Formula 1 Futures - Odds To Win in 2018
There's just six races remaining in this year's Formula 1 season, and the stakes couldn't be higher. Once again it's a two-horse race between Lewis Hamilton and Sebastian Vettel, with the latter with plenty of ground to make up on his bitter rival.
While the top two are close, the race for the Constructors' Championship is even closer, and there's definitely value available in the market if you think Ferrari can overtake Mercedes.
So who is the most likely to take out this year's crown?
The 2018 Season So Far
2018 In Focus
Since his retirement from the Austrian GP in July, Lewis Hamilton has really put his foot down, so to speak. Four big wins and two second-place finishes have seen the Englishman pull clear from main rival Sebastian Vettel in the standings.
Hamilton now leads the German by 40 points, and it already looks as though this may be too much for Vettel to peg back with just six races to go. Hamilton has arguably the better car and has matured to the point where he has the better temperament - it's going to be tough to see anyone else win this year's race for the title.
Lets take a look at the odds, provided by Sports Interaction.
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Drivers' Championship Odds
Lewis Hamilton is the unbackable favourite - there's simply no value in placing a bet on the world's best driver at odds of -715.
If you disagree, the only viable alternative is to go with Sebastian Vettel, who is available for +350.
Other than that, the only mathematical chances remaining are Valtteri Bottas (+50000), Kimi Raikkonen (+50000) and Max Verstappen (+100000), who remained in the hunt thanks to a second-placed finish in Singapore.
It's going to take a colossal, unprecedented collapse for Hamilton to lose this championship, so the smart money is with the leader - your best bet is to parlay this market into the Constructors' Championship market (and even then you're only looking at -238 for the win).
Constructors' Championship Odds
While the Drivers' Championship is all but over, there is still a slim hope for Ferrari in the race to be crowned the top manufacturer. While Hamilton continues to win for Mercedes, it's going to be tough for the Italian company to catch up, but they do have two excellent drivers in Vettel and veteran Kimi Raikkonen.
The current gap is 40 points, although this is easily made up if both Ferraris finish on the podium for the remainder of the season.
But with just six races remaining you would have to think Raikkonen must win his first race of the year (and potentially his second and third) to give them any chance. Hamilton is not going to finish outside of the top four unless his engine fails, so the Ferrari pair will need to finish top two for the remaining races to be in with a genuine chance.
Unsurprisingly, Mercedes are short favourites, priced at -400 to take out the Constructors' Championship.
Ferrari are priced at +250, which is actually quite short considering the mathematical odds. Nonetheless, they present value if you think Mercedes will unravel in the final stretch.