Sweden vs Switzerland World Cup 2018
This is one of three all-European clashes and by far the most difficult to predict. Switzerland and Sweden were both hit and miss in the group stages, and both have been eliminated in the Round of 16 on more occasions than they would care to remember in recent times. One team will move on to a quarter-final berth in what is the more open side of the draw, but which team will it be?
Sweden have the momentum. After a scratchy 1-0 win over Korea they were unlucky to drop all three points against a German side who they had kept out for most of the game. Then out of nowhere, Sweden shocked Mexico with a brilliant display that assured they would finish in top spot and avoid facing Brazil in this round. After such a good performance, it would be a shame to bow out against the Swiss.
Yet Switzerland are a top-ten side these days and showed what they are capable of with a come-from-behind draw against Brazil and a huge win over Serbia in a game where they only led for three minutes. They were less impressive in their draw with Costa Rica, although the fact that they only needed a draw in that clash makes it hard to judge their performance.
History shows that it is dead even between the Swiss and Swedes. The pair have shared ten wins and ten losses throughout history, although have not played a match against each other since 2002. In competitive matches, Sweden have the edge with four wins to three, while they have shared the points twice.
The odds indicate that this match will be close. All three options in the head to head market are almost identical – Switzerland is the slight favourite at +165, while Sweden is offering +192. The draw is extremely low at +193, and there is a sense that this could be one of the first matches of the Round of 16 to be decided by penalties.
We tend to agree that the match will finish level after 90 minutes, so the draw is the correct option to pick in the head to head market. Both teams are defensive units, so a 0-0 isn’t out of the question, although there has only been one instance of 0-0 in the group stages and with VAR in use there’s much less chance of a scoreless match.
Go for 1-1 here, and keep the penalty shootout in mind, it could go either way.
Sweden vs Switzerland Preview
Sweden vs Switzerland will kickoff at 10am ET on Tuesday, July 3rd and will be played at the Krestovsky Stadium in Saint Petersburg.
Sweden Likely Starting XI
- Robin Olsen
- Mikael Lustig, Victor Lindelof, Andreas Granqvist, Ludwig Augustinsson
- Viktor Claesson, Gustav Svensson, Albin Ekdal, Emil Forsberg
- Ousmane Dembele, Antoine Griezmann, Marcus Berg, Ola Toivonen
Sebastian Larsson is one of the biggest names in the side, however he is out due to suspension and will likely be replaced by Seattle Sounders midfielder Gustav Svensson.
Emil Forsberg came into the tournament as another likely to be the headline act, although the Swedes have had more success down the right side, with Viktor Claesson producing two assists to have him joint-top in that category at the tournament.
Switzerland Likely Starting XI
- Yann Sommer
- Michael Lang, Johan Djourou, Manuel Akanji, Ricardo Rodriguez
- Valon Behrami, Granit Xhaka
- Breel Embolo, Blerim Dzemaili, Xherdan Shaqiri
- Mario Gavranovic
Switzerland will be missing two players through suspension – Stephen Lichtsteiner and Fabian Schar. Michael Lang and Johan Djourou will start their first games of the campaign.
Xherdan Shaqiri is the star man, and will cause problems for Sweden’s right-side defence. Switzerland may need to rely on another late goal from the Stoke City man – expect him to play at least the full 90 mins.
Other Betting Opportunities
Remember that the head to head market is relevant for the result at the end of 90 minutes, and in the event of the match going to extra time or penalties the ‘draw’ option would be the winner.
If you think there is the possibility of extra time, the ‘will there be an overtime’ market from Sports Interaction is paying +172, and we are certainly in favour. These teams are difficult to split and therefore there’s a better than even chance of an additional 30 mins.
If you would rather take the option of picking which team will progress, Betway offer a ‘to qualify’ line, and are paying +100 for a Sweden win regardless of whether penalties are required to separate the teams. Switzerland are the slight favourite at -125.
Of course, there are plenty of other markets that could provide a decent outlay, and may be a safer bet than the head to head opportunities.
Plenty of matches at this World Cup have been level at half-time, and this should continue in the tighter knockout stages. As we’ve predicted a draw for the 90 minute outcome, why not punt on ‘draw – draw’ in the half-time/full-time market? Odds of around +314 are available for that pick. You can also pick the draw in the ‘1st half winner’ line, it’s paying -125.
Picking the correct score is tough, although there’s plenty of reward for your risk. At +444, our 1-1 prediction will provide a decent outlay.
FIFA World Cup Knockout Stage Odds
***Round of 16
SATURDAY, JUNE 30
Match 50: France vs Argentina Odds (10 a.m. ET)
Match 49: Uruguay vs Portugal Odds (2 p.m. ET)
SUNDAY, JULY 1
Match 51: Spain vs Russia Odds (10 a.m. ET)
Match 52: Croatia vs Denmark Odds (2 p.m. ET)
MONDAY, JULY 2
Match 53: Brazil vs Mexico Odds (10 a.m. ET)
Match 54: Belgium vs Japan Odds (2 p.m. ET)
TUESDAY, JULY 3
Match 55: Sweden vs Switzerland Odds (10 a.m. ET)
Match 56: Colombia vs England Odds (2 p.m. ET)
FRIDAY, JULY 6
Match 57: France vs Uruguay Odds (10 a.m. ET)
Match 58: Brazil vs Belgium Odds (2 p.m. ET)
SATURDAY, JULY 7
Match 60: Match 55 winner vs. Match 66 winner (10 a.m. ET)
Match 59: Russia vs Croatia Odds (2 p.m. ET)
TUESDAY, JULY 10
Match 61: Match 57 winner vs. Match 58 winner (2 p.m. ET)
WEDNESDAY, JULY 11
Match 62: Match 59 winner vs. Match 60 winner (2 p.m. ET)
SATURDAY, JULY 14
Match 63: Match 61 loser vs. Match 62 loser (10 a.m. ET)
SUNDAY, JULY 15
Match 64: Match 61 winner vs. Match 62 winner (11 a.m. ET)
=> World Cup Final Odds