| Mon 20/11/2017 - 05:31 EST

Champions League "Money Time" Predictions This Week

Champions League

Champions League Matchday 5

Matchday 5 and 6 are where everything is decided. On Matchday 5 some teams are already through and playing teams desperate for points. Some teams can clinch top of the group against a minnow and leave themselves with a meaningless matchday 6.

Some teams are in direct opposition to the side they're battling for top of the group. Such is the case when Liverpool head to Seville on Tuesday November 21st at 2:45pm EST.

Results / FixturesChampions League

Red Hot Sevillan Night in Group E

My Team's Next MatchSevilla

Sevilla are 1 point behind Liverpool and can leapfrog them with a win at home on Tuesday. Also behind both those teams is Spartak Moscow who with a win at home against lowly Maribor will set up a very fun final matchday.

Sevilla got a 2-2 draw at Anfield and triumphed over Klopp's Liverpool 2 seasons ago in the Europa League final, so there is some history with these sides. In short, when Sevilla step on the field on Tuesday they will do so fully confident that they are the better team. On recent form and with their resume in Europe over the past few seasons, it's hard to disagree.

This may wind up being one of the best games of the season and the home side has tremendous value. Both teams play to score and create, create and score so even with the stakes I expect a wide open affair. If Liverpool die, they will die on their sword.

Pick: Sevilla Draw No Bet (-103) & Over 2.5 goals (-167)

Another Stalemate For Monaco and RB Leipzig

My Team's Next MatchMonaco

Besiktas host Porto at Noon on Tuesday November 21st with the result playing a huge role on the Leipzig Monaco game at 2:45pm. Please note the group G standings:

  1. Besiktas (10 points)
  2. Porto (6 points)
  3. RB Leipzig (4 points)
  4. Monaco (2 points)

Porto needs a point in Turkey which is a hard place to play.

IF Porto draw OR lose then they will have opened the door wide open for Leipzig and Monaco to win out and advance to the knockout stage. What this would mean to me is I bet the Draw in Monaco/ Leipzig as both teams going for the 3 points but being so evenly matched would lead to another stalemate like the one they played to in September.

IF Porto win, the group looks pretty much over and done with and that makes the Leipzig/ Monaco game anticlimactic. 

Pick: Draw (+261)

Chelsea, Roma And Atletico 3-Way Dance

My Team's Next MatchAtletico Madrid

This Wednesday at 12pm Chelsea will be in Baku, Azerbaijan to play last-place Qarabag FK before their other group members square off in the Spanish capital. The current group C standings:

  1. Roma (8 points)
  2. Chelsea (7 points)
  3. Atletico Madrid (3 points)
  4. Qarabag (2 points)

IF Chelsea win on their long trip to Asia then Atletico, who can only reach a maximum tally of 9 points, must beat Roma, then zbeat Chelsea in London and hope for Qarabag to somehow take a point in Rome on Matchday 6 as they did to them on Matchday 4. 

A Chelsea win clinches their qualification, making Atletico Madrid's hope of advancing to the knockout stage basically done and dusted. Each result presents a good opportunity.

IF Chelsea win then Roma will look to position themselves to win the group and steal a point away from home. Atleti look like they will oblige as they are having a real difficult time scoring and creating chances. I take the Under 2.5 goals (-134) available on BET365.

IF Chelsea lose or draw then Atleti will look to mount their final stand by winning at home v. Roma then going to Stamford Bridge on Matchday 6 and stealing a spot. It will be hard to resist taking Atletic at (-106) on BET365. Though not in good form, they still have a pedigree in Europe that few can match.

William Hill also has Atletico to keep a clean sheet at +140 and having just held Real Madrid scoreless at home, this looks to also be a solid play, if they are motivated. Hopefully, they will be.

Basel To Upset Manchester United

My Team's Next MatchManchester United

Manchester United have made easy work of this group as they should have. Going 4-0-0 thus far means that they only need 1 point from their final two matches to clinch first in the group.

Basel are in a dog fight with CSKA Moscow for 2nd place and desperately need a result Wednesday. Taking points a giant club at home is not uncommon to this franchise who, though off the radar at the moment, have a rich European history. Mourinho took Chelsea to St. Jakob-Park in Switzerland before and playing there was not easy. 

Simple game theory points to Basel here as they need everything and United need nothing.

Pick: Basel or Draw (-118) available of BET365

You can follow me on twitter @zahir_gilani

Category : Soccer

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