If there’s one universal truth about the holiday season, it’s this: Mariah Carey’s “All I Want for Christmas Is You” is literally everywhere.
Someone, somewhere (however hard it may be to believe) clearly enjoys it. Here at Canada Sports Betting, we like odds. It got us thinking, where in North America are these Mariah Carey lovers? Who likes the song the most? We used search data to find where people seek it out the most- and where has the highest odds of the controversial song being their favorite.
The results? Some states are diehard ‘All I Want for Christmas Is You’ lovers. Canada and a few states might be the haters’ last safe place.
Key Findings
- A staggering 42 states have “All I Want for Christmas Is You” as a most likely favorite song.
- Louisiana is the most Mariah-loyal state, with 16.75% odds of it being the favorite Christmas song.
- New Hampshire is the safest place for Mariah-haters. There’s only 8.70% implied probability it’s someone’s favorite Christmas song.
- Warm-weather states LOVE this song: Florida, Hawaii, and Mississippi rank in the top five — proving that even if it’s 78°F, Christmas spirit knows no climate.
- 7 states have highest odds for “Rudolph The Red Nosed Reindeer” being the favorite song.
- Canada overwhelmingly prefers “Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow!” having highest, topping 9 of 13 provinces and territories.
- Quebec and New Brunswick are the only provinces to prefer “All I Want for Christmas Is You.”
We’ll dive into the states first before finding out Canada’s favorite holiday tunes.
These odds are just for entertainment purposes and not available currently on betting sites.
Top 5 Mariah-Loving States
Based on the implied probability of choosing “All I Want for Christmas Is You”:
- Louisiana — 16.75%
- Florida — 15.15%
- North Carolina — 14.72%
- Mississippi — 14.70%
- Hawaii — 14.46%
The Warmer the State, the Stronger the Mariah love.
The 5 Safest States From Mariah Carey
Where “All I Want for Christmas Is You” is least likely to be the favorite:
- New Hampshire — 8.70%
- Montana — 8.73%
- Wyoming — 9.12%
- Maine — 9.27%
- South Dakota — 9.46%
If you’re fleeing Mariah like it’s a seasonal zombie apocalypse, these are your best escape routes. These states seem to prefer songs with actual snow, reindeer and zero whistle notes.
Canada’s Favorite Christmas Songs
Here’s how each province and territory breaks down:
| Province / Territory | Favorite Song(s) |
| Alberta | Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! |
| British Columbia | Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! |
| Manitoba | Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! |
| New Brunswick | All I Want for Christmas Is You, Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! (tie) |
| Newfoundland & Labrador | Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow!, Rockin Around the Christmas Tree (tie) |
| Northwest Territories | All I Want for Christmas Is You, Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow!, Little Saint Nick, Rockin Around the Christmas Tree (4-way tie) |
| Nova Scotia | Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! |
| Nunavut | Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! |
| Ontario | Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! |
| Prince Edward Island | Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! |
| Quebec | All I Want for Christmas Is You, Little Saint Nick (tie) |
| Saskatchewan | Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! |
| The Yukon | Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! |
- Canada is a Let-It-Snow nation — literally. From British Columbia, to Alberta, to the territories, “Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow!” is overwhelmingly the most probable favorite Christmas song, winning 9 out of 13 regions outright.
- “All I Want for Christmas Is You” barely makes a dent north of the border.
- While it dominates the U.S., in Canada it claims the #1 spot in only 2 places — and both are ties, not outright wins.
- Quebec and New Brunswick are the only provinces where Mariah Carey actually breaks through, tying with “Little Saint Nick” — a uniquely Québecois twist on holiday listening habits.
Soundtrack Of The Season
Despite yearly complaints about hearing “All I Want for Christmas Is You” too often, the data suggests America secretly loves it, with 42 states showing the highest likelihood of searching for Mariah Carey’s holiday anthem. Canada, however, tells a different story, as most provinces and territories favor “Let It Snow!”, with only a few sharing the top spot with Mariah. One thing is clear: Wherever you are, holiday music is the background song of December.
Methodology
To identify each state’s most likely favorite Christmas song, we analyzed four years of Google Keyword Planner search volume data for a curated list of popular holiday tracks. Only organic search queries were included.
For every state, we summed total searches across all songs, then calculated the percentage of interest for each individual track to determine implied probability.
This approach standardizes results across states of different sizes and allows us to compare relative popularity rather than raw search volume.
The song (or songs) with the highest percentage or probability in each state was identified as the favorite. In cases where multiple songs shared the top percentage, all were counted as tied favorites.
Data cleaning steps included removing duplicates, validating numeric search values, and checking for completeness and consistency across all states.
You can see the full dataset here.
The States With Highest Chance Of Liking “All I Want For Christmas”, From Most To Least
| Rank | State | Implied Probability |
| 1 | Louisiana | 16.75% |
| 2 | Florida | 15.15% |
| 3 | North Carolina | 14.72% |
| 4 | Mississippi | 14.70% |
| 5 | Hawaii | 14.46% |
| 6 | Maryland | 14.43% |
| 7 | Connecticut | 14.18% |
| 8 | Georgia | 13.94% |
| 9 | New York | 13.73% |
| 10 | Tennessee | 13.51% |
| 11 | Alabama | 13.42% |
| 12 | Oklahoma | 13.34% |
| 13 | Michigan | 13.13% |
| 14 | Pennsylvania | 13.10% |
| 15 | Washington | 13.09% |
| 16 | Nevada | 12.99% |
| 17 | Ohio | 12.85% |
| 18 | Texas | 12.84% |
| 19 | Arkansas | 12.63% |
| 20 | California | 12.59% |
| 21 | New Jersey | 12.49% |
| 22 | Rhode Island | 12.37% |
| 23 | Massachusetts | 12.23% |
| 24 | Illinois | 12.08% |
| 24 | Kentucky | 12.08% |
| 26 | Wisconsin | 11.94% |
| 27 | Missouri | 11.92% |
| 28 | Colorado | 11.89% |
| 29 | South Carolina | 11.87% |
| 30 | Arizona | 11.61% |
| 31 | Virginia | 11.55% |
| 32 | Kansas | 11.24% |
| 33 | Nebraska | 11.11% |
| 34 | Minnesota | 10.91% |
| 35 | Indiana | 10.82% |
| 36 | West Virginia | 10.74% |
| 37 | Delaware | 10.48% |
| 38 | Iowa | 10.34% |
| 39 | Utah | 10.32% |
| 40 | North Dakota | 10.19% |
| 41 | Alaska | 10.17% |
| 42 | New Mexico | 9.98% |
| 43 | Idaho | 9.91% |
| 44 | Vermont | 9.86% |
| 45 | Oregon | 9.75% |
| 46 | South Dakota | 9.46% |
| 47 | Maine | 9.27% |
| 48 | Wyoming | 9.12% |
| 49 | Montana | 8.73% |
| 50 | New Hampshire | 8.70% |