Australia and Peru will clash to bring an end to Group C, with only the Aussies still alive in a group that has been dominated by France as expected. Denmark hold the upper hand, given that they are three points ahead of Australia, although a French win could set up a great escape.
It’s certainly disappointing to see Peru out of the World Cup, especially considering they only lost 1-0 in each of their games and should have drawn 1-1 against Denmark (that penalty is still going up…). The South Americans waited a long time to get here, 36 years in fact, so they will want to go out on a high.
This one is hard to call. Australia have it all to play for, and were the better side in their match against Denmark. Christian Eriksen almost single-handedly had sent Australia packing, although Mile Jedinak’s second penalty of the tournament was enough for the green and gold to stay alive.
The problem is, Australia are really struggling to score goals. Although not a notable striker, Andrew Nabbout was hard working up front, and his injury will come as a blow. The Aussie must surely start teenager Daniel Arzani, who was incredible in his cameo appearances, while Australia’s all-time leading goal-scorer Tim Cahill needs to be given a chance.
Peru too have lacked composure in front of goal and we therefore think this will be yet another World Cup match where the unders is the likely result.
Although Peru are already out of the tournament, they start at favourites and are paying +141, while Australia are slight outsiders at +193. The draw is also a big chance, available at +229.
We didn’t expect either of these nations to progress to the second round when outlining our outright predictions, although Australia have impressed us. We are also unconvinced by Peru’s laborious effort in overcoming New Zealand in their intercontinental play-off and inability to score goals in this tournament.
We’re therefore going for an Australian win here – 1-0 the final score.