Welcome to Canada Sports Betting’s Premier League Pick of the Week! The English championship is the most exciting soccer league in the world and is guaranteed to throw up surprising results week in week out. Fear not, your wingman has you covered with weekly betting recaps and predictions, followed by some evergreen expert soccer tips to help you on the way to a winning wager.
Perplexing Play of The Week
We’re going to look at which of the five teams vying for a top-four spot will finish on the outside of the highly coveted Champions League positions. Sorry Arsenal, you’re not even in the conversation.
While the Blues – with Sunday’s loss to United – are only two points adrift of fourth place Tottenham, one has to wonder what is going on behind closed doors at Chelsea.
I guess we don’t have to go behind closed doors at all to know how Antonio Conte feels about the current situation in West London.
I wonder what that geezer did to deserve such a bollocking? Maybe he opted for store-bought pasta sauce instead of making it from scratch? That’s enough to send any Italian into a state of uncontrollable rage.
It’s going to be a sour farewell for the gesticulating Italian, who will almost certainly not return to Chelsea next season.
On to our Premier League picks of the week. Last week’s parlay would have paid out if not for Newcastle throwing away a two-goal lead against Bournemouth!
EPL Predictions This Week
Sorry Rafa but hearing the truth can be painful exercise. Jumping right to the chase, I like Stoke to beat Southampton in our upset of the week. Stoke are only a point behind Southampton but, for some reason unbeknownst to me, are outrageous +369 underdogs at Sports Interaction. How Southampton, who have a single win in their last 15 matches, can be such massive favourites is beyond me!Southampton vs Stoke Stoke (+369)
On to Wales where Swansea host West Ham in a mammoth fixture with implications at the foot of the table. Both teams are coming off demoralizing 4-1 defeats and both will recover in a match that will end in a 1-1 stalemate. Take the draw, which Sports Interaction has at +214 on the moneyline.Swansea vs West Ham Draw (+214)
English Premier League Betting
The head to head market is the easiest and most basic way to place a wager on your favourite EPL team, although if you are a fan of the biggest clubs in the country you will find that the odds available don’t always make for a profitable bet. If your team is a heavy fave, there are other methods you can employ to ensure a winning week. So let’s explore the top alternatives.
Asian Handicap Tips
Asian handicap lines are becoming more and more prevalent in sports betting, particularly in soccer where a draw is quite a common outcome. This style of wager eliminates the draw as a potential outcome, resulting in a much clearer betting experience. Not to be confused with the ‘draw no bet’ line, which is similar, asian handicaps are designed to even out the odds in football matches, especially those between two mismatched teams.
For example, in a match between Chelsea and Southampton at Stamford Bridge, the favourite would normally be the home side and you would probably see odds similar to the following:
In a ‘draw no bet’ situation, a draw would result in a bet refund, meaning that there are effectively just two possible outcomes for the match. As a result, odds would reduce significantly as follows:
In asian handicap lines, bookmakers shift the goalposts so that the odds are close to even. For this match, the handicap for Chelsea would be set at -1.5, meaning that the odds would look like this:
Chelsea: -1.5 (-128)
Southampton: +1.5 (+107)
If you placed a bet on Chelsea using this method, you would win if Chelsea won by a margin of two goals or more. If you placed a bet on Southampton, you would win as long as the Saints did not lose by two goals or more. Even if they lost 1-0, you would be a winner!
You will find that most companies offer alternatives to the standard handicap, and if you were bold enough to pick Southampton to win by more than two goals you could get odds of +175 for a -2.5 handicap. The standard handicap (in this case -1.5) represents the sportsbook’s opinion on the likeliest result of the match, in this case a two-goal victory to Chelsea. If you think otherwise, then this is the market for you to make some serious money.
The over/under markets are another option if simply betting on the game line does not interest you enough. Similar to the asian handicap line, the sportsbook of your choice will set a figure at the point they feel is closest to the most likely match outcome in terms of number of goals scored.
Using the above match between Chelsea and Southampton as an example, the over/under mark is set at 2.5 and the odds are dead even for both sides – set at -112. This indicates the sportsbook is confident of a game that will feature exactly 2 or 3 goals.
Again, you will be able to either use this line as a reference for your bet and make an informed decision on the amount of goals there will be in the match, or you can use one of the alternate lines on offer. You may feel that both team’s offensive players are in form and are not so great defensively, thus choosing to go with the overs on a line of 4.5. If five goals or more are scored in the match, you’ve just won your wager at odds of +550, not bad at all!
Lastly, some books will let you bet on over/under markets for corners, offsides and a number of other exotics. There is also an option to combine the result with the over/under goal scoring line, and you can be sure to see very enticing odds in what is a very difficult bet to win.