Can Kershaw Edge Keuchel At Minute Maid?
Astros at Dodgers World Series Game 5
After a tight Game 4, Cody Bellinger ended up being the hero with a go ahead double in the ninth inning. It couldn't have come from a more surprising source, as the youngster had zero hits and eight SO in his first 13 ABs of the World Series. He'll look to continue a streak in a better direction on Sunday night in a pitching rematch of Game 1 with the locales switched.
We hit two losses in a row for the first time this postseason, as we had the Astros on Saturday night. Our record unfortunately falls to 22-9, but we are still up a ton and hopefully can keep the losses to single digits. Stick with us for the rest of the World Series because there's potentially three games left to beat.
The line opened with the Dodgers as moderate away favorites. It moved towards Houston a bit as home dogs, but not a significant amount. The line should stay around where it is now.
Don't be fooled by this game. We can't expect it to go exactly as we think. The Dodger offense seems to have woken up at the end of Game 4, while Houston is still struggling mightily against left handers. And we agree, Los Angeles does have an edge here.
But we've seen this matchup before, and the Dodgers only won 3-1, off homers. Keuchel is much better at home, and should stifle LA's offense, which at this point just seems like a flash in the pan. They haven't proben to be consistent away from home in this series yet.
Kershaw will play well, but Keuchel will be great too, so the Astros have no business being priced as moderate dogs in this spot. That's why we'll take the Astros on the RL and get that extra run and a half for less than it would be to take the Dodgers on the road here.
Pick: Houston Astros +1.5 (-135) at Sports Interaction
The Los Angeles Dodgers, who seemingly looked like they were in a bad spot after Game 3, came back big last night. Bellinger broke out of his slump at the best time, and spurred a five run ninth inning to take Game 4 by a score of 6-2. Their offense is back, and with Kershaw on the mound, they'll look to pick up another game here so they have two opportunities to take the series back at Dodger Stadium.
Clayton Kershaw (3-0, 2.96 ERA) will make things easier for that to happen. The lefty won't have Dodger Stadium's parameters though, or that intense LA crowd behind him here. In his first appearance in this series in Game 1, Kershaw went seven innings, striking out 11 and giving up just one run, a solo shot by Alex Bregman, on three hits.
It'll be tough to replicate that though in Houston. While Kershaw's numbers this postseason are stellar, he's still only 4-7 with a 4.55 ERA in his first 18 postseason appearances, 14 of which were starts. A lot of that can be blamed on short rest however.
After a letdown in Game 4, the Houston Astros will have a lot to think about before Game 5, especially concerning their weak bullpen. After losing that game in the ninth inning, the 'Stros squandered the opportunity to become the first team in history to win their first eight postseason home games. They are now just 7-1.
But it's not only bullpen issues. They are almost useless when facing lefties, as evidenced by their mere two hits on Saturday night. And they now have to face a lefty with even nastier stuff than Alex Wood.
Dallas Keuchel (2-2, 3.00 ERA) will have a lot of pressure to perform at his best if his team is to have a chance here. The former All Star needs to go deep, to avoid bringing that abysmal bullpen into play, and he'll have to keep the Dodgers' hitters in check because he'll most likely not have a lot of run support.
Keuchel was on the losing end of this matchup in Game 1, giving up a homer to Chris Taylor in the first inning, and then a two run homer to Justin Turner in the sixth to take the 3-1 loss.
That was on the road though.
At home, Keuchel has won both his postseason starts. And in a 12.2 inning span, the lefty has only allowed one run, while striking out 17. He'll need those kinds of numbers if he's to do his job here and give his team the lead. It'll make Verlander in Los Angeles a lot more interesting, that's for sure.
Do you agree with our pick? Or will the Dodgers take two in a row at Minute Maid? Let us know what you think in the comment section below, and be sure to share and follow us for more MLB postseason picks!
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