Spain vs Russia World Cup 2018
Russia have been great value in this tournament, and have thoroughly deserved their place in the knockout stages. Prior to the tournament we were concerned that the side lacked quality, although that theory has been well and truely put to bed following big wins over Egypt and Saudi Arabia.
The loss to Uruguay will have taken some of the wind out of the sail though, and it’s not going to get any easier against one of the best teams in the world. Spain have quality all over the park and will come into this match as the red hot favourites to progress to the quarter-finals.
Yet Spain haven’t done it easy at any stage during the tournament. Although the better team in their match against Portugal, a lucky Diego Costa strike saw them home against Iran, while they were minutes away from losing their final match against Morocco.
Incredibly, Spain have conceded five goals so far in the World Cup, which is two more than they allowed in their entire qualification campaign. Russia, buoyed by the incredible home support will be an imposing opponent in Moscow, and the fact that they still threatened with ten men against Uruguay makes us believe that they will score at least once in this match.
Although they will score, we can’t see Russia getting through to the next round unless they can hold on for a penalty shootout. While that is a possibility against a side that have drawn two of their last three matches, we’re not backing it. The smart bet here is Spain to win in regulation time, which will fetch -172.
We’re predicting a 2-1 scoreline to the Spaniards. We expect the one goal for Russia to be scored by Denis Cheryshev, who has been one of the standout performers of this competition.
Spain vs Russia Preview
Spain vs Russia will kickoff at 10am ET and will be played at Luzhniki Stadium in Moscow.
Spain Likely Starting XI
- David de Gea
- Jordi Alba, Sergio Ramos, Gerard Pique, Daniel Carvajal
- Andres Iniesta, Sergio Busquets, Thiago Alcantara
- Isco, Diego Costa, David Silva
One look at this lineup should be enough to convince you that Spain are the pick for this match, yet this is the side that struggled against Morocco.
Diego Costa has scored three goals already and is the best chance up top, while David Silva will almost surely claim an assist in this match.
Russia Likely Starting XI
- Igor Akinfeev
- Mario Fernandes, Ilya Kutepov, Sergei Ignashevich, Fedor Kudryashov
- Roman Zobnin, Yuri Gazinskiy, Aleksandr Samedov
- Denis Cheryshev, Alexandr Golovin
- Artem Dzyuba
Russia elected to rest Alexandr Golovin from their match against Uruguay, and there will be no player with more assists on the field when he starts on Sunday.
Artem Dzyuba should be rewarded for his great work in this tournament, most notably the goal he scored after coming off the bench against Saudi Arabia.
Other Betting Opportunities
Remember that the head to head market is relevant for the result at the end of 90 minutes, and in the event of the match going to extra time or penalties the ‘draw’ option would be the winner.
If you think there is the possibility of extra time, the ‘will there be an overtime’ market from Sports Interaction is paying +254. In comparison, the France vs Argentina and Uruguay vs Portugal games are around +180 to go to extra time, which indicates that it’s unlikely here.
If you would rather take the option of picking which team will progress, Betway offer a ‘to qualify’ line, and are paying -400 for a Spanish win.
Of course, there are plenty of other markets that could provide a decent outlay, and may be a safer bet than the head to head opportunities.
The most obvious for us has to be the ‘which teams will score?’ market. Russia will create more than enough chances to score a goal against Spain in front of a packed crowd, while there is almost no chance that the Spanish team will go scoreless. You’ll get +110 for a bet on this, which is a great return.
Similarly, the over/under should go to the overs, if you agree with our predicted 2-1 scoreline. The overs are on offer for +108.
Picking the correct score is tough, although there’s plenty of reward for your risk. At +733, our 2-1 prediction will provide a decent outlay and considering it’s one of the most common scores at the tournament, it’s a good option.
FIFA World Cup Knockout Stage Odds
***Round of 16
SATURDAY, JUNE 30
Match 50: France vs Argentina Odds (10 a.m. ET)
Match 49: Uruguay vs Portugal Odds (2 p.m. ET)
SUNDAY, JULY 1
Match 51: Spain vs Russia Odds (10 a.m. ET)
Match 52: Croatia vs Denmark Odds (2 p.m. ET)
MONDAY, JULY 2
Match 53: Brazil vs Mexico Odds (10 a.m. ET)
Match 54: Belgium vs Japan Odds (2 p.m. ET)
TUESDAY, JULY 3
Match 55: Sweden vs Switzerland Odds (10 a.m. ET)
Match 56: Colombia vs England Odds (2 p.m. ET)
FRIDAY, JULY 6
Match 57: Match 49 winner vs. Match 50 winner (10 a.m. ET)
Match 58: Match 53 winner vs. Match 54 winner (2 p.m. ET)
SATURDAY, JULY 7
Match 60: Match 55 winner vs. Match 66 winner (10 a.m. ET)
Match 59 Match 51 winner vs. Match 52 winner (2 p.m. ET)
TUESDAY, JULY 10
Match 61: Match 57 winner vs. Match 58 winner (2 p.m. ET)
WEDNESDAY, JULY 11
Match 62: Match 59 winner vs. Match 60 winner (2 p.m. ET)
SATURDAY, JULY 14
Match 63: Match 61 loser vs. Match 62 loser (10 a.m. ET)
SUNDAY, JULY 15
Match 64: Match 61 winner vs. Match 62 winner (11 a.m. ET)
=> World Cup Final Odds