| Thu 15/02/2018 - 15:38 EST

Bellator 194: Mitrione to Exact Revenge on Nelson

Bellator 194: Mitrione to Exact Revenge on Nelson

Mitrione vs Nelson 2 Fight Breakdown

Mitrione will never forget the first meeting with Nelson, particularly towards Joe Silva. According to him, he was so upset with the matchmaking that he kicked the UFC's diminutive matchmaker. Mitrione, who uses plenty of his footwork and movement, was hindered by the small octagon he and Nelson tangled in resulting in his first ever knockout loss.

Five years later to today, Mitrione gets to correct this loss. While only two years younger than Nelson, the former defensive tackle for the Purdue Boilermakers is the fresher fighter having absorbed less damage through his years. This was also because he's fought lower-level competition while Nelson has fought champions like Fabricio Werdum and Andrei Arlovski in their primes.

Mitrione (-190) is the decided favourite for good reason but Nelson (+155) will be a live underdog as the two fight to advance to the next stage of the Bellator Heavyweight Grand Prix:

Bellator 194

Mitrione will have a significant reach, size, and speed advantage in this fight and thanks to a bigger Bellator cage, he'll be able to use all of this to their full extent. Mitrione is also on a three-fight winning streak and has plenty of momentum on his side especially with a scintillating knockout over MMA legend Fedor Emelianenko. Mitrione will utilize his movement and reach to outstrike Nelson.

While Nelson still has that one-shot power, he has barely knocked anyone out. In his last nine fights, Nelson only has two knockouts and this came over shopworn fighters in Antonio Silva and Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira. Nelson, now 41, is also beginning to show his age appearing slower in many of his fights. He's also elected to wrestle more now, a tactic that won't work against Mitrione who has solid takedown defence. 

Prediction: while Nelson holds a prior victory over Mitrione, the tides have changed and Mitrione should soundly defeat Nelson. Mitrione is just much faster and fresher and it will show as he'll beat the grizzled veteran around the Bellator cage like a volleyball. Bank on Mitrione to win either by decision or a late knockout.

Our Record: 7-3

Matt Mitrione (-190) Bodog

Betting Stats & Tidbits:

  • 54%: the expected outcome of a Mitrione finish - the most predicted outcome in his fight with Nelson and the second-highest in the card next to Heather Hardy by decision (60%)
  • 4-1: Mitrione's betting record as a favourite in his last five fights; his only loss came against Ben Rothwell in 2015 when he opened at -165
  • 0-5: Nelson's betting record as an underdog in his last five fights; Nelson has not won as an underdog since 2007 
  • 3/3: the combined over/under record for Mitrione and Nelson in their last three bouts; Mitrione's over/under record is 1/2 while Nelson's is 2/1

Bellator 194 Fight Card Predictions

All betting odds via Bodog.

Mitrione and Nelson aren't the only fighters in a rematch. Patricky Freire (-240) and Derek Campos (+190) are set for their own sequel. Freire defeated Campos by TKO in their first bout in 2014 and should again win utilizing his superior striking though expect Campos to make this a competitive affair.

Former Bellator champion Liam McGeary (-125) takes on Fedor Emelianenko's prodigy, Vadim Nemkov (-105). Money has come in heavily on Nemkov for good reason. He isn't just a deadly kickboxer but can also wrestle, which is McGeary's kryptonite. Since losing his championship to Phil Davis, McGeary hasn't looked the same. Expect Nemkov to take the fight to the Brit and use his wrestling to win this. 

And last but not least, a battle between two boxing champions in Heather Hardy (-365) and Ana Julaton (+275) in what promises to be the first of two epic tilts. Hardy is a shaky favourite here and if the money should lean on Julaton who has more MMA experience and isn't coming from a one-sided beating.

Main Card (Paramount Network, 9 PM ET)

  • Heavyweight (265 lbs): Matt Mitrione (-190) vs Roy Nelson (+155)
  • Lightweight (155 lbs): Patricky Freire (-240) vs Derek Campos (+190)
  • Light Heavyweight (205 lbs): Liam McGeary (-125) vs Vadim Nemkov (-105)
  • Women's Flyweight (125 lbs): Heather Hardy (-365) vs Ana Julaton (+275)
  • Featherweight (145 lbs): Tywan Claxton (-1565) vs Jose Antonio Perez (+935)

Canadian Sportsbooks for MMA in 2018

There are tons of MMA and boxing this weekend with UFC Fight Night and boxing studs like Danny Garcia and Chris Eubank Jr. all in action. Whichever you watch, join all the Canadians who head to these online sportsbooks to get their wagering needs complete with the best lines.

But first, read our reviews and find the sportsbook that best suits your style.

Category : More news

More articles...
More news - 18/07/19
Football? Golf? Soccer? Do you know the fastest Sport played on grass? 
Do you know which is the fastest Sport played on grass? Hurling is. You have never heard of it? This sport was created by the Celts around one thousand years ago in Ireland and it is still very popular on the island. Check out this ultimate hurling guide.
More news - 15/07/19
ICC Cricket World Cup Odds 2019 
The ICC Cricket World Cup is the flagship event of the international cricket calendar and takes place every four years. The 2019 event will be hosted by England and Wales from May 30 to July 14, 2019. Below, you can find all the Cricket World Cup Odds which were last updated on July 15, 2019.
More news - 31/05/19
Anthony Joshua vs Andy Ruiz betting odds 
Just a few weeks after Deontay Wilder ended Dominic Breazeale in a matter of seconds, pound-for-pound heavyweight king Anthony Joshua returns to try and outdo his budding archnemesis. Pitted against last-minute challenger Andy Ruiz, Joshua will be a gigantic favourite as he makes his debut on American soil. This will either be the final bout to a superfight between Joshua and Wilder or heavyweight boxing's most historic upset. We break down the odds.
More news - 26/05/19
National Lacrosse League 2018-19 Futures - Bandits On The Loose 
After a labor dispute threatened to derail the entire season, a deal was reached on November 24th between the owners and the players of the National Lacrosse League. Better late than never, the season begins on December 15th, with sports betting sites listing the Saskatchewan Rush as favorites to win their fourth title over the past half-decade. The Rush represent the best of Canadian lacrosse: Toronto and Calgary struggle to regain past glory, while Vancouver attempts to finish above .500 for the first time in franchise history.