NFL Wild Card Weekend: Titans at Chiefs Odds, Picks, Live Score
AFC 2018 Wild Card Game One Preview
Back in the postseason for a third straight season, Kansas City (10-6) looks to build on what has been a dismal run as the Chiefs are 1-6 in second season contests dating back to 2003. The Chiefs lone win during that stretch was 30-0 trashing of the Houston Texans, two years ago, but then they lost 27-20 to the Patriots. Kansas City lost 18-16 to Pittsburgh in the Divisional playoffs last season. Following a long drought, Tennessee (9-7) returns to the NFL playoffs for the first time since 2008.
Strange is the best way to describe the Chiefs regular season as they stormed out of the gate with five straight wins - including a 42-27 pounding of the Patriots in Week 1. Falling on tough times, Kansas City then lost six of their next seven games and they hit rock bottom during a 38-31 loss to the New York Jets in Week 13. Closing out their season strong, KC won their final four contests albeit not versus the most talented teams. The Chiefs averaged 25.9 PPG and allowed 21.2 PPG.
Tennessee experienced a rollercoaster style season - largely due to QB Marcus Mariota not being 100% healthy and the coaching staff refusing to replace relic RB DeMarco Murray with former Alabama Crimson Tide stud Derrick Henry. The Titans were 4-3 as they entered their Week 8 BYE and then went 4-1 before stumbling to a 1-3 record to close out their regular season. Tennessee was middle of the road on both sides of the ball as they scored 20.9 PPG and allowed 22.3 PPG.
FINAL SCORE: Tennessee Titans 22-21 Betting Results: Titans ML & S/U & UNDER
Money Line: Kansas City -420 ML @ Bodog
Kansas City money line bettors were rewarded right out of the gate as the Chiefs defeated New England on opening night as +400 road pups. They paid their backers the following four weeks with wins over the Eagles, Rams, Redskins and Texans - though at much lower prices. The bottom fell out after that as a home win vs Denver in Week 8 was the only time they delivered a return over the next seven weeks. Back on track, the Chiefs closed their season on a 4-0 straight up roll.
Tennessee went 9-7 straight up during the regular season and, a little surprisingly, they were favorites during all nine victories. That is largely due to six of the wins coming on their home turf against less than stellar competition. The Titans were 3-5 on money lines away from home with the road wins coming against Jacksonville, Cleveland and Indianapolis. Taking a look at the prices on this contest, from CSB top rated online bookmakers, Kansas City is a massive money line favorite
Point Spread: Tennessee +9 (-120) ATS @ Bet365
Matching their actual won/loss record, Kansas City went 10-6 against the spread during the regular season. Profitable as favorites, which they were 13 times this year, the Chiefs went 8-5 as chalk and 2-1 as underdogs. During their eight games at Arrowhead Stadium, the site of this tilt with the Titans, Alex Smith & Crew were favorites in each match and they covered six times. The two losses were SU and ATS defeats versus Buffalo and Pittsburgh during their mid-season stumble.
Though they struggled on offense, Tennessee was chalk in 12 of their 16 regular season contests but most of them were relatively small prices. As favorites the Titans won six, lost five and posted a PUSH as -3 point favorites at home during a 23-20 win over Baltimore in Week 9. Marcus Mariota & Crew split their game as underdogs going 2-2 with wins over the Rams and 49ers and losses vs the Dolphins and Steelers. The Titans are -9 (-110) road dogs in their Wild Card clash with the Chiefs.
Totals: OVER 44.5 (-110) O/U @ SportsInteraction
Playing in some high scoring games, Kansas City contests totalled 41 or more points twelve times with the high being 76 during a 42-34 win on the road versus Houston in Week 5. Bookmakers underestimated the Chiefs games early as six of their first eight games went over the total line. Recognizing their somewhat suspect defense, linemakers moved the Chiefs game totals up during the second half but just two of the Chiefs final eight contests pushed past the number.
Split almost evenly, Tennessee contest were 9-7 in favour of the OVER. The Titans were tough to judge all season as their games had small runs OVER and UNDER throughout the campaign. After a low scoring Week 1 match, a 26-16 home loss to Oakland, seven of the Titans next nine games went OVER as the average final count was 48.1 PPG. Tennessee had trouble scoring late in the year as they managed to score just 18.6 PPG and four of their final six games stayed UNDER the line.
Titans at Chiefs Prediction
Despite being American Football Conference clubs, these teams are not too familiar with each other as they have met just three times during the past five seasons. Tennessee posted 19-17 and 28-10 victories on the road in 2016 and 2014 while the Chiefs won 26-17 in Music City back in 2013. While it bodes well for the Titans knowing that they can win in Missouri, both teams are vastly different since any of those clashes so we can't read much into their recent history.
We have to admit we are surprised that Kansas City is such a huge favorite in this AFC Wild Card contest. The Chiefs have protected their home turf well as they are 18-6 at Arrowhead Stadium over the past three seasons. After giving up 38 points to the lowly New York Jets in Week 13 – the KC defense closed strong as they allowed just 16.2 points over their final four contests. We like the Chiefs straight up, the Titans to cover the -9 and the total to go OVER the 44.5 line. These CSB top rated sporsbooks cover the race to Super Bowl LII every step of the way and are just a click away.
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