Bet365 Women’s World Cup Game Day: Can England Affirm Favourite Status? (August 7)

The 2023 Women’s World Cup is under way! Hosted in Australia and New Zealand, the tournament features 32 of the best footballing nations in the world seeking glory. For every match day, Canada Sports Betting will break down the matches ahead, providing the key odds and story lines you need to make a play, courtesy of our friends at bet365.

Due to the unique schedule of the tournament, we’ll be looking one day forward at a time. Today we’ll be covering August 7th‘s fixtures. These include:

  • England vs. Nigeria, 3:30 a.m. ET
  • Australia vs Denmark, 6:30 a.m. ET

While you wait for the next match day, also consider checking out our main Women’s World Cup page, with all of the latest full-tournament odds, our favourite picks, guides on how to make bets for the tournament, and more!

3:30 a.m. Headliner: England vs. Nigeria

England Win In Full Time-300
Nigeria Win in Full Time+850
Draw After Full Time+400
Over/Under2.5 goals (over -106, under +118)
Time/DateMonday, August 7, 3:30 a.m. ET
TVBroadcast: TSN
Stream: TSN GO App
Odds courtesy of bet365. Games that go to Extra Time count as draws.

The Round of 16 has provided a series of entertaining matches so far, even if for the most part results have gone as expected. Spain, Japan, and the Netherlands have advanced. Sweden bouncing the defending champions USA out on penalty kicks was a bit of a shock, but not beyond the realm of the possible.

With four more teams vying to join them on August 7th, just who moves on and who goes home remains to be seen.

England enter the knockout phase one of three teams to go perfect through the group stage with three wins after a less than convincing opening to the competition. 1-0 wins over Haiti and Denmark, along with the injury to midfield linchpin Keira Walsh in the first half against the Danes, saw a chorus rising that perhaps the reigning European Champions would not be able to repeat the feat of last summer at this year’s Women’s World Cup.

The Lionesses responded in their final match of the group stage, needing just four minutes to take the lead against China, adding two more before halftime, and another three in the second frame for a 6-1 win to take top spot in Group D. Walsh’s injury is not as bad as initially feared – she has returned to individual training – but is unlikely to be involved in this match.

Nigeria have met every challenge put in front of them.

Drawn into a difficult Group B with co-hosts Australia and Canada, the defending Olympic champions,  battling their federation all the while, expectations were muted for the Nigerians.

A scoreless draw against Canada in the opening match was perhaps a tad lucky with Christine Sinclair seeing her penalty kick saved, though credit must be given to goalkeeper Chiamaka Nnadozie for a fine stop. They came to life after conceding against the Aussies in the second match, responding within minutes of falling behind in first half stoppage-time and then scoring twice in quick succession in the second half. Australia would pull one back late, but the vital 3-2 win was Nigeria’s.

And on the final match day, aware that anything but a defeat would see them through to the Round of 16, they got the job done, drawing 0-0 with the Republic of Ireland to advance in second spot from the group.

The Super Falcons have excelled at playing for the moment in Australia/New Zealand, at being patient, at absorbing when necessary, but being dangerous up the other end when the time calls. They will be eager to do so once more against the English.

England are considerable favourites heading in the match at Brisbane Stadium in Brisbane, Australia. They won the only previous meeting at the Women’s World Cup, defeating Nigeria 3-2 in 1995.

Before digging a little deeper into some of the more probable outcomes, one worth highlighting is Game Decided after Penalties.

Yes at +800 is a long shot, and only one of the knockout games have been decided by at the spot through the first four matches. But it is an England national team in a knockout match, and in a World Cup of shock exits and surprise upsets, Nigeria putting England out on penalty kicks would be classic. Method of Victory, Penalties for Nigeria sits at +1800.

A Correct Score of England 3-0 is bet boosted to +700, as is Lauren James as First Goalscorer (+700), James has been the most consistent English threat with three goals over two matches.

There is an interesting Same Game Parlay of Alessia Russo and James Over 1.5 Shots on Target combined with England to Score in Both Halves at +1100. Russo has averaged 2.45 shots on target per 90 minutes, James 2.23, and once the goals came against China they flowed nicely. An early goal against Nigeria could see the same happen once more.

For Nigeria a parlay of Over 2 Goals and Match Result Draw or Nigeria is boosted to +1400.

Amongst the goal scorers, James (First +650, Last +650, Anytime +210), despite being the only multiple scorer for England, does not have the shortest odds on the day. Four of the five others with one goal apiece have shorter odds with Russo and Rachel Daly (+500, +500, +160) the shortest.

Asisat Oshoala (+1400, +1400, +500) tops the Nigerian candidates, she took her goal against Australia very well and has been a constant threat, while Uchenna Kanu (+1800, +1800, +650) has been lively too. Osinachi Ohale (+8000, +8000, +2800) scored their only other goal.

One last option to consider is that while both teams have averaged just one booking per match, with the stakes at hand Both Teams to Receive 2+ Cards, Yes at +500 could come into play.

Christy Ucheibe leads Nigeria with seven fouls and is yet to receive a yellow card at the World Cup – Ucheibe 1st Player Booked is at +1000. Georgia Stanway leads England with five fouls, she saw a yellow in the opener against Haiti: Player to be Booked Stanway (+500).

England to Win in Full Time

-300

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6:30 a.m. Match: Australia vs. Denmark

Australia Win In Full Time-106
Denmark Win in Full Time+333
Draw After Full Time+230
Over/Under2.5 goals (over +135, under -175)
Time/DateMonday, August 7, 6:30 a.m. ET
TVBroadcast: TSN
Stream: TSN GO App
Odds courtesy of bet365. Games that go to Extra Time count as draws.

The other contest of the day pits co-hosts Australia against Denmark at Stadium Australia in Sydney, Australia.

The Matildas, facing elimination but with the vociferous local support at their backs, thumped Canada 4-0 in the third round of group stage action to take top spot in Group B after a nervy start to their home World Cup.

Australia needed a second half penalty kick to beat the Republic of Ireland 1-0 in their tournament opener and then fell 3-2 to Nigeria in the second match despite taking the lead in first half stoppage-time, but that performance against Canada will have reinvigorated dreams of a deep run.

Australia were unstoppable, even without the services of star striker Sam Kerr, who though available off the bench was an unused substitute. There is still some uncertainty over her fitness ahead of this Round of 16 clash, but just having her with the squad worked a treat against the Canadians.

The Red and White (De rød-hvide for the Danish speakers) advanced from Group D behind England with a solid, if unspectacular group stage.

A 1-0 win over China in the opener was followed by a defeat of the same scoreline against the English in the second. The Danes would secure a spot in the knockout phase with a 2-0 win over Haiti on the final match day.

Intriguingly, considering some of the lapses seen between recent meetings with other ties, these two have met as recently as last October with Australia winning 3-1 in a friendly played in Denmark. The Danes won another friendly in June 2021 by a 3-2 score line.

Given some of the lopsided pairings the Round of 16 has thrown up, this one is suitably tight with Australia slight favourites – only Colombia-Jamaica has a narrower line.

There is some value in going with a narrow Australia win: Winning Margin Australia by 1 sits at +260.

Australia’s Caitlin Foord is bet boosted as First Goalscorer to +600, from +550. Foord is yet to get off the mark at the World Cup, but scored a brace in the aforementioned friendly last year. Foord leads the Aussies with two assists in the group stage. Her line in the Player Assists category sits at 0.5, the Over at +275 looks enticing.

And there is a boosted Same Game Parlay of Over 3.5 Shots on Target for Australia, Hayley Raso to Score Anytime, and Australia to Win in 90 Minutes at +800, from +750. Australia has had seven shots on target in each of their last two matches after being limited to two against Ireland, Raso was positively effervescent against Canada, and Denmark is a beatable opponent.

With the line for Corners set at 9, the Over at +110 looks all but certain. The six matches so far involving these two teams have averaged 12 corner kicks each. Total Corners 12-14 at +400 might be a stretch too far, but worth considering.

Despite Kerr’s involvement being unclear, she tops the goalscorer odds (First +350, Last +350, Anytime +125). Both Steph Catley (+1200, +1200, +450) and Raso (+1000, +1000, +375) already have two at the World Cup. Foord (+550, +550, +200) is yet to score.

For Denmark Signe Bruun (+650, +650, +240) has not yet found the back of the net and has been limited to a substitute role thus far. Pernille [Mosegaard-]Harder (+850, +850, +333) scored her goal from the penalty spot against Haiti. Amalie Vangsgaard (+1200, +1200, +450) and Sanne Troelsgaard (+1100, +1100, +450) provided the other Danish goals in Australia/New Zealand.

Australia to Win in Full Time

-106

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