Panama and Tunisia will lock horns in the final match of Group G in a match that will only be relevant to people who drew the nations in their office sweeps (assuming there is a prize for last place). Both nations have already taken on England and Belgium in what can only be described as David vs Goliath type fixtures, and will perhaps be looking forward to the chance of playing a fixture where they have a genuine chance of victory.
There is still plenty to play for regardless of the fact that each side has yet to pick up a point. Tunisia came into this World Cup with just one win from twelve matches (now one in fourteen), and will consider themselves a great chance of making it two in this match. Panama too will relish the chance to get their first ever win at the tournament.
There is very little usable historical data when looking ahead to this match. Both teams have played just a handful of matches against teams from their opponent’s confederation, and of course they have never met in an organised match. Tunisia have plenty of World Cup matches to analyse, yet the last World Cup they played in was over a decade ago, and they have arguably faced no opponent as unfancied as Panama.
In terms of the odds, Tunisia enter the match as favourites, which is unsurprising considering that they outrank their opponents considerably according to the official FIFA standings. Yet each side are relatively close in the head to head market – Panama start as outsiders at +330, while the draw is available for +281 and Tunisia are on offer for -130.
Tunisia came close to stealing a point off England, while Panama have conceded 9 goals in the tournament. It’s clear to us that Tunisia should be winning this match, and we’re going to pick them.
Go for 3-1 to Tunisia in a match with plenty of attack and not much defending.