Fri 09/09/2016 - 03:16 EDT

CFL Week 12 Predictions

CFL Week 12 Predictions

Week 12 of the CFL is here and we have 4 games going off, and 4 picks to give. The Friday night game is the Montreal Alouettes facing the BC Lions on the West Coast. Saturday's games have the Winnipeg Blue Bombers hosting the Saskatchewan Roughriders in the afternoon, and the Edmonton Eskimos hosting the Calgary Stampeders later on. Sunday gives us the Hamilton Tiger-Cats facing the Toronto Argonauts.

CFL Odds Week 12

Results / FixturesCFL

This is where we will keep track of our previous plays from week to week to promote transparency. While having a winning record in CFL predictions is great, there's a lot of variance from season to season, as there are so few games. So even with a winning strategy, it is possible to have a losing season, but stick with us longterm and we will provide our top plays. We will be focusing on ATS winners and not MLs, as they can lead to too many bankroll swings

Week 12 CFL Predictions

It's Week 12 in the CFL, and there are 4 games on tap. Can Montreal step out of its funk and get back on track against the Lions? Will the Roughriders snap their 6 game losing streak and halt the Bombers' streak of 5 games won in a row? We've got you covered, so let's get into it. 

Montreal Alouettes @ BC Lions Prediction

BET BC LIONS -9 AT SPORTINTERACTIONIt's Friday Night Football, and while this rivalry isn't as deep as the rest of the league's, it's sure to be a barnburner. The Montreal Alouettes are traveling to BC to face a dominant Lions defense. Sitting in the gutter of the Eastern Division, Montreal is looking for a way to jolt their offense and climb back up the ranks. They will be using QB Rakeem Cato instead of Kevin Glenn, but Cato will have to be quick on his heels, as the BC Lions lead the league in sacks. Kevin Glenn was sacked by the Lions D 6 times in Montreal's 38-18 home loss in Week 7, so this doesn't bode well for them. This Montreal team hasn't been good ATS either, going 3-7 so far, to the Lions' 8-2. The Als can't handle good teams, going only 2-6 ATS against teams with a winning record, and specifically don't fare well against the Lions, going 9-25 ATS against them in their last 34, and 3-13 ATS at games in BC. Taking all this into account (Montreal's ATS record vs BC, Montreal's ATS record in general, their previous result this season in Week 7), the line seems fishy hovering around 9, and should probably be 10 or higher. Take the BC Lions at home against the struggling Als. Cato might be a factor, but Montreal's problems are deeper than just QB. Take the BC Lions at -9.

Saskatchewan Roughriders @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers Prediction

BET WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS -7 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONIn a rematch from Labour Day weekend, the Saskatchewan Roughriders will try to get revenge on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers after a painful loss. Sitting at 1-9 and at the bottom of the Western Division, and feeling they should have won that game last week could give the Riders enough drive to put together a good game. They did not lose by a lot, and lost by questionable means, by a pass interference call. They did cover however, only losing by 3, while the spread was around 4 or 5. The Blue Bombers, however, have won their last 5 games, and I do not see the Roughriders breaking that streak, regardless of how much they want it. The Riders will most likely be looking at their 7th loss in a row, but will they cover? The line opened at 10, but has been pounded down to 7, with Saskatchewan money coming in. This favors the Bombers. Not counting last week, they have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4. The Roughriders are also abysmal on the road, going 4-14-1 ATS in their last 19 games away from home. While not an elite team, the 6-4 Blue Bombers will flip the script and instead of Saskatchewan showing they should have won their last game, look for the Bombers to show they should have won by a larger number. Take the Winnipeg Blue Bombers at -7.

Calgary Stampeders @ Edmonton Eskimos Prediction

BET EDMONTON ESKIMOS +2.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONThe second game of the doubleheader has the 8-1 Calgary Stampeders, the best team in the league, visiting the Edmonton Eskimos for an Alberta rivalry game. It is another rematch from Labour Day weekend, which saw the Stampeders dismantle the Eskimos 45-24. This game could be trickier. Bo Levi Mitchell is a great leader for his team, and even though there have been injuries on the receiving end, the team was deep enough to fix them. Mike Reilly and Adarius Bowman can score points so, offense is not a problem for this team, but if we see the Eskimos buckle down defensively, this game could be a low scoring affair, with the Eskimos getting the tight win, or the slight cover. Bowman was held to low yardage last week, so we might see him break out this game. While the Stamps seem like the no-brainer pick, Reilly's team has given them some trouble in recent history. Not counting last week's game, the Eskimos are 3-0 SU and ATS against the Stampeders. Not only that, they are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 following a SU loss, and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 following the same criteria. It's something to think about, and if there's a time for the Stampeders to lose, it will be here. Take the Edmonton Eskimos at +2.5.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ Toronto Argonauts Prediction

BET TORONTO ARGONAUTS +6.5 AT BODOGIn yet another rivalry game, and yet another Labour Day Weekend rematch, the Hamilton Tiger-Cats will try to win this one in Toronto. Down 27-7, the Ti-Cats came back to win the game in convincing fashion 49-36, covering the spread of 10. The Toronto Argonauts imploded, with Ricky Ray throwing some key interceptions which swung the game's momentum. Having lost their last 4 in a row, the pressure's on Toronto to make a run. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4, but they will cover this game. They are not a good team, but being up by 20 last week means they know Hamilton's weaknesses. They know how to contain Zach Collaros, and this week they will stay calm and play the football they know. Ricky Ray won't make the same mistakes as last week. Having the rematch so close to the last one makes the revenge factor a more powerful variable. The Cats are also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 following both a SU and ATS win. 6.5 is a lot to give up on the road, and with the way the game went last week, if the bounces just didn't fall that way, Toronto would have taken it. If they don't win SU, they will cover. Take Toronto +6.5 in this spot.

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