Champions League Final Betting Trends: The Last 10 Years Facts That Matters
UEFA Champions League Winners
In 1992-93 what was once called the European Cup was changed to the Champions League. Since they altered its title and format, no Team has won the trophy in consecutive seasons. This Saturday June 3rd, Real Madrid aka the Galacticos look to make history and be the first team to accomplish this feat and win the trophy with the big ears for the 12th time in their illustrious history.
Standing in their way will be Italian giants Juventus aka The Old Lady who look to win this competition for the third time and make it a treble winning season having already claimed the Coppa Italia and Serie A. But let us to look into the past to make sense of the present:
|2015/16||Real Madrid||1-1 (5-3p)||Atlético||Stadio San Siro, Milan|
|2013/14||Real Madrid||4-1 (aet)||Atlético||Estadio do Sport Lisboa o Benfica, Lisbon|
|2012/13||Bayern||2-1||Dortmund||Wembley Stadium, London|
|2011/12||Chelsea||1-1 (4-3p)||Bayern||Futball Arena München, Munich|
|2010/11||Barcelona||3-1||Man. United||Wembley Stadium, London|
|2009/10||Internazionale||2-0||Bayern||Estadio Santiago Bernabey, Madrid|
|2008/09||Barcelona||2-0||Man. United||Stadio Olimpico, Rome|
|2007/08||Man. United||1-1 (6-5p)||Chelsea||Stadion Luzhniki, Moscow|
|2006/07||Milan||2-1||Liverpool||OAKA Spiros Louis, Athens|
Champions League Final Trends
- DON'T BALK AT CHALK
The betting favorite has really made Hay in this competition going 8-2 to lift the trophy over the past 10 seasons. 3 of those favorites needed more than 90 minutes to get the job done.
The only two upsets were in 2008-09 when Pep Guardiola's Barcelona came to the world's attention beating Manchester United in Rome, and in 2011-12 when Chelsea won their only Champions League ever beating Bayern Munich in their home arena. Although charming as ever, the Old Lady might just be as "successful" as in the 2014/15 final against the other big Spanish dog.
At this present moment in history, Spanish teams run the show. 5 of the last 6 finalists and the last three winners have been from Spain. The same rings true for the Europa League as well as 5 of the last 8 winners of both the Champions and Europa League are Spanish. The last Spanish team to lose a Champions League final to a non Spanish team was Valencia all the way back in 2000-01. To say that the country has a hold of the UCL would be an understatement.
- TIGHT AFFAIRS
In the last 10 years, the Over/ Under 2.5 goals has gone 4-6 while the game has gone into extra time four times, meaning that the DRAW cashed, at a price of +200 or better.
Three times in the last 9 years it went to Penalties, which on Bet365 goes for both Real Madrid and Juventus at +1200 meaning that if you took both teams at that price every season winning once in 6 years would be a break even point. Winning it three times in 9 years would have left you up 12 units on a prop bet.
If you think of the Champions League final in the same light as the superbowl, there will always be a high priced bet that cashes on an irregular basis. One that comes to mind is a SAFETY being scored at any point which may be around +800 or better on a given year. If memory serves there was a recent run of 4 Superbowls where a safety was scored in 3 of those games.
Speculators can always find hidden opportunities for large pay days.
For up to date picks and all things footy you can follow me on twitter @zahir_gilani
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