An anytime goal-scorer bet is one of the most popular and straightforward player prop wagers in NHL betting. It allows you to bet on a specific player to score a goal at any point during the game, whether it’s the first goal, last goal, or any goal in between. This bet type offers an exciting way to stay engaged with the game, as your selected player can score at any moment to cash your bet.
Let’s take a look at three skaters to feature in an anytime goal-scorer parlay in the NHL on Monday night, which prices out at +2482 on bet365. I’d personally recommend also staking these anytime goal-scorer picks as a round-robin wager, allowing us to profit off hitting two of three of our goal-scorers finding the back of the net.
Nick’s AGS parlay
Justin Sourdif (+350)
In a critical spot, the Washington Capitals played arguably their best game of the season Saturday, erasing a 3-0 deficit versus the Carolina Hurricanes to earn two desperately needed points. The Capitals registered 42 shots on goal, and generated 4.77 expected goals versus a Carolina Hurricanes side that generally carries play exceptionally well.
Sourdif led all Capitals skaters with 1.00 individual expected goals from eight attempts on goal, playing alongside Aliaksei Protas and Tom Wilson on a top line that has been highly effective this season. In 222.1 minutes together, Wilson, Protas, and Sourdif hold a 60.9% expected goal share and have scored 4.05 goals per 60 where it counts.
Over the last 14 games, Sourdif has tallied nine goals and generated 6.99 individual expected goals. He has generally been an elite play-driver all season long, but only recently has his offensive upside become more apparent, and reviewing the highlights it seems possible that he can continue to make his chances count at a higher rate moving forward.
And while Sourdif’s recent chance creation suggests betting on him at +350 to score in any game is quite reasonable, he has not spent the majority of the last 14 games playing alongside Wilson and Protas, as one or both were out of the lineup at various points. It seems likely that Sourdif’s current role alongside the two further heightens his chances of scoring, as they have formed a very strong unit this season.
Connor Bedard (+140)
We’ve written up Bedard to score in each of his previous two matchups, as the ‘eye test’ and underlying numbers both suggested one of the game’s more talented shooters was due to start filling the cage with regularity once again. As Bedard gets a strong matchup Monday playing at home versus the San Jose Sharks, it seems logical to ride with Bedard scoring once again now that he’s likely gained some confidence in front of goal.
Over the last eight games, Bedard has generated 4.34 individual expected goals from a total of 46 shot attempts. As can be confirmed by NHL edge data, his shot has not lost any zip following a month-long layoff due to an upper-body injury, and he’s generated plenty of chances since returning despite fairly modest production.
Though the San Jose Sharks have been hanging in respectably in terms of team results, their blue line still offers a number of question marks, and their depth up front is a concern. Over the last 10 games, they have allowed 3.79 xGA/60, and 3.20 goals against per game where it counts.
It seems logical that Bedard will be well-motivated to show out in this matchup versus Macklin Celebrini, who he skates with in the summer and who has overtaken Bedard as the top young star in the league. Given that the Sharks have not been defending well of late, and that Bedard has been in strong form, at +140 he seems to be a strong option for our parlay.
Dylan Guenther (+140)
Guenther has emerged as one of the better shooters in the NHL over the last two seasons, having scored 51 goals over his last 123 games.
Though his current role on the Utah Mammoth’s third line playing alongside Michael Carcone and Jack McBain does not sound entirely convincing, the unit has been highly effective, and Guenther has been getting a ton of chances of late.
In 71.6 minutes of play together, the trio holds a 58.9% expected goal share and has generated 4.69 xGF/60, which is the highest mark of any Mammoth line to play over 60 minutes together this season. So while it seems odd for head coach Andre Tourigny to keep one of his most talented forwards on the third line, it makes more sense considering how effective the trio has been.
Guenther also remains the primary shooter on the Mammoth’s top power-play unit, which could find success versus a Vancouver Canucks penalty kill that has succeeded on just 55.6% of opportunities over the last 15 games.
Over the last eight games, Guenther has averaged 7.4 shot attempts per game. It seems logical to expect that he will get some quality looks in a soft matchup on home ice, and at +140, he presents as a strong option to round out our parlay.
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