Denmark and France entered Group C as the favourites to progress, and should now have an understanding of what (if anything) is still required to ensure they each appear in the second round of the tournament. Having already warmed up with matches against Peru and Australia, both sides will see this as the most difficult match of their campaign to date.
France will be quietly confident of taking all three points from this match considering their overall record against the Danes is quite good, and it’s no surprise to see the 1998 champions as the favourites to win this one. Mind you, Denmark did defeat the French in the last World Cup fixture between the two nations, so it may be worth backing them at huge outsider odds to get the result.
The French start at -161, which is quite short considering that Denmark are quite a good team. While France do boast one of the best squads at the tournament, they are not noted for their ruthlessness at major tournaments and we’re not sure they deserve to be such an overwhelming leader in the head to head market.
The draw is certainly a viable result and will fetch you a nice outlay at +279, while Denmark can be obtained for huge odds – they start at +458. Considering they destroyed Poland 4-0 in qualifying, a team that outranks France in the FIFA rankings, they could be a worthy bet here.
Context is always a factor in the third group stage matches. There is a possibility that France won’t need to win to progress to the next round, and they may therefore rest their big names for the Round of 16. Denmark could even find themselves in the same position – watch for any players who have niggling injuries or yellow cards to be rested if that is the case.
We think that France will win this match regardless, although you would do yourself a disservice by placing a wager too early given that they may not be at their best. At -161, they present a reasonable return although this will likely improve as the match approaches.
Without the benefit of context, we’re tipping France to win this one 2-1.
When: Tuesday, Jun 26 (10am ET)
Where: Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow
TV: FOX, Telemundo*