Premier League Predictions Week 21
The Final fixtures of 2017
Coming off a 4-0 performance from the last article we hope to finish off strong and jump right into 2018 profitably. The last article was comprised of straight up plays that I all liked, that all won. But what does one do when you look at the board that week and no single game lines stand out?
Staying away is never a bad idea. From now until the day we pass on there will be games to bet on. There will never be a shortage of action, so Not Betting every now and then is fine. BUT, that being said, abstaining is a tool. Another tool which I look to utilize from time to time is the PARLAY.
Heavy Home Favorite Healthy Heaping Holiday parlay
That's just a annoying glamorous way stating that I'm betting on all chalk and trying to kill the juice.
Chelsea (-600), Liverpool (-333) and Manchester United (-275), all should win. You can justifiably take them all on the goal lines to win by 2 goals but I'll go for the parlay and just risk 1 unit as oppose to 3 seperate bets.
BUT IF YOU WISH TO BET ON EACH GAME INDIVIDUALLY...
Liverpool has been boosted by the incoming signing of Virgil Van Dijk and can rely on the fact that they can rotate their attacking talent and not sacrifice the potency.
Leicester have 2 of the best finishers in England with Vardy and Mahrez so this game could easily see plenty of goals. The last 4 games between these sides have had 16 goals scored
Both teams to score (-167) and Liverpool win and over 2.5 goals (-175) are both available on William Hill. Chelsea should win and keep a clean sheet (-138 on William Hill) at home to Stoke, who are just awful. Hazard and co. smoked the Potters earlier this season 4-0 but Chelsea have had a real issue with converting chances as of late, which I don't see being a problem this Saturday December 30th at 10am EST, as Stoke have more trouble keeping the ball out of their net.
Manchester United should be more reliable than they are but the shadow of Manchester City towering over them seems to be making things harder as of late playing in a pair of 2-2 draws against teams they should be handling. Personally I think the loss of Eric Bailly to injury is an underrated aspect to their recent defensive struggles, especially at set pieces.
Bailly is their best defender and the player that Mourinho was centering his defensive philosophy around. Without him they can't cope and when a Mourinho team can't defend strongly they fall apart like his last season at Chelsea.
All that being said, Southampton are injured, short-handed and United desperate for three points will need to be ruthless. No more time for to feel sorry for themselves.
Pick: 3 team moneyline parlay (+107) on William Hill
BETTING ON GAMES YOU WOULD NEVER WATCH
We all do it, so there is no need to pretend. That being I may flip over to Newcastle-Brighton and Huddersfield-Burnley every few minutes to see if the scores are still 0-0.
We just saw Newcastle hold Manchester City to 1 goal at home. Brighton have only 5 goals in 10 Premier League games away from home this season. I don't have a ton of faith in Newcastle to create a heap of good chances either, so I can hope for a tight game. The first meeting of the season was a 1-0 Seagulls win.
When Huddersfield went to Turf Moor earlier this season it finished nil-nil which is why these lines are so heavily juiced and why I look to the parlay. If we lose, we only lose 1 unit. Not the end of my world. And with this mindset if feels like the positive gains flow freely into our accounts.
HAPPY NEW YEAR TO ALL...
PICK: PARLAY BOTH GO UNDER 2.5 GOALS (+120) on SportsInteraction
You can follow me on twitter @zahir_gilani
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