| Sun 11/03/2018 - 08:44 EDT

      Soccer Props: Harry Kane's Odds To Break Rooney's Record

      Soccer Props: Harry Kane's Odds To Break Rooney's Record

      Harry Kane - England's Superstar Striker

      He needs no introduction. Harry Kane is one of the most sought after strikers in world football owing to his incredibly successful tenure at Tottenham over the last four seasons in the Premier League. His breakthrough 2014-15 campaign boasted 21 goals, second only to Manchester City ace Sergio Aguero, and since then he has achieved the golden boot in the 2015-16 and 2016-17 seasons, putting to bed any mention of a 'one-season wonder'.

      In the current campaign, the Spurs number 10 is at it again, and it seems only continued miracles from Liverpool's Mohamed Salah can prevent Kane from completing a trifecta of goal-scoring feats. The scary thing is, Kane is still just 24 years of age, yet he has already joined the likes of the English Premier League royalty by scoring over 100 goals in the competition.

      He's still over 150 goals short of the great Alan Shearer, although the former Newcastle United frontman's record looks to be under serious threat if Harry Kane stays fit and remains in the Premier League. The only problem with that statement is that you can't perform like Kane has without drawing attention. Rumours that Real Madrid are readying their chequebook aren't likely to go away.

      But while Kane may play in different leagues throughout his career, there is one thing that won't change - his nationality. For this reason, it's probably a better idea to look into his potential goal-scoring feats for country rather than club. Oddsmakers Bet365 oddsmakers seem to agree with this sentiment, recently releasing a market relating to the number of goals that Kane will score for his country.

      Can Kane Score More Than 53 International Goals?


      As you can see, the line has been set at over or under 53.5 goals, and the odds on Kane surpassing that milestone are the firm outsider, paying +500. But why such an obscure number? Why not 50?

      53 goals is the mark recently achieved by none other than Wayne Rooney, who will go down as one of the greats of English football. His retirement in August 2017 has put to bed any opportunity of a comeback to the English team, which is now a platform for Harry Kane to have a crack at breaking the record.

      At one stage, 50 goals seemed unreachable for English players as even the great Bobby Charlton (who held the record of England top goalscorer for just under 50 years) finished his career on 49. Rooney's fantastic achievement is a hefty benchmark, although Kane has youth on his side, and as long as England can experience even moderate success over the next decade, you'd have to think he can reach the mark.

      The Story So Far

      Kane debuted for England in 2015 in a match at Wembley against Lithuania, ironically replacing Wayne Rooney in the second half of the game. After just 80 seconds of his first senior appearance he hit the back of the net, scoring a header from a Raheem Sterling cross.

      He featured as a substitute for many of his first caps, and as a result only managed five goals in his first two years in England colours. 2017 was when Harry really started hitting his straps in the national team. Five goals in the world cup qualification campaign helped England ease to the top of their group as they made it to Russia with a game in hand.

      Goals against Scotland, Malta (2), Slovenia and Lithuania in competitive fixtures, plus a double in the June friendly against France saw his overall tally climb to 12 by the end of the year.

      More Games = More Chances

      My Team's Next MatchEngland

      So what are the realistic expectations for a star striker in a national team? Kane managed seven goals in 2017 from six appearances, and as the country's best attacking weapon he is almost certain to feature in more than six games per year from 2018 onwards. If he remains fit, he should play for the national team for another nine years (which is a conservative estimation).

      England has organised four friendly matches prior to this year's FIFA World Cup, and will play in a minimum of three matches at the tournament itself. In a group containing Tunisia and Panama, we expect the English will at least make it to the Round of 16, meaning he should play in at least another four matches in June/July. 

      Then there is the newly formed UEFA Nations League competition, that will see even more international action for Europe's elite. In 2018 alone, England will play another four fixtures, meaning that by the end of this year Harry Kane may have featured in around 12 matches. As long as England continue to qualify for the European Championships and the World Cup, this trend should continue.

      Let's say Kane plays an average of ten matches for the next nine years. This would give him an overall tally of 113 appearances for England. At his current strike rate of roughly one goal every two matches, Kane would finish with 56, just ahead of Rooney. While he would need to perform exceptionally well to keep up this rate of goalscoring (and will need good players around him to create opportunities), there's certainly a better than +500 chance of him surpassing Rooney.

      Our Pick

      Of course, we're backing Harry Kane to overtake Wayne Rooney. While the former Manchester United star was a fantastic player at the top of his game, Kane's attention to detail and superior fitness leaves us confident that he will play for England into his mid-thirties (Rooney retired at age 31).

      With more opportunities to play for the national team, Kane may even be a chance of topping Peter Shilton's appearance record (125 caps). Regardless of how it unfolds, we're fortunate to be witnessing such a talented striker at the top of his game. Let's hope his form continues!

        Category : Soccer News

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