Home Field Advantage Explained

Air horns blasting, cowbells clanging, a raucous crowd, and a beam-supported bowl that is brimming with over 65,000 fans is shaking. Ah, the pure beauty that is playing in front of your hometown supporters. Everyone has heard of the term, but how familiar are you with the advantages and disadvantages of playing on home turf? Here we examine this important research tool that should be in every handicappers toolbox.

NFL Home Field Advantage

NFL Home Team have won 57.3% of the time since 2010 but 57.3% isn’t anywhere close to a smart bet for anything so that is why you need to learn how to decide if home field really is such a big advantage…..

For anyone who may have found our opening a little over-dramatic, we point to Beast Quake that happened in 2011 when Seahawks RB Marshawn Lynch gutted out one of the greatest plays ever. What started as feverish cheering turned into 66,336 raucous fans wildly jumping up and down during a 67-yard bulldozing TD run against the New Orleans Saints during the 2011 Wild Card playoffs. That historic run took fifteen seconds of clock time. The result, which was the ground actually shaking, didn’t leave many sleepless in Seattle near then named Qwest Field. Over five years, from 2012 to 2016, the Seahawks went 32-7-1 during forty regular season home games.

NFL Home Teams Betting Strategy

Seattle is not the only team that thrives on NFL home cooking as the New England Patriots are near locks when they play at Gillette Stadium. During a solid run of eight straight playoff seasons, from 2009 to 2016, Bill Belichick, Tom Brady & Co. posted a 57-7 regular season record at the Big Shaving Can. All-time however, through the 2016 NFL season, Denver (282-128-5) and Pittsburgh (288-131-2) lead with a 68.6 win percentage has hosts. Though a much smaller sample size, the Baltimore Ravens (118-45-1) are a close third with a 68.5% winning rate at the Giant Crab Cake.

As part of a well mapped research path, handicappers are advised to pay attention to teams that have a distinct NFL home field advantage. Fans in those cities, like the 12th Man crowd in Seattle, know how to make things almost inaudible for the visitors on offense and they’re wise enough to remain reserved when their own offense goes to work. Also, while every organization will claim it isn’t so, you can bet your bottom dollar that the home team has a better amenity equipped locker room than the visitors do. Not having to travel is also a fairly huge advantage of playing at home.

Home Field Disadvantage Requires Wagering Consideration

Some teams would better off grinding out the 16-game schedule on the road as they often flame out at home. A mix of inferior talent, less than sold out stadiums, due to a disinterested population base, factor into some teams production as hosts. The Buccaneers are notorious for an ugly home field disadvantage as they went 153-175-1 at cavernous Raymond James Stadium during their first 41 years in the NFL. While talent level has a lot to do with that 46.7% home win mark “could be” fans heading to the beaches in Tampa, rather than visiting the Big Sombrero, is also a big factor.

Posting the lowest 2016 home attendance (541,837 or 67,734 per game) San Diego now has no home field advantage at all as the Chargers bolted north to share newly built Los Angeles Stadium at Hollywood Park in Inglewood, California, with the LA Rams. Although many factors initiated the move – three straight 3-5 losing seasons on your home turf doesn’t help. Then there’s the “Mistake by The Lake” in Ohio where the Cleveland Browns posted a dismal 23-49 record during a nine-year skid from 2008 to 2016. However, after posting a 1-13 winning season record between 2003 and 2016, the Browns could have played on Jupiter and they still would have been at a disadvantage.

Top Rated Sportsbook Provide the Best Home Field NFL Betting Advantage

Other factors, including dome stadium squads heading outdoors, warm weather teams migrating north to play on a frozen tundra, and practice time being limited due to cross-country travel, can all give teams an advantage or disadvantage depending on which dynamic they are facing. Though not an “end all – be all” check how teams fair venue by venue as part of a proper study session. Here at Canada Sports Betting, we have our pulse on the sportsbook industry and we are happy to report that there are many advantages to registering an account at any of our recommended bookmakers. Impressed rather equally by each of them, Bet365 is often our NFL betting home field advantage. 

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