| Fri 27/04/2018 - 14:35 EDT

Raptors vs Wizards: Washington Forces Inevitable Game Seven

Raptors vs Wizards: Washington Forces Inevitable Game Seven

Raptors vs Wizards Game 6 Odds

My Team's Next MatchToronto Raptors

The Toronto Raptors opened as -5.0 favourites but the betting line now sits with the Washington Wizards as the favourites at -1.5. This near-seven point swing within a 24-hour window shows just how little faith fans have in the Raptors, who have dropped six of their last seven road games and are 1-7 ATS in their last eight. Washington, on the flipside, is 5-1 SU in that span. 

When it comes to predicting Raptors games, it goes beyond simple number-crunching the way the lines are automated. The Raptors appeared to have gotten rid of their playoff ghosts when they soundly won the first two games but couldn't close out Washington in game 4 and barely just got by in game 5 despite a ten-point win. Washington is the rightful team to support here.

Raptors vs Wizards Betting Trends

The Raptors may have the overall better record against Washington, but playing them on the road is another story. In recent history, Toronto has not played well at the Verizon Center while Washington has been good. 

  • Toronto is winless (0-4) at Washington in the playoffs
  • Washington is 2-3 SU in elimination games in their last five games
  • Toronto is 6-4 ATS in their last ten games versus Washington
  • Washington is 4-1 SU in its last five home games 
  • The total has gone over in four of the last six games when Toronto plays at Washington 

The last three games have been stressful for Raptors fans. Game 5 back in the Air Canada Centre had Toronto and Washington neck-and-neck until Washington started bricking their shots in the final six minutes of the game. Otherwise, the game could've gone either way. It was a reversal of game 4 at Washington.

Washington only hit five of their 26 three-point attempts and shot 41.1 per cent for the whole game but that didn't seem like the case for the first three periods as they were hitting shots with ease. Toronto, who finished the regular season ranked in the top-five in defensive rating appeared slack on defence. John Wall drained 47.62 per cent of his shots and led Washington with 26 points and nine assists. 

So far the Raptors have been unable to stop Wall who is averaging 26.6 points and 12.2 assists in the playoffs on top of 2.6 steals. And he'll only get better at home. Delon Wright and Jonas Valanciunas stepped up for the Raptors. Wright scored 18 including several clutch baskets earning a parting shot from Wizards' forward Kelly Oubre Jr. about his subpar performance in Washington.

Oubre Jr. wasn't wrong. Wright averages 15.7 points at home but only 6.5 at Washington. Same can be said for Valanciunas who had his second double-double of the series with 14 points and 13 boards. But while in Washington, Valanciunas's rebounding average drops from 12 at home to just 4.

Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan will continue to produce at a high-level but if the Raptors are to close out Washington, guys like Wright and Valanciunas have to play better.   

Raptors vs Wizards Game 6 Prediction

The last three games have proven that this isn't your typical one versus eight match-up. These Wizards are for real and led by Wall and Bradley Beal, they'll keep giving the Raptors issues. They not only cancel out the star power of DeRozan and Lowry but have even outplayed them while getting significant contributions from Marcin Gortat, Mike Scott, and Oubre Jr. 

The Raptors' supporting cast has either been injured or missing. Serge Ibaka has virtually vanished since game 2, Wright and Valanciunas shrink when on the road, and Fred VanVleet is still on the mend. It will again be up to DeRozan and Lowry to do most of the work in Washington especially if the Raptors' defence falters again as it has for the second-halves of game 3 and 4. 

This will be a competitive game up until the point Wall and Beal take over again. Unless the Raptors can play lockdown defence for all four periods, which they have proved they can't, and unless the supporting cast step up and play significantly better, which is a longshot, this will be a Wizards victory and to a seventh game we go.

Washington Wizards -1.5 (-110)

Category : NFL

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