Kent Tukeli | Mon 16/04/2018 - 14:01 EDT

Bruins vs Maple Leafs: Desperation Time For Toronto

Bruins vs Maple Leafs: Desperation Time For Toronto

Bruins vs Maple Leafs Game 3 Odds

My Team's Next MatchToronto Maple Leafs

NHL odds and lines courtesy of Sports Interaction

Moneyline: Toronto (+100) :: Boston (-120)

Handicappers give the Toronto Maple Leafs their best odds of capturing a win this series, with the moneyline rising to a respectable +100. Typically, the Leafs would be slight favorites at home in a must-win situation, but Boston will have the best odds of winning because of Toronto’s horrendous, listless defending during the first two games. 

Coach Babcock will alter his matchup strategy to stem the flow of easy goals enjoyed by Bruins snipers, but Toronto’s personnel situation limits the effectiveness of these adjustments. Boston’s -120 moneyline might be the best price for a straight up Bruins win during this lopsided series.

Puckline: Toronto +1.5 (-305) :: Boston -1.5 (+245)

Boston’s blown up the puckline in both games at home, a task which becomes more difficult when they travel to the Air Canada Centre. Appropriately, the odds of the puckline have spiked to +245, offering a considerable payout for a two-goal Bruins victory. Toronto’s puckline isn’t worth considering because of low value. The Maple Leafs puckline sits at -305, requiring an expensive investment for a limited return. Moneyline wagers offer safer action tonight, but if you’re going to bet the puckline, choose Boston.

Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-135) :: Under 5.5 (+115)

The over/under for this match drops to 5.5 after the first two contests featured a 6.0 total. Despite a push in game one and ten goals in the second leg, sportsbooks seem to believe that the Leafs will leverage matchup advantages to stop the Marchand-Bergeron-Pastrnak line. Most of the money leans towards the over, with odds of -135. Considering the suspension and injury of Toronto’s top defensive forwards, a third game of six or more goals seems likely, making the over an attractive wager.

Bruins vs Maple Leafs Betting Trends

Boston did whatever they want while Toronto watched helplessly in game two, leading to a 7-3 beating and a 2-0 series lead for the Bruins. The line of Marchand, Bergeron and Pastrnak have mercilessly roasted the Leafs, accumulated 20 points in two games. Toronto allows David Pastrnak to look like Connor McDavid, with the Bruins winger netting a hat trick and three assists during game two. David’s been involved in nine of twelve Boston goals, and he’s the youngest player to earn six points in a single playoff match.

  • Marchand, Bergeron and Pastrnak line have 20 points in two games.
  • David Pastrnak scored three goals, three assists in game two.
  • Bruins outscored Maple Leafs 12-4 in two wins.
  • Boston has five power play goals in ten attempts.
  • Nazem Kadri suspended for game three; Leo Komarov injured.

The absence of Nazem Kadri ended up becoming a notable problem for the Leafs in game two, as no other Toronto forward was able to keep up with the Bruins top line. Special teams were an issue for Toronto again, with the Leafs giving up a pair of power play markers. Perhaps most worrisome, Boston dominated hustle stats despite owning the puck. The Bruins outhit the Leafs 34-28, and Boston blocked 15 shots compared to only four for Toronto.

Kadri will miss his second game due to suspension, while grizzled vet Leo Komarov might not make the lineup for game three. This depletes the defensive depth of the Maple Leafs forward group, which will challenge coach Babcock during the series return to Toronto. Players like Plekanec and Bozak haven’t been able to make much of a difference against Boston skaters, while Matthews and Marner can only do so much on their own. Despite home advantage, the Leafs face an uphill battle.

Bruins vs Maple Leafs Game 3 Prediction

The first two games of the 2018 NHL playoffs have been a complete disaster for the Maple Leafs, who haven’t put up much of a resistance against the Bruins. Usually, teams heading home after dropping the first two games on the road have an advantage in the third, but the desperation necessary to will a win doesn’t appear likely from the Leafs. Instead, local media writes about how some long-time Toronto players have already checked out, never a promising portent in a hockey crazed market.

Porous defense continues to doom Toronto, a situation which will become worse because of an injury to Leo Komarov. Without Kadri and Komarov, the integrity of the Maple Leafs team defense will be less likely to hold. Increasing ice time for Matthews and Marner might be the solution, but the Leafs elite forward depth drops considerably after their top two strikers. Unheralded youngsters like Kapanen and Johnsson could leverage their superior speed against slower Bruins, but Boston’s forward depth will shine once again.

Signs point to a third Bruins win over the Maple Leafs, unless Toronto plays one of their best games of the season, which is unlikely given the circumstances. Even a superb effort from the Leafs doesn’t guarantee a win against a Boston squad which features greater depth at every position and superior team defense. As such, a Bruins straight up win at -120 looks like great value, along with an over result on 5.5 goals. A +245 Bruins puckline looks enticing, but a one goal win for Boston’s a less risky bet.

Boston Bruins Win Striaght Up (-120)

Category : NHL

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