Iceland vs Croatia Odds

Iceland vs Croatia Stats

Iceland vs Croatia World Cup 2018

Surprise 2018 participants Iceland will play their third ever World Cup match against a familiar face in Croatia, a team they have faced on six prior occasions in qualification. A breakthrough first win over the Croatians at their home ground helped secure first place in their group and automatic progression at their European rivals’ expense, and they will come into this match looking to do likewise.

By this stage, both teams will have played tough matches against Group D favourites Argentina and a tough Nigerian side, and it is expected that there will be all to play for when the two European nations take the pitch. Given that Nigeria play against Argentina at the same time, there is a big chance that a win for either team here will see them leap into the Round of 16.

This is an intriguing matchup simply because both teams have very recent history, a rare commodity in international soccer. Each team recorded a win over the other in qualifying; both keeping a clean sheet on their home turf. On a neutral venue, the logical outcome is a draw, although Croatia boast a far more accomplished squad and should really be winning this matchup.

Context is always a factor in the third group stage matches. Croatia were our pre-tournament pick to qualify for the second round behind Argentina, and if all goes to plan they will have defeated Nigeria and lost to Argentina, meaning they will need to win this match to be absolutely certain of a place in the final sixteen.

Iceland on the other hand might not be in a position to progress, although a win here could potentially see them finish on three points alongside Nigeria and the Croatians. In short, both teams will almost certainly have it all to play for in this match.

On paper, it should be a straight forward victory for Croatia here, although the odds suggest it will be a close match. Croatia start as favourites, paying -119, while the draw is quite low at +250 and boosts the theory that this match will finish level. Iceland are the outsiders, although not miles out of contention at +333.

We’re going with Croatia to record the win necessary to propel them into the second round. Given that both nations are known for low-scoring matches, and have also produced five clean sheets between them in their six matches, we’re picking a 1-0 win.

Iceland vs Croatia Game Info

  • 1

    When: Tuesday, Jun 26 (2pm ET)

  • 2

    Where: Rostov Arena, Rostov-On-Don

  • 3

    TV: FS1, Telemundo*

Iceland vs Croatia Betting Tips

Croatia are the leaders in the head to head market, although their price definitely makes a wager more than worth your while. There is also plenty of value in the draw. If you would prefer to pick one of the other markets available, our tips should help you on the way to a winning wager.

We’ve already mentioned that Croatia and Iceland are likely to play out a low-scoring match, and it’s also probable that only one team will score (we’re tipping Croatia). This opens up two markets.

The most obvious pick is the over/under market. If you agree that there will be less than the +2.5 goal split, you will receive odds of -167, which is the favoured result. The other option is the ‘will both teams score?’ market, which is offering -154 for the ‘no’. 

If you’re convinced that Croatia will do enough to get the victory, then you may as well combine your over/under bet with the result of the match. In the matchbet and totals market, you can do just that. If you were to bet on Croatia and under +2.5 goals for the match, you would be rewarded with +231.

The great thing about this market is that it allows you to be as conservative or aggressive as you want. If you want to give a bit of breathing room to your bet, you could choose Croatia and under +3.5 goals at +118 – this is perhaps the best compromise between risk and reward as it is very unlikely there will be more than 3 goals in this matchup.

Finally, it’s never a bad idea to place a wager on the correct score. Croatia 1-0 is the favourite, paying +430, while 2-0 is available for +615. Alternatively, the 0-0 draw and 1-1 draw offer +663 and +530 respectively.