Malik Tz | Sun 21/08/2016 - 22:56 EDT

UFC 202 McGregor vs Diaz Free Betting Prediction

UFC 202 McGregor vs Diaz Free Betting Prediction

Only six months have passed since Diaz and McGregor’s first fight and already there will be lots of changes. Both will have full training camps and more time to prepare. For Diaz, he’ll have the training needed to better strike with Conor and minimize the damage he absorbed. For McGregor, he now has the experience of fighting at welterweight and can make changes to his strategy and fitness to prevent himself from tiring too early. Most importantly, both men now have firsthand knowledge of how the other fights.

UFC 202 McGregor vs Diaz Betting Odds

UFC 202 McGregor vs Diaz Betting Odds

Diaz doesn’t have to change much from the previous fight to beat McGregor a second time. More training time can only help him and despite getting bloodied and beat up for the first round, he wasn’t seriously hurt. What he and his camp should be weary of are potential differences to McGregor’s strategy. The Irishman has emphasized movement and body shots and both of these can hurt or slow Diaz. The leg kicks have also been a weakness for Diaz as his southpaw stance requires him to lean heavily on his right leg. Assuming McGregor fights the same way however, Diaz only needs to weather the storm again.

McGregor is potentially undergoing a period of change. When he lost to Diaz, he was riding one of the hottest streaks in the UFC and his left hand shot got the job done. He may have underestimated Diaz’s durability or overestimated his power but he won’t make the same mistake a second time. What McGregor can do to win is to utilize his movement and throw a wider variety of strikes. Body shots and leg kicks mixed with his usual power punches could fluster Diaz and even wear him down. But most importantly, he will have to pace himself better even if he isn’t likely to outlast the triathlete. 

Bet Nate Diaz @1.95

At first glance, this fight may not look too different from the first as both McGregor and Diaz are unlikely to add new tools to their arsenal. If anything, McGregor may approach the fight differently than the first and use a more measured approach. But even with an improved game plan, he is unlikely to knock out or outlast Diaz who has shown a superior chin, better boxing and better jiu-jitsu. In six months, McGregor could have improved by leaps and bounds and make it a closer fight but when push comes to shove and the fight hits the deep waters, trust Diaz to pull it off one more time.

UFC 202 Betting Picks August 21, 2016

Anthony Johnson vs Glover Teixeira: this will play out one of two ways: Johnson wins by knockout quickly or Teixeira drags him into deep waters and finishes him late. “Rumble” is the division’s fiercest power puncher and not many survive his initial onslaught. However, he has a tendency to tire out within the later rounds and submits once he is taken to the ground. Teixeira has solid boxing and wrestling with some submission skills but his chin isn’t the best. He also hasn’t faced a knockout artist like Rumble. The more likely outcome here is Johnson flattening him within the first two rounds.

  • Bet AnthonyJohnson @1.48

Donald Cerrone vs Rick Story: both Cerrone and Story are popular longtime UFC veterans on a winning streak. Cerrone is unbeaten at welterweight earning finishes in his last two fights and Story has won three in a row. Cerrone will keep this fight at a distance where he can land his deadly kicks and should he get taken to the ground, he is dangerous off his back. Story is a pressure fighter who does most of his work in the clinch or on the ground. He will try to close the distance on Cerrone but “Cowboy” will pick him apart with his Muay Thai and score points even when fighting from bottom. He should eke out a tough win here.

  • Bet Donald Cerrone @1.57

Tim Means vs Sabah Homasi: despite being suspended by USADA for an anti-doping violation, Means is a legitimate fighter who has only lost to top ten-ranked fighters since his return in 2014. Homasi is a promising fighter who can do it all and has big punching power but is making his UFC debut on short notice. Historically, the odds are not in his favor but he has a “puncher’s chance”. Means is the more experienced vet who is also very well-rounded and can finish the fight wherever it goes. He will make quick work of Homasi within the first two rounds and make a statement in his return.

  • Bet Tim Means @1.21

Category : UFC

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