Sweden vs England World Cup 2018
England can count themselves lucky to be in this position. After wins against Tunisia and Panama and a ‘tactical loss’ to Belgium in the group stage, the Three Lions knew they were well placed in the easier side of the draw. Russia’s win over Spain meant that they would not need to face another World Cup winner en route to a possible final appearance, and the nation was getting their collective hopes up.
But as always, England forgot to focus on what was directly in front of them, and were fortunate to survive against Colombia. In a slow and sometimes spiteful match, England took the lead from the spot before going into self-destruct mode and trying to defend for thirty minutes. Colombia claimed a deserved equaliser minutes before the full-time whistle, and the game was headed to penalties. The rest is history.
Sweden are also fortunate to be here, although in truth dominated the majority of their fixture against Switzerland in the Round of 16. Like England, Sweden made a breakthrough in the second half, coming via a horrible deflection. They had been the more industrious side in the opening hour, although they were wasteful in front of goal.
Again, like England, Sweden then tried to defend their 1-0 lead and were lucky to do so as wave after wave of Swiss attacks came at them. In the end, the goal was enough, and Sweden will play in a WC quarter-final for the first time since 1994.
England and Sweden have met on several occasions, so we will focus on their competitive history when reviewing their head to head record. Sweden is on top, having won twice and lost once, while there have been five draws between the teams. England won the last tournament match, a 3-2 win at the 2012 Euros, while the only two meetings between the sides at the World Cup have ended in draws.
Despite their lack of productivity in the Round of 16, we’re tipping goals in this match. Sweden should have scored about five in the first half against Switzerland, while England have enough talent in the final third to cause Sweden problems. An early goal to the Scandinavians will really open this match up, and that’s exactly what we think may happen.
In terms of odds, England are surprisingly the clear favourite, priced at -113. The draw can be obtained for +232, while Sweden are value outsiders at +336. It’s a big call, but we are going to go with the favourites and predict an English win. We can’t see Sweden being held scoreless in this match (they have managed a goal in every match so far) so we’re tipping a 2-1 result.
Sweden vs England Preview
Sweden vs England will kickoff at 10am ET on Saturday, July 7 and will be played at Samara Arena in Samara.
Sweden Likely Starting XI
- Robin Olsen
- Martin Olsson, Victor Lindelof, Andreas Granqvist, Ludwig Augustinsson
- Viktor Claesson, Gustav Svensson, Albin Ekdal, Emil Forsberg
- Marcus Berg, Ola Toivonen
We’re expecting only one change here with Mikael Lustig missing this match through suspension and being replaced with Swansea City’s Martin Olsson. The Swedish side have lined up the same in their last two matches.
Emil Forsberg was fortunate to get the goal in the match against Switzerland, but was also the standout player and will be crucial here.
England Likely Starting XI
- Jordan Pickford
- Kyle Walker, John Stones, Harry Maguire
- Kieran Trippier, Jesse Lingard, Jordan Henderson, Ashley Young
- Raheem Sterling, Dele Alli
- Harry Kane
England tried a 4-2-2 against Colombia although Kane and Sterling didn’t really connect well. They may be more productive against Sweden, but we’re tipping a return to a 3-4-2-1. A lot may depend on Dele Alli’s fitness.
Harry Kane has now scored six goals from nine chances.
Other Betting Opportunities
Remember that the head to head market is relevant for the result at the end of 90 minutes, and in the event of the match going to extra time or penalties the ‘draw’ option would be the winner.
If you think there is the possibility of extra time, the ‘will there be an overtime’ market from Sports Interaction is paying +204.
If you would rather take the option of picking which team will progress, Betway offer a ‘to qualify’ line, and are paying -223 for a England win regardless of whether penalties are required to separate the teams. Belgium are paying +175, which is great value if you think the Swedes can make the semis.
Of course, there are plenty of other markets that could provide a decent outlay, and may be a safer bet than the head to head opportunities.
Both teams have scored more often than not throughout this tournament, and with the inclusion of VAR there have been a record number of penalties. We are tipping overs in this match, and are confident both teams will find the net. +125 is on offer here.
Harry Kane is the frontrunner for the Golden Boot and will be at short odds once more to score a goal. He’s paying +105 to score at any time.
Plenty of matches have been level at half-time in this tournament, including seven of the eight R16 matches. The ‘1st half winner’ market is offering -110 for the draw and that looks to be another good bet.
FIFA World Cup Knockout Stage Odds
***Round of 16
SATURDAY, JUNE 30
Match 50: France vs Argentina Odds (10 a.m. ET)
Match 49: Uruguay vs Portugal Odds (2 p.m. ET)
SUNDAY, JULY 1
Match 51: Spain vs Russia Odds (10 a.m. ET)
Match 52: Croatia vs Denmark Odds (2 p.m. ET)
MONDAY, JULY 2
Match 53: Brazil vs Mexico Odds (10 a.m. ET)
Match 54: Belgium vs Japan Odds (2 p.m. ET)
TUESDAY, JULY 3
Match 55: Sweden vs Switzerland Odds (10 a.m. ET)
Match 56: Colombia vs England Odds (2 p.m. ET)
FRIDAY, JULY 6
Match 57: France vs Uruguay Odds (10 a.m. ET)
Match 58: Brazil vs Belgium Odds (2 p.m. ET)
SATURDAY, JULY 7
Match 60: Sweden vs England Odds (10 a.m. ET)
Match 59: Russia vs Croatia Odds (2 p.m. ET)
TUESDAY, JULY 10
Match 61: Match 57 winner vs. Match 58 winner (2 p.m. ET)
WEDNESDAY, JULY 11
Match 62: Match 59 winner vs. Match 60 winner (2 p.m. ET)
SATURDAY, JULY 14
Match 63: Match 61 loser vs. Match 62 loser (10 a.m. ET)
SUNDAY, JULY 15
Match 64: Match 61 winner vs. Match 62 winner (11 a.m. ET)
=> World Cup Final Odds