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Champions League Round of 16: First Leg Odds, Predictions

Champions League Round of 16: First Leg Odds, Predictions

Bet On The UEFA Champions League Round of 16

We've got midweek soccer to look forward to in four of the next five weeks, and it's all thanks to the Champions League Round of 16, which kicks off on Tuesday, February 13th. Eight of the sixteen teams will be in action each week, and we will be covering every single match so you don't miss a betting opportunity. Keep in mind that all odds listed in this preview are single game head to head prices for the first leg of each tie. The second legs of these matchups will be played on the first Tuesday and Wednesday in March.

Juventus vs Tottenham

Tuesday, February 13th @ 2:45pm ET

My Team's Next MatchJuventus

The first match of the Round of 16 is an absolute belter. Italian Champions and last year's finalists Juventus will host a strong Tottenham side boasting one of the most in form strikers in the world in Harry Kane. Italian goalkeeper Gianluigi Buffon is perhaps playing in his last Champions League tournament, and will be desperate to advance at the expense of the English side, who also boast a top number one in Hugo Lloris.

Recent Form and Key Statistics

Juventus finished second in Group D behind Barcelona and scored just seven goals in the campaign. The Italian side's inability to convert chances is surely a concern, and out of all their Round of 16 counterparts, no one has scored fewer goals than Juventus. The saving grace has been their defensive efforts - they only conceded five goals and allowed their opposition the fewest shots on target per game (2.3).

There have been no such woes in the attacking third in their domestic exploits. Juve have scored 61 goals from their 24 Serie A matches, and have the best offence and best goal difference. They have won twenty matches and only lost twice, and their last five games have yielded a cumulative scoreline of 13-0, aided by a 7-0 victory over Sassuolo in which Gonzalo Higuain scored a second half hat trick.

Juventus will be tough to beat at home. The Turin-based side is unbeaten in their last 22 Champions League fixtures at home (fourteen wins, eight draws), which is their longest run in the competition and dates back to April 2013. Juventus have kept nine clean sheets in their last 13 home matches.

Meanwhile Tottenham are one of just four undefeated sides in this season's Champions League and managed to defeat both Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund in the group stage. Spurs scored fifteen goals (all from open play) and conceded just four in a dominant display, winning five of their six matches. Harry Kane led the way for the English club - he scored six and assisted two of his side's goals, meaning he was involved in over 50% of the team's attacking productivity.

In the Premier League, Tottenham have just completed a remarkable run in which they defeated Arsenal and Manchester United and shared the points with Liverpool in consecutive fixtures. Once again it was Kane who led the way - he scored two of the side's five goals during that run including his 100th in the EPL. The club has lost just once in their last ten matches in the league.

Head To Head History

This will be the first ever competitive fixture between the two sides.

Fascinating Fact

Juventus striker Gonzalo Higuain has scored just four goals in 27 Champions League knockout matches (0.15 per game) compared with 15 in 44 group games (0.34).

The Odds

  • Juventus -105
  • Draw +227
  • Tottenham +312

Prediction

When two defensively sound teams who are rarely beaten clash it's always hard to pick a winner. Spurs will set up similar to how they did in Madrid and were brilliant in obtaining a 1-1 draw on that occasion. Juventus will need to force the play as the home side, and can probably afford to do so considering they too defend well.

Our pick is a narrow win to the home side, which will set up an epic return at Wembley. Go for Juventus @ -105.

FC Basel vs Manchester City

Tuesday, February 13th @ 2:45pm ET

My Team's Next MatchManchester City

Tuesday's other match looks to be much more straight forward. The Swiss Champions will have it all to do against a rampant City side that have not looked like losing this season (and in fact have only done so twice in all competitions). They could potentially jag a point in the first leg but will certainly lose overall.

Recent Form and Key Statistics

FC Basel scraped through to the Round of 16 thanks to a 1-0 victory over Manchester United in their penultimate fixture. In a match where United were the better side, the Swiss side punished their wasteful opponents with a last minute goal. Their haul of four wins in the group stage was impressive, and they managed a respectable goal difference of 11 for and 5 against.

Basel have a great record at home in the Champions League, and are unbeaten in their only two home knockout fixtures. They have also won four of their last five home matches against English opponents. Disappointingly, they have never made it beyond the Round of 16 stage, losing on aggregate in both the 2011/12 and 2014/15 campaigns.

Manchester City are playing in their seventh consecutive Champions League season, however have only made it past the Round of 16 on one occasion (2015/16). They have lost four of their six away matches in the knockout stage and have never managed a clean sheet on the road in the last sixteen. City also lost their most recent Champions League fixture, on the road against Shakhtar Donetsk.

Despite these statistics, you could not possibly write off a side that won their first five group stage matches with consummate ease, and currently holds a practically unassailable lead of sixteen points in the English Premier League. City are still in the running for an unprecedented quadruple of domestic and European cups, while their league form can be best explained by the fact that they boast three of the top four players in terms of goal assists, plus two of the top four goal scorers in the EPL.

Head To Head History

This will be the first ever competitive fixture between the two sides.

Fascinating Fact

City manager Pep Guardiola has won the Champions League on two occasions as a manager, and has reached the semi-finals in seven of his last eight seasons. Despite this, he hasn't led a team to the final since 2011.

The Odds

  • FC Basel +745
  • Draw +414
  • Man City -294

Prediction

Manchester City won't make the same mistake that their cross-town rivals made. They have far too many potent attacking weapons to fall short of winning this one. Kevin de Bruyne is on another level at the moment, and the resurgence of Sergio Aguero is equally impressive. Basel recorded the lowest average possession in the group stage out of any of the remaining sixteen, and will be on the back foot here from the kick off.

Go for Manchester City @ -294.

FC Porto vs Liverpool

Wednesday, February 14th @ 2:45pm ET

My Team's Next MatchLiverpool

Liverpool will travel to Portugal on Wednesday boasting an attack that managed 23 goals in the group stages. While they no longer have Philippe Coutinho to call upon, Mo Salah has been more than making up for his absence, and alongside Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mane will pose Porto all kinds of issues. 

Recent Form and Key Statistics

Porto emerged from a strange Group G that certainly didn't play out the way many thought it would. Monaco looked to be one of the best chances and ended up finishing last, with Porto defeating the reigning French champions by three goals on both occasions. In the end, Porto finished with three wins and two losses, scoring fifteen and conceding ten.

Porto come into the match on the back of excellent league form. The club currently tops the Primeira Liga having won seventeen of their 21 fixtures and remain undefeated in the competition. They will need to try and channel this form as they have a worrying trend in the Champions League - the home side have lost their last three knockout matches, with an unflattering goal difference of just one for and nine against.

Liverpool are yet to lose in this season's Champions League, and also hold the longest active undefeated streak in Champions League matches, dating back to their last appearance in the 2014/15 tournament. This is the first time the club has made it to the knockout stages since 2008/09, and they did it by scoring the second most goals in the tournament, finishing with 23 goals for and six against.

Domestically, Liverpool have been in decent form. They sit third in the EPL standings after 27 matches and have lost just one match in their last eighteen league matches.

Both sides boast prolific front men in this year's tournament. Porto's Vincent Aboubakar has scored five goals and achieved two assists, while Liverpool's Roberto Firmino has scored four and set up two. 

Head To Head History

Liverpool have come up against Porto on four occasions, and have not lost against their Portuguese opponents. The results of both matches played in Porto have resulted in draws.

Their only previous encounter in a European knockout round came in the 2000/01 UEFA Cup, where Liverpool emerged as 2-0 aggregate winners. 

Fascinating Fact

Liverpool managed more touches inside the opposition 18-yard box than any other team in this season's Champions League (251).

The Odds

  • FC Porto +200
  • Draw +247
  • Tottenham +128

Prediction

Twice Liverpool have ventured to Porto and twice they have secured a share of the points. They also drew twice away from home in the group stages, both times failing to hold onto a lead. Jurgen Klopp's men will likely play on the break, so it all depends on whether their opponents will choose to defend or push for an advantage leading into the second leg. The draw is very tempting here, although we believe the Reds will do the job. Go for Liverpool @ +128.

Real Madrid vs Paris Saint Germain

Wednesday, February 14th @ 2:45pm ET

My Team's Next MatchReal Madrid

Let's be real - the only fans of soccer not watching this match are likely to be Liverpool and Porto fans, owing to the fact that both matches are on simultaneously. This clash has the makings of a final, or at the very least a semi, and it's hard to believe that one of these giants will be eliminated at the Round of 16 stage.

Recent Form and Key Statistics

Cristiano Ronaldo achieved another unprecedented feat when he became the first player to score in all six Champions League group stage matches. Despite this effort, Madrid slumped to second place in their group behind Tottenham. Their loss to Spurs was the only one in the campaign, and they still managed an impressive seventeen goals to the good.

As back to back Champions League winners, Real obviously have a more than decent record at the event. They have made it to 21 consecutive tournaments, the longest run by any team in history, and have made it to the knockout stages on every occasion. They have made it to the semi-finals for the last seven consecutive tournaments, also a competition record.

Under Zinedine Zidane, Madrid have won 10 of 14 knockout matches (2 draws, 2 defeats) and have won all six at the Bernabeu. Finishing second in their group will certainly not phase the defending champs - they won the tournament after finishing second in last year's group stage.

PSG on the other hand have never made it to a Champions League final. They have failed to progress further than the quarter-finals in the last five seasons. Paris boss Unai Emery has never gone further than the Round of 16 in his five previous tournaments as manager. PSG have also lost four of their last six away matches in the knockout stage.

These statistics fail to articulate the fact that the club now boasts one of the most impressive teams in the world, and they made the other giants sit up and take notice by scoring a record 25 goals in the group stages. They managed an emphatic victory over Bayern Munich at home, and will travel to Madrid with few domestic distractions considering they top the French league by 12 points. 

Conversely, Madrid have fallen to fourth in La Liga, seventeen points behind Barcelona. A loss in this tie could prove to be the end for Zidane.

Head To Head History

Real Madrid and PSG have met on six occasions, with two wins each and two draws. PSG have knocked Real Madrid out of Europe in their last two knockout meetings, although these came way back in the mid 1990's. Their only previous encounter in the Champions League saw Madrid win one and draw one in the 2015/16 group stage, keeping a clean sheet on both occasions.

Fascinating Fact

PSG's Kylian Mbappe has scored six goals in as many knockout appearances in the Champions League. He also the youngest player to reach the 10-goal mark in the competition.

The Odds

  • Real Madrid +148
  • Draw +280
  • PSG +155

Prediction

The bookies can't split them, and neither can we. This is going to be a massive game. PSG have been ruthless at home and will back themselves to complete the job if they can hold on for a draw here. Yet Cristiano Ronaldo and Madrid will have other ideas. They haven't been in great form, but they are emphatic in this competition. A win would set this tie up. We think they can do it. Go for Real Madrid @ +148.  

Category : Soccer

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