CFL Western Final Betting Preview: Lions vs. Roughriders

BC Lions quarterback Nathan Rourke (12) looks to pass during the first half against the Edmonton Elks at BC Place Stadium.

The CFL Western Final between the BC Lions and Saskatchewan Roughriders promises a thrilling showdown on November 8, 2025, at Mosaic Stadium in Regina. This game carries enormous weight, as the winner will advance to the 112th Grey Cup, Canada’s coveted football championship.

The Lions enter the matchup boasting an 11-7 regular-season record, secured with a dramatic last-second victory over the Calgary Stampeders in the Western Semi-Final. Quarterback Nathan Rourke, recently crowned the West Division’s Most Outstanding Player, has been instrumental to BC’s success. While Rourke threw for a modest 223 yards in the Calgary game, his clutch performance in the decisive final drive showcased his calm under pressure and leadership. The Lions’ offence is dynamic with a balanced run-pass mix, making them difficult for opponents to predict.

On the other sideline, the Saskatchewan Roughriders have been dominant at home all season. Their 12-6 regular-season finish secured first place in the West Division. Saskatchewan boasts one of the CFL’s stingiest defences, allowing the fewest points across the league — a testament to their formidable front seven and secondary. Under coach Corey Mace, the Roughriders have sharpened their identity, combining strong defensive scheming with a steady ground game led by key running backs.

Western Final best bet

Lions vs. Roughriders under 53.5 points

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-110

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All signs point to this being a low-scoring affair by CFL standards. Look for Saskatchewan to grind this game out with a potent running attack its well-rested defence, a solid game plan that has worked for the Roughriders all season long. Additionally, the Roughriders will be feeding off their home crowd and playing under ideal weather conditions for their style of play. Forecasts are calling for temperatures around -6 C (feels like -11 C with the wind chill) on Saturday in Regina, which is going to make it awfully difficult for Rourke to move the ball effectively through the air against the Riders defence. Take the under on the game total with confidence.

Lions vs. Roughriders odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
BC Lions+150Lions +3 (+100)o53.5 (-110), u53.5 (-110)
Saskatchewan Roughriders-180Riders -3 (-120)o53.5 (-110), u53.5 (-110)

Game context

Head-to-head this season, the Roughriders hold a 2-1 advantage over the Lions. While BC took the most recent meeting, Saskatchewan’s earlier wins came when both teams were near full strength. This history adds intrigue to the playoff rematch, with the Roughriders eyeing revenge on home turf. The Riders’ confidence is bolstered by their playoff experience and the roaring support of their passionate fans.

Special teams could also tip the scale. The Lions’ shared special teams excellence and ability to generate field position battles will clash with the Riders’ knack for clutch kicking and punt coverage. Weather factors, common in November games, may also influence coaching decisions, particularly in the kicking game and clock management.

Betting markets currently favour Saskatchewan by a modest margin, reflecting their home advantage and elite defence. However, BC’s resilient offence and recent momentum make them dangerous underdogs capable of an upset. Sharp bettors should watch injury reports closely and monitor which team wins the turnover battle — a reputed determining factor in close playoff contests.

In all, the West Final shapes up as a classic CFL playoff duel—experienced defence versus high-powered offence, home crowd fervor versus outsider grit. The winner punches their ticket to the Grey Cup showdown; the loser exits with offseason reflection. Football fans can look forward to a high-stakes clash steeped in CFL tradition and playoff intensity.

This is a game where momentum, strategy, and execution will determine who advances within Canadian football’s premier playoff spectacle. Expect electric atmosphere, big hits, strategic scoring drives, and a memorable night of finger-on-the-pulse CFL playoff football.