Kent Tukeli | Thu 19/04/2018 - 13:01 EDT

Bruins vs Maple Leafs: Toronto Seeks Series Split

Bruins vs Maple Leafs: Toronto Seeks Series Split

Bruins vs Maple Leafs Game 4 Odds

My Team's Next MatchToronto Maple Leafs

NHL odds and lines courtesy of Sports Interaction

Moneyline: Toronto (+100) :: Boston (-120)

Fascinating that the straight up moneyline hasn’t budged since Toronto’s game three victory. This suggests that handicappers weren’t impressed by the 4-2 triumph the Leafs earned at the Air Canada Centre. Under regular circumstances, Toronto would have been the favorites for both home games, with their odds of a straight up win growing in game four. However, the Maple Leafs haven’t rectified defensive problems, instead relying on incredible goaltending. Injury and suspension affect the Leafs forward depth, leaving the door open for another Boston deluge.

Puckline: Toronto +1.5 (-260) :: Boston -1.5 (+215)

Puckline odds have shifted over the past couple of days, changing from +245 to +215 for a two-goal Boston victory. Toronto’s underdog puckline has shrunk from -305 to -260, remaining the most expensive standard betting option. Bettors should be suspicious that the moneyline hasn’t budged, while the puckline has moved towards Boston. This doesn’t signal another Bruins blowout, similar to the first two games, but it shows that Boston has the undivided confidence of the NHL betting community.

Over/Under: Over 6.0 (+100) :: Under 6.0 (-120)

The totals for game three shifted to 5.5, responding to the likelihood of a better defensive effort from the Leafs in game three. Instead, Toronto held Boston to a pair of goals because of Frederik Andersen saving his teammates from another embarrassing evening. Appropriately, the totals have shifted back to 6.0 goals, like games one and two. Every match this series has resulted in a total of six goals or more, which hints that the most likely outcome will be a push.

Bruins vs Maple Leafs Betting Trends

Winning takes care of everything, an attitude which Tiger Woods, Nike and Toronto embrace wholeheartedly after a 4-2 victory at the Air Canada Centre. The Leafs allowed 40 shots again? Doesn’t matter, win. Frederik Andersen completely stole the game from Boston? That’s cool, win. Boston had better possession stats, seven fewer giveaways and blocked more shots in game three. Essentially, Toronto defeated the Bruins despite Boston’s superior performance. Andersen was the difference for the Maple Leafs, and he’ll need to repeat his incredible performance for Toronto to win any game.

  • Toronto allowed 40 shots or more in two of three games this series.
  • Frederik Andersen stole game three with unconscious performance.
  • Bruins outscore Leafs 14-8 in three matches.
  • All three games combined for six or more goals.
  • Marchand-Bergeron-Pastrnak line scored 20 points in first two games.

Boston deserves to remain calm, despite losing game three. The Bruins will face tougher line matches in Toronto compared to home ice, but Nazem Kadri and Leo Komarov will remain sidelined for game four, restricting coach Babcock to shifting Plekanec up to the second line. Despite Marleau and Marner lighting the lamp, Tomas remained among the worst of Toronto’s forwards in terms of possession stats, with a lowly 30.3 CF% during even strength. Marleau and Marner lifted Plekanec, not vice versa.

After putting up 20 points in two games, the trio of Marchand, Bergeron and Pastrnak combined for a minus seven rating in game three. However, the Bruins superline had the same number of shots as the Leafs top line of Matthews, Hyman and Nylander. Essentially, the Bruins best forwards had a comparable number of scoring chances, but Andersen shut the door. Hot goalies have won series before, but the Leafs lack of defensive structure will eventually strain Frederik beyond his limit.

Bruins vs Maple Leafs Game 4 Prediction

Toronto needed one of the most amazing saves in the NHL playoffs to secure a win in game three, a microcosm of the issues facing the Maple Leafs throughout the regular season. More often than not, Toronto required outstanding play from Freddie or elite backup Curtis McElhinney to secure a victory, regardless of their opponent. The Leafs allowed 33.9 shots on goal per game over 82 regular season matches, ranked fourth-worst in the league. During the playoffs, Toronto’s ceded 36.7 shots per game, second-worst behind Columbus.

The Maple Leafs have given away more pucks in all three matches, part of the reason why Boston has been able to outscore, outshoot and out-chance Toronto. There’s no hint that any of these trends will flip, which leaves the balance of the game in the hands of Frederick Andersen, who must make up for the Leafs defensive shortcomings. Auston Matthews needs to meet the offensive output of Mitch Marner, arguably the best Maple Leafs forward during this series.

Boston’s rightfully favored to win game four in Toronto, but the presence of Frederick Andersen gives the Maple Leafs a chance to steal a second consecutive home win. Andersen also reduces the odds of a puckline win for the Bruins. Ergo, wagering on a Bruins straight up win will be the best wagering option on Thursday night. All games have featured six or more goals, which makes an over bet at +100 a superb option.

Bet Boston Bruins Straight Up (-120)

Category : NHL

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