UFC 230: Cormier vs Lewis Odds
Paolo GoCormier (-700) will be a huge favourite against Lewis (+450) as the UFC heavyweight champion is the current best pound-for-pound fighter. Both Cormier and Lewis are finishers are knockout artists and have combined for 33 finishes. Both fighters hit a lot harder than they are durable. Expect a finish.
UFC Betting Tips
What you need to know
The champ will come into this fight significantly smaller than Lewis. Cormier will be giving up seven inches in the reach department and will be dwarfed by Lewis in terms of height and weight. He is also older yet has fought fewer MMA fights.
Cormier (C) |
VS |
Lewis (2) |
| -700 | Odds | +450 |
| United States | Country | United States |
| 21-1-0 (1 NC) | Record | 21-5-0 (1 NC) |
| 39 | Age | 33 |
| 5'11" | Height | 6'3" |
| 235 lbs. | Weight | 260 lbs. |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 72" | Reach | 79" |
| 41" | Leg Reach | 43" |
But Cormier is no stranger to being the smaller fighter, especially at heavyweight. He was dwarfed by the likes of Miocic, Big Foot Silva, and Josh Barnett and he brutalized every one of them. His wrestling pedigree is topnotch and his striking is deceptively quick and powerful.
Cormier's biggest weapon is his speed and durability. This allows him to apply his pressure fighting and gets close to his opponents, allowing him to tie them up, take them down, or hit them from the inside where he negates their reach.
Lewis is also incredibly durable and is a monster of a man. Yet he has been taken down by lesser wrestlers in the past. His endurance appeared to be an Achilles Heel, but he has been notorious for his come-from-behind victories. This is thanks to him maintaining his fight-ending power even when he seems gassed.
We shouldn't count out Lewis, who maintains his threat level despite how exhausted he seems. But Cormier is faster and has one of MMA's best fight IQ's. He will cut the distance and make Lewis constantly defend his pressure while avoiding his heavy bombs. If the clinch and stand-up fail, Cormier can still take Lewis down and wear him out.
Prediction: Outside of another hail mary knockout, Lewis has little chance in this matchup. Cormier's speed and wrestling advantage will be too much and he should eventually finish an exhausted Lewis in the later rounds.
Our Record: 19-11
UFC 230 Odds: Cormier vs Lewis Trends & Tidbits
There has been some significant line movement on both parties. Big money dropped on Lewis at the early stages, but the money has steadily come in on Cormier almost one-sidedly since.
- Cormier opened at -800 and his line has been bet up by 0.9% since
- Smith opened at +575 and his line has been bet down by 13.1% since
- Main event UFC fighters who opened as favourites are 18-8 in 2018
- Lewis is undefeated (6-0) in the UFC in each of his last fights where he opened as the underdog
- Fights didn't go to decision in Cormier's last four fights
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