2018 Ogden Phoenix Stakes
Counterintuitively perhaps, smaller fields can produce golden betting opportunities when the public's money settles on the top betting picks. I'm not sure if that's what will happen in the Phoenix, but most of the race betting action figures to settle on two contenders - Whitmore and Limousine Liberal.
Let's meet the field:
- 1-Promises Fulfilled 8/5
- 2-Whitmore 9/5
- 3-Distinctive B 15/1
- 4-Limousine Liberal 2/1
- 5-Heartwood 12/1
- 6-Dalmore 15/1
I simply don't buy Promises Fulfilled as the favorite in this spot. If the public is fooled into sending this runner to post at 8/5 or lower, then I'll be ecstatic. I look for Promises Fulfilled to get hooked early by Distinctive B, Heatwood or Dalmore, leaving him running on fumes through the last furlong. Moreover, I think Whitmore and Limousine Liberal are simply better horses at this stage in the game.
Whitmore and Limousine Liberal should be closing nicely down the Keeneland lane but which runner gets the money? It will, in essence, be a rematch of the Aug.25 Forego at Saratoga where Whitmore outlasted the Liberal to the wire. That race, however, has at 7 furlongs and Limousine Liberal is a better horse at Keeneland where he's stabled and trains througout most of the year.
I'll take Limousine Liberal on top here. If I can get his 2/1 morning line price, I'll feel lucky, but I'm holding out hope the bettors send him to post higher than that. I can easily see 5/2 or 3/1 and that would be a gift.
If you are betting multirace wagers like the Pick 3 or Pick 4, I'd also cover Whitmore's number as he's the next-likely winner.
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