Spain vs Morocco World Cup 2018
It is hard to believe that Morocco are out of contention for the Round of 16 considering they were arguably the better side in both of their opening matches. Against Iran, the result could have easily been reversed, while their 1-0 loss to Portugal came despite the Moroccans dominating field position and chances. Soccer can be a cruel sport.
Spain have also looked the goods, although they are in a position to progress and should do so against a Moroccan side that they comfortably outrank. Now that their southern neighbours have essentially nothing to play for except pride, this is a match that should be won by the 2010 champions.
Spain also has the luxury of knowing a draw will be enough to make it to the second round, although don’t expect them to go easy on their opposition. It is likely (although we won’t know for sure until four hours before kick off) that the second place team in Group B will need to face a Russian side that is on fire, so expect to see a strong Spanish outfit take the pitch.
In any case, Morocco would probably find it tough against the fringe Spanish players given the quality of their squad. The current odds see the Europeans at -380, Morocco enter at +1000, while the draw starts at +481.
We’re sticking with Spain regardless of the team that walks out on the field. The squad is simply too good to be losing to the likes of Morocco. Our early pick is a comfortable 3-0 victory.
Spain vs Morocco Preview
Spain’s overwhelming favouritism, while expected, does not offer the betting community much in terms of head to head odds, and therefore you will be no chance of a big outlay. The best option may be to place a parlay bet, combining this head to head result with other sure things in the final round of matches.
There are certainly alternatives, particularly if betting on multiple matches at once is not your style. Our pick is the half-time/full-time double, where you place your bet against the result at the interval and at the end of the match. Spain is highly likely to score early against a team like Morocco, so the -104 on offer for the Spain – Spain double is a fantastic option that is slightly better than a 2:1 outlay.
The over/under market is slightly more treacherous, although we’re confident that Spain will score plenty in this match. We have predicted a 3-0 win to the Spaniards, which would fetch odds of -119 based on a split of +2.5.
If you are happy with the overs, there’s little point in just betting that there will be more than 2.5 goals in the match. The smart pick would be to utilise the matchbet and totals market, allowing you to parlay the over +2.5 into a Spanish victory. This would give you slightly higher odds (-101).
In this market, you can always choose how aggressive or conservative you would like to be. If you think Spain can score more than three goals (or if you think Morocco can also hit the back of the net), you will get +234 for Spain and over +3.5 goals.
Finally, there’s always the correct score market for those who want to really press for a large payout. Our prediction of 3-0 is actually one of the favoured results, priced at +654.