Japan vs Poland Odds

Japan vs Poland World Cup 2018

Poland were favourites to progress from Group H, although find themselves with one foot on the plane home after two losses against Senegal and Colombia respectively. Instead, it is Japan in the driving seat, knowing a draw will be enough to see them through to the second round for the third time. A win for the Japanese could even see them top the group; they were paying around +800 to do so before the World Cup started.

It’s hard to pinpoint where it has gone wrong for the Poles. Robert Lewandowski hasn’t managed a goal, and when he doesn’t score they are always going to be in trouble. Defensively they have simply not coped with the speed of their opposition, and Japan will also test their resolve.

The Europeans came into this group as the top seed and Japan, who are ranked more than fifty places below them in the FIFA standings, weren’t given a chance. Now that Poland have nothing to play for, there is perhaps more of a reason to think Japan will win. The sportsbooks agree: Japan have moved from +313 to +142 favourites, whereas Poland have shifted from -111 to +210. +210 is available for the draw. 

Poland have a fantastic record against Asian nations, although Japan’s record against Europeans at the World Cup is also notable. Poland certainly don’t boast a lineup like France, Spain or Germany, which will give Japan plenty of hope.

We’re still not convinced that Japan are good enough to beat Poland, after drawing to Senegal and narrowly beating a Colombian side who played with ten men for 85 minutes. Poland though have been fairly awful, and so for that reason we’re going with a 1-1 draw in this match.

Japan vs Poland Game Info

  • 1

    Correct Score – Argentina 1-1 @ +424

  • 2

    Which Teams Will Score? – Both Teams @ -139

  • 3

    Anytime Goalscorer – Robert Lewandowski @ -103

  • 4

    Over/Under – Under +2.5 @ -133

Japan vs Poland Preview

Poland are actually very good value in this match, although it will take plenty of bravado to pick the Europeans after a poor showing at this cup. The draw is available for +210 and is our pick in the head to head market, although if you’re not convinced then perhaps the other markets are more favourable.

A defensive Japanese side and a Poland side short on confidence may cause this match to feature few goals. If that is the case, the best market is the over/under line, which is split at +2.5 goals. If you think the result will feature less that three goals in total, the -133 on offer for the under is the way to go.

If you are happy with the under, there’s little point in just betting that there will be less than 2.5 goals in the match. The smart pick would be to utilise the matchbet and totals market, allowing you to parlay the under +2.5 into a draw. This would give you slightly higher odds (+257) and will cover both the 0-0 and 1-1 results.

Finally, there’s always the correct score market for those who want to really press for a large payout. Our prediction of 1-1 is offering +424.