Panama vs Tunisia Odds

Panama vs Tunisia Stats

Panama vs Tunisia World Cup 2018

Panama and Tunisia will lock horns in the final match of Group G, and by this stage each team will have an idea of whether they will be still alive in the tournament. Both nations will have already taken on England and Belgium in what can only be described as David vs Goliath type fixtures, and if, as expected, the European nations are successful, this game will have only statistical value.

Still, there is plenty to play for regardless of whether our initial predictions are correct. Tunisia came into this World Cup with just one win from twelve matches, and unless they can produce a stunning upset against their northern neighbours they will surely be looking at lowly Panama to provide just their second win at the competition.

Panama too are extremely unlikely to have picked up any points so far, and will see the Tunisian match as a tough but winnable fixture. They will have arrived at the World Cup full of fanfare, and are likely to be every neutral fan’s second team, which could make a small difference.

There is very little usable historical data when looking ahead to this match. Both teams have played just a handful of matches against teams from their opponent’s confederation, and of course they have never met in an organised match. Tunisia have plenty of World Cup matches to analyse, yet the last World Cup they played in was over a decade ago, and they have arguably faced no opponent as unfancied as Panama.

We have disregarded context in this match simply because we find it so unlikely that either nation will have picked up points. In the event that one team has stolen a draw against England or Belgium, they should be counted upon to win this match given that their opponent will likely have nothing to play for. For that reason, it’s always worthwhile waiting until the last possible minute to place a wager on a final group match. 

In terms of the odds, Tunisia enter the match as favourites, which is unsurprising considering that they outrank their opponents considerably according to the official FIFA standings. Yet each side are relatively close in the head to head market – Panama start as outsiders at +229, while the draw is available for +216 and Tunisia are on offer for +128. This will definitely change as the match approaches, so watch for fluctuations.

Without much to consider here, it’s a bit of a coin toss. We’re only leaning towards Panama for the simple reason that their flair may be enough to break down a Tunisian outfit not known for goal-scoring themselves. In a match with little relevance to the overall tournament, we would back the Central Americans to get the job done. Our pick is a 3-1 win to Panama.

Panama vs Tunisia Game Info

  • 1

    When: Thursday, June 28 (2pm ET)

  • 2

    Where: Mordovia Arena, Saransk

  • 3

    TV: FS1, Telemundo*

Panama vs Tunisia Betting Tips

All three options are paying over 2:1 odds for this match, which means you’re guaranteed a decent payout regardless of the result you choose. The problem is that it’s much harder to pick a winner when the odds are this tight. Thankfully, there are plenty of alternatives.

For instance, you could always eliminate the pesky draw from your thoughts and place a wager on the draw no bet line. In the event of a draw, your wager would simply be refunded, allowing you to make a more aggressive choice. In this market, Tunisia are offering -159, while Panama are paying +135. Both teams still appear at great value here, and it’s a worthy option if you prefer a two-result type of wager.

Despite both teams scoring at a relatively low rate during qualification, we are tipping the floodgates to open in a match that will likely be a dead-rubber. The playing style of each side is likely to clash, and we would expect to see more early goals than usual in this match. We’re tipping the over in the over/under market, which is set at +2.5 goals. This line is offering +113, and is certainly a worthy wager.

Since we’re picking both teams to score, we might as well bet on that too. The ‘will both teams score?’ market is very even, with -119 available for yes and -115 for no. We will be sticking with the yes option.