Kentucky Downs Ladies Turf Stakes Betting Odds
A quick glance at the contenders on paper shows very little separates this field as the top Beyer Speed Figures earned range from 88-92. This means some fine-line handicapping decisions will need to be made and virtually gurantees there’s ample value to be had.
Here’s the field:
- 1-I’m Betty G 7/2
- 2-Bonnie Arach 12/1
- 3-Storm the Hill 4/1
- 4-Oh So Terrible 15/1
- 5-Valadorna 8/1
- 6-Pas de Soucis 8/1
- 7-Hallie Belle 8/1
- 8-In the Lee 5/1
- 9-Insta Irma 6/1
- 10-Dubara 15/1
A closer look
It’s really hard to take a short price in this field and that’s no knock against front-running 7/2 morning line favorite I’m Betty G. The Mike Maker-trained filly has won three staight in gate-to-wire fashion and draws the inside post here which should suit her preferred running style.
It’s worth noting, however, that I’m Betty G has never attempted the tricky hills at Kentucky Downs and should be stalked intently by several runners in this field, including Bonnie Arch (12/1) who is drawn just to her outside. I’m Betty G handled Bonnie Arch last out in the Kentucky Downs Ladies Preview at Ellis Park, but a new venue could be enough to change that result.
West coast shipper Storm the Hill (4/1) is another intriguing filly and should benefit greatly from the confident hands of jockey Julien Leparoux. Storm the Hill won the Grade 3 Wilshire Stakes two starts back at Santa Anita and certainly figures to get a good trip in this race.
Runners possessing stamina often fare well in the uphill stretch at Kentucky Downs, so I look for Insta Irma 6/1 to make an impact.
The five year-old mare from the Richard Baltas barn had a rough trip May 5 at Churchill Downs in the Grade 2 Distaff Turf Mile, but that was her first race since Feb.17 and she appears to have trained forwardly at Del Mar in preparation for this event. Baltas isn’t shipping this one across country for the frequent flyer miles and jockey Drayden Van Dyke has been one of the hottest riders anywhere in the United States this summer.
Bottom line picks
This is one of the toughest and most intriguing betting races of the weekend. I haven’t even mentioned my fondness for 15/1 shot Dubara, who seems well-suited to handle this course after a fine fourth-place effort Sept.1 in the One Dreamer Stakes where she was beaten less than a length for all the money.
She earned a 91 Beyer Figure for that effort, which would make her very competitive here. Trainer Brendan Walsh, normally convervative with his runners, brings this gal back on short rest – a telling and confident move.
As mentioned already, I could make a case for most of the runners in the field (and just about have), but here are my top four:
- 1st: Dubara
- 2nd: Insta Erma
- 3rd: Storm the Hill
- 4th: I’m Betty G