rather than spikes. The province logs 3.90 UFO reports per 100,000 residents, with 14% of reports involving abduction-related claims.
6–10. The Rest of the Top Ten
The rest of Canada’s top ten reflects the same pattern seen across the rankings: moderate reporting volume combined with consistent appearances over time. Provinces like Saskatchewan and Ontario continue to log steady sightings, while smaller regions such as Prince Edward Island appear less often once population is factored in.
United States: Key Findings
- New Hampshire ranks #1 in the U.S. because people there report UFO sightings more often than anywhere else — about 24 sightings per 100,000 residents, the highest rate in the country.
- Idaho, Vermont, and Maine follow closely, each reporting more than 21 sightings per 100,000 residents, meaning sightings are reported there roughly twice as often as in many larger states.
- In several top states, a large share of sightings involve close encounters. In Idaho, Vermont, Oregon, and Wyoming, roughly 1 in 5 reports includes claims like missing time or direct contact.
- Wyoming stands out for the type of reports: while sightings are less frequent overall, more than 25% of reports describe abduction-style experiences — the highest share in the U.S. top ten.
- High total sightings don’t guarantee a high rank. California recorded nearly 17,000 sightings since 2019, but because those reports are spread across a very large population, it ranks outside the top 15.
Top 10 U.S. States by Alien Abduction Odds (2025)
1. New Hampshire
New Hampshire ranks first because people there report UFO sightings more often than anywhere else in the country. Since 2019, the state has logged 24.34 UFO reports per 100,000 residents — the highest rate in the U.S. These reports appear consistently year after year, rather than during short spikes driven by media attention.
2. Idaho
Idaho ranks second not only because sightings are reported frequently, but because a large share describe close encounters. About 21% of Idaho’s UFO reports since 2019 include claims such as missing time or direct interaction. Combined with a high reporting rate overall, this pushes Idaho near the top of the national ranking.
3. Vermont
Vermont’s ranking is driven by steady reporting rather than large numbers. The state records more than 23 UFO reports per 100,000 residents, and over one in five reports includes an abduction-style claim. This combination places Vermont firmly in the top three despite its small size.
4. Maine
Maine consistently ranks high due to frequent reporting rather than extreme claims. The state logs 21.57 UFO reports per 100,000 residents, placing it among the most active reporting states nationwide. While fewer reports involve abduction claims compared with Idaho or Vermont, sightings occur often enough to keep Maine in the top tier.
5. Oregon
Oregon combines frequent sightings with a high share of close-encounter claims. Since 2019, nearly 22% of UFO reports in the state include abduction-style details, while overall sightings remain common at just over 20 reports per 100,000 residents. This balance places Oregon fifth nationwide.
6–10. The Rest of the Top Ten
The remaining top ten states continue the same pattern: regular sightings paired with notable numbers of close-encounter claims. Wyoming stands out in particular, with more than 25% of reports involving abduction-style experiences — the highest share in the U.S. top ten. Washington and Arizona remain long-running UFO hotspots, while Montana and Connecticut round out the list with steady reporting histories.
Expert Insight
“This isn’t about predicting alien encounters,” says an analyst at Canada Sports Betting. “The implied probability is simply a way of showing where these kinds of reports tend to show up more often than elsewhere.
When you look at the data year after year, the same places keep appearing. Some regions just generate more of these stories — not once, but repeatedly.
For most people, nothing unusual will ever happen. But from a reporting point of view, a few areas clearly stand out — and that’s exactly what this index is capturing.”
For readers comparing probability-style formats in other contexts, Canada Sports Betting also publishes practical guides to betting apps, a detailed bet365 review, and jurisdiction coverage such as Ontario sports betting.
How the Alien Abduction Odds Index Was Built
The Alien Abduction Odds Index 2025 compares all 50 U.S. states and 10 Canadian provinces based on where abduction-related UFO reports are most often recorded. It doesn’t try to explain what these experiences are — it simply tracks where people report them.
The index looks at three simple signals:
-
How often UFO sightings are reported
This shows how frequently people in a region report seeing something unusual in the sky. -
How many reports mention abduction-related details
This includes claims such as missing time, physical encounters, or being taken aboard a craft. -
Whether reports appear consistently over time
Regions that show steady reporting year after year rank higher than places with brief, one-off spikes.
Each location is scored on a 0–100 scale and then converted into an implied probability. This odds-style format makes it easier to compare one place to another.
The implied probability is not a prediction. It doesn’t mean an abduction is likely to happen. It simply shows how often abduction-style reports have appeared in one region compared with others.
The data covers reports from 2019 to 2024. Population figures are used only to ensure fair comparisons between large and small regions. Areas with missing or limited data were scored conservatively to avoid overstating results.
In short: this index isn’t about belief or disbelief. It’s about patterns — and where these stories consistently show up, year after year.
Data Sources
-
National UFO Reporting Center (NUFORC)
The main source for U.S. UFO sighting reports. Individual submissions were reviewed to identify abduction-related details such as missing time, physical contact, or claims of being taken. -
Canadian UFO Survey
Canada’s national UFO reporting program, used to collect sightings across all provinces. Reports containing abduction-style descriptions were identified within this dataset. -
U.S. Census Bureau
2024 state population estimates used to calculate per-capita reporting rates, allowing large and small states to be compared fairly. -
Statistics Canada
Provincial population data and regional sleep statistics used to support standardized comparisons across Canada. -
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
U.S. sleep-duration data used as a contextual indicator linked to fatigue, perception, and the likelihood of reporting unusual experiences. -
Google Trends
Regional search interest in UFO-related terms used to measure public curiosity and awareness — factors that influence whether sightings are noticed and reported.
A Note on Interpretation
This index is designed to highlight patterns in reporting, not to confirm or dismiss individual experiences. The findings show where abduction-style stories are documented more often — not where extraordinary events are more likely to occur.
Full Dataset
The complete dataset used in the Alien Abduction Odds Index 2025 is publicly available here: Alien Abduction Odds Index 2025 — Full Dataset .