The PGA Championship is currently the fourth and final major of the year, however the 2018 event will be the last time it will be held in August, at least for the immediate future. Citing the return of golf to the Summer Olympics, the desire to wrap up the season prior to the start of the NFL, and also the benefit of having more courses to choose from, the tournament is set to move to May from 2019.
Introducing different courses to the event is certainly going to increase interest in the event, which is already one of the most-watched throughout the calendar. The change is expected to have no impact on the quality of golf, and with the world’s best players in attendance you can always bank on a memorable tournament, the question as always will be who is the most likely to win it?
PGA Championship 2018
Latest Odds Update: November 1, 2017
Recent Winners at the PGA Championship
- 2017 – Justin Thomas (-8)
- 2016 – Jimmy Walker (-14)
- 2015 – Jason Day (-20)
- 2014 – Rory McIlroy (-16)
- 2013 – Jason Dufner (-10)
Multiple Winners at the PGA Championship
- 5 – Walter Hagen (1921, 1924, 1925, 1926, 1927)
- 5 – Jack Nicklaus (1963, 1971, 1973, 1975, 1980)
- 4 – Tiger Woods (1999, 2000, 2006, 2007)
Outright Betting Tips and Trends
The PGA Championship acts as a perfect foil to the British Open, which is normally held just a few weeks prior to the event. While the trend for winners in the United Kingdom tend to be the more experienced, older players who have at least managed a few prior top-six finishes at the event, history shows that the PGA Championship is often won by first-timers, making betting on the event notoriously unpredictable.
Over the last ten years, only two golfers (Rory McIlroy and Jason Dufner) have managed to win the tournament after finishing in the top-six at the PGA Championship previously. Last year’s winner Justin Thomas’s previous best performance was a tie for 18th, occurring in his 2015 appearance that was the first major in which he made the cut. Aside from his 9th place in the 2017 US Open, Thomas had never finished in the top ten at a major, so the result was totally unexpected.
Another notable trend is the average age of the winners at the PGA Championship, which stands at 29.5 years over the last ten years. The last player to win the tournament over the age of 40 was Vijay Singh in 2004. Comparatively, the average age of winners at the British Open over the last ten years is 35.4. This statistic is not a coincidence – the dry conditions found in courses in August are much more favourable for younger, stronger players than the British conditions which beg for experience and strategy.
So with the above in mind, how do you select from a list of favourites that features several young, talented players all in with a shot of doing well? How do you pick a winner when history shows that tournament victors are often ranked well down the list prior to entering the tournament? It comes down to two key factors – form and location.
The need to assess form makes it difficult to make a selection this far out from the tournament. In fact, our recommendation for all the majors is the same – bide your time and wait until statistical trends appear. Your best source for all things related to tour performance can be found on the official PGA Tour website. For 2018, you will have the luxury of nearly a whole season of statistics at your fingertips by the time the event gets underway.
Location is also important. The 2018 tournament will be held at Bellerive Country Club in Town and Country, Missouri, a venue that last hosted the PGA Championship in 1992 and last held a PGA Tour event (the BMW Championship) in 2008. The latter event was won with a score of -15. While the course will be relatively unknown to the majority of the field, you could do worse than look up the field of the 2008 tournament and check out who has played there previously.
The 1992 PGA Championship also featured a low-scoring winner – Nick Price won the event with a score of -6 – so you can probably predict the winning score will be somewhere between this and fifteen under par. This is great knowledge if you’re looking to place a bet on the individual score markets; the top betting companies will allow you to select any player in the field and determine whether they will score above or below a certain handicap.
PGA Championship Betting Odds 2018
The 2018 event will once again throw up some of the biggest names in golf and it is sure to be an exciting tournament. As always, we will provide you with the best odds from a selection of the top online sportsbooks. From pre-tournament futures odds, to individual round and handicap markets, not to mention a wide variety of prop betting options, our top ranked sportsbooks listed below have golf fans covered throughout the event.
It is certainly a tough ask to pick a tournament winner so far out from the commencement date, however this is the time that you’ll get the best futures odds, so it is worthwhile having an educated guess! All of the world’s top golfers appear at odds of around +1000 or higher, so you could even pick three or four likely candidates and still come out on top if one of them win.
We’ll start, as always, with the favourites, and once again you’ll see Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy, and world number-one Dustin Johnson at the top of the list of betting odds. These players aren’t here for no good reason of course – Spieth and Johnson are currently the top two golfers in the world according to the world golf rankings, while Rory McIlroy is a four-time major winner who is never too far off the pace.
McIlroy has won the PGA Championship twice already, and the course at Bellerive will suit the Northern Irishman’s game as it is one of the longest to have ever hosted the event. It has six par fours over 450 yards, the fifth most of any course to have hosted the US Open, including the 519 yard tenth which is normally a par five when open to the general public.
Dustin Johnson finished second on the list of the longest drivers according to the 2017 PGA Tour statistics, so he is also one that should perform well in 2018. Johnson’s best finish at the PGA Championship is his tie for fifth in 2010, so he will be desperate to convert his current run of success into a second major tournament victory.
Outsiders who also ranked in the top ten in terms of driving distance include Brooks Koepka, who has surged up the rankings recently thanks to a solid twelve months that saw him win the 2017 US Open and finish top-six in both the 2016 PGA Championship and the 2017 British Open. At odds of +2800, he is a genuine chance and the best of those further down the list of odds.
Koepka is our tip for the tournament, although as mentioned above it is worth placing outright bets on a couple of the big names to take advantage of the generous odds on offer. There is still plenty of time before the event gets underway, so perhaps lay low for now and take a look at the form of each player as the tournament approaches.
Whatever your choice, you can be sure that the 2018 PGA Championship will not disappoint. It is certainly going to be one of the most exciting tournaments of the year, and you can catch all the action from August 9th, 2018.