Australian Open 2022 Picks: How Will Djokovic’s Absence Impact Tournament?

Australian Open 2022 Picks: How Will Djokovic's Absence Impact Tournament?

Let’s have a look at the 2022 Australian Open picks.

Introducing the 2022 Australian Open

The 2022 Australian Open is off to a sizzling start thanks to happenings outside of the tennis court. Nine-time champion and ATP men’s world number one Novak Djokovic has been scratched from the tournament as the conclusion to his COVID-19 and VISA fiasco with the government. With Djokovic’s dismissal, the field has opened up for the men as we review the latest Australian Open betting odds along with the WTA’s.

Checking the latest Australian Open tennis oddsDaniil Medvedev has been elevated to the likeliest winner on the ATP side. The reigning US Open winner has a somewhat challenging draw with fifth-seed Andrey Rublev and ninth-seed, Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime in his bracket. 

On the women’s side, top seed and national favourite Ashleigh Barty is a big favourite but has yet to reach the Australian Open Finals. She was at least a quarterfinalist for the last three tournaments. Bracket-mate Naomi Osaka is next in line on the odds while Canadian Leylah Fernandez, who faced long odds, has already been ousted.

Australian Open 2022 Preview: Impact on Quarters 

The 2022 Australian Open is underway and you can find the most recent betting odds from the top online sportsbooks. With that said, Djokovic’s abrupt departure has left a big void in the men’s field, namely in the 1st quarter bracket where it is a free-for-all (odds courtesy of Come On!).

Currently, seventh-seed Matteo Berrettini (4.00) and Carlos Alcaraz (4.00) are neck-and-neck as far as favourites to emerge from this group with Sebastian Korda (6.50) not too far behind.

Meanwhile, second-seed Medvedev is considered a “lock” to win the 4th quarter at 1.44. His compatriot, Rublev (8.00), and Auger Aliassime (10.00) are distant runner-ups at best. 

The 2nd quarter could be considered the most competitive and sees plenty of contenders with Alexander Zverev (1.66) being the favourite to emerge though Rafael Nadal (2.75) may just pull off the upset. Canadian Denis Shapovalov (15.00) is a long shot. 

Last but not least, the 3rd quarter has Jannik Sinner (3.25) competing with 2021 French Open runner-up Stefanos Tsitsipas (4.00). The 2nd and 4th quarter are tied (2.20) at producing the Australian Open winner as either Medvedev or Zverev may win it all. 

On the WTA side, Barty (2.00) and two-time champion Osaka (3.25) will likely be playing each other for a spot in the semi-finals as they could meet in the 1st quarterfinals. Barty has been a quarterfinalist in three straight years but has yet to reach the Finals. This quarter is also the favourite (2.20) to produce the winner.

Next up is the 3rd quarter, which is headlined by the likes of Garbine Muguruza (4.00) and Simona Halep (4.25). Both have made an Australian Open Final with Muguruza in 2020 and Halep in 2018.

Fernandez had a tough spot in the 4th quarter where young phenom Iga Swiatek (3.50) is the most likely winner followed by world number-two, Aryna Sabalenka (6.50). The Canadian was third at 8.00 but was once again eliminated in the first round. 

Flying under the radar is the 2nd quarter, which is led by Paula Badosa Gilbert (3.25) and Barbora Krejcikova (4.00). Consider the pair to be dark horses in this tournament.  

Australian Open 2022 Betting Picks: Best Bets Now?

Now that we’ve had a quick look at the quarters, it’s time to snap up some bets. The Australian Open tends to produce upsets, especially now with Djokovic out of the picture. Medvedev may win it all or he may not. As it stands, plenty of betting value is found outside of picking the outright winner.

Like the preview above, we’re using Come On! sportsbook for the odds. Be sure to read the other sportsbooks’ reviews for 2022

1st Quarter Winner: Sebastian Korda

The 21-year-old American is unproven but has the highest ceiling in the quarter. He already has some pedigree by way of his father, Petr Korda who captured the Australian Open in 1998 in what was an upset-filled year for the ATP. This young Korda also won the 2018 junior title and while he may not go all the way, reaching the semi-finals is not out of reach at these odds.  

Sebastian Korda

1st Quarter Winner


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Winning Quarter: 4th Quarter

The 1st quarter has the two heavyweights in Barty and Osaka and the 3rd has some steady veterans in Muguruza and Halep, but at 4-1 we like the 4th quarter’s chances. This quarter has a nice combination of blue-chip prospects and vets. Names like Swiatek and Sabalaneka meet vets like Angelique Kerber.

4th Quarter

Winning Quarter


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Naomi Osaka Stage of Elimination

Osaka is the definition of “boom or bust”. The superstar has won four majors but has also been eliminated before the quarterfinals in every major she has not won. Her style of play, an aggressive baseliner, is prone to this streakiness. If she’s not on her game, she likely suffers another early exit here.   

Naomi Osaka Elimination Stage

3d Round


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Who Will Go Further? Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger Aliassime

Rublev and Auger-Aliassime are likely playing to meet Medvedev in the quarterfinals. It’s a question of which young star can survive all the way to this point. The Canadian has been hotter but remains unproven. Rublev has made four quarterfinals including the last Australian Open. 

Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger Aliassime

Andrey Rublev


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