NFL Wild Card Weekend: Bills at Jaguars Odds, Picks, Live Score
AFC 2018 Wild Card Game Two Preview
Posting their first winning record, since they went 11-5 back in 2007, Jacksonville returns to the postseason for the first time in a decade as the Jaguars went 10-6 this season. Ending a 17-year playoff drought, Buffalo is back in the playoffs for the first time in the new millennium. The Bills last postseason appearance ended with a 22-16 Wild Card loss to Tennessee. Taking the tarps off the upper deck seating area, for the first time in years, EverBank Stadium will be rocking and loud.
Defense was the name of the game in Jacksonville as the Cats allowed the second least total yards (4578) and points per game (16.8) this season. The Jaguars were also one off the Steelers league leading 56 QB sacks and fifth best with a +10 Give/Take turnover ratio. QB Blake Bortles & Crew opened with a 3-3 before going 7-1 and then closing with a pair of losses. The Jaguars played their starters in all 16 games so the year-end losses to San Francisco and Tennessee are a slight concern
After a solid run of ten playoff appearances, over 12 years from 1988 to 1999, the Bills missed the postseason party 17 times. Served up a lot of losing football, they were partying like it was 1999 in Buffalo last weekend. Taking care of business, Buffalo posted a 22-16 Week 17 win in Miami and celebrated in the locker room when Cincinnati scored with 44 seconds left to beat Baltimore 31-27 which eliminated the Ravens. Unfortunately, we don’t see the celebration in Buffalo lasting very.
FINAL SCORE: Jacksonville Jaguars 26-13 Betting Results: Bills ATS & Jaguars S/U & UNDER
Moneyline: Jaguars -400 ML @ Bodog
Following a dreadful 22-74 stretch over six seasons - Jacksonville (10-6) won the AFC South for the first time since 1999. Underdogs in four of their first five games, and after alternating wins and losses over their first six contests, Jacksonville was chalk for ten straight weeks prior to closing as pups in Tennessee. As favorites, the Jags went 7-4 on the money line and 3-2 in contests when they were underdogs. Winning by a combined 225-136 count, the Jaguars were 6-2 at home.
Ending what was the longest current playoff drought in pro sports, the Bills had a strange season. Bolting out of the gate, Buffalo posted a 5-2 money line record. After two losses, Buffalo took a look at their future and didn’t like what they saw as QB Nathan Peterman tossed five INT during a 54-24 crushing on the road vs the Chargers. The Bills finished strong as they went 4-2 S/U and against the spread to clinch their playoff spot. Buffalo was bleak on the road with a 3-5 S/U record.
Point Spread: Jaguars -8.5 (-110) ATS @ SIA
Opening as -6 point pups in Houston, the Jacksonville defense showed signs of things to come as the Jaguars defeated the Texans 29-7. Dogs again in Week 2, at home against the Titans, the Jags were trounced 37-16 before beating Baltimore 44-7 as home pups. After a 23-20 road loss as favorites vs the Jets, the Jags were dogs for the last time until their season finally as they pummelled Pittsburgh 30-9 in the Steel City. Jacksonville was 8-8 overall ATS and 5-3 on their home turf.
Buffalo posted an overall 8-6-2 mark against the spread. The Bills were solid as favorites, with a 5-1-1 record, but fairly dismal at 3-5-1 as underdogs. Favorites twice on the road, which were a win in Miami and a loss in New York vs the Jets, Buffalo was 3-4-1 against the spread on the road. The other two victories away from Orchard Park were over Atlanta (W4) and Kansas City (W12). Buffalo failed to cover as big pups in New England (+10.5) and in Los Angeles (+6.5) vs the Chargers.
Totals: OVER 39 (-110) O/U @ Bet365
Allowing just 16.8 points per game, while scoring 26.1 PPG, the Jaguars totals hovered around 40 PTS all season. Their highest line was 43 during their Week 16 visit to San Francisco. The Jaguars game total ended split at 8-8 and 5-3 during home games. Jacksonville games resulted in 43 or more points being scored eight times and five of those were played at EverBank Stadium. The three home games that stayed under 40 points were against the Bengals, Chargers and Colts.
Buffalo battles, which had a 43.6 average game total, also ended in an 8-8 split. The Bills scored 18.6 points per game while giving up 22.4 PPG. Buffalo road games stayed UNDER the line five times with the three OVER matches being against the Chargers, Jets and Patriots. The Bills five low scoring road games averaged a 16-14 final count. A workhorse on offence, RB LeSean McCoy (1,586 TY 8 TD) is questionable with an ankle injury and that has helped keep the total low.
Bills at Jaguars Prediction
While the weather won’t be as cold as the Kansas City vs Tennessee tussle, hovering in the mid-50’s is cool for Florida though perfect for football. Buffalo posted a 28-21 win at home last season while Jacksonville won a close 34-31 fight at EverBank Field in 2015. The favorite lost both of those contests that went OVER their game totals. An injured McCoy, plus the arrival of RB Leonard Fournette (1,342 TY 10 TD) skews the recent history some. Recent breakouts by Jags WR Keelan Cole and Dede Westbrook do as well. Jacksonville scoring 34 points would not surprise us.
Much-maligned pivots are featured here as Tyrod Taylor is up against Blake Bortles. This may be Taylor’s last start in a Buffalo jersey while Bortles still hasn’t shaken the “journeyman” label. McCoy being hobbled is a even bigger blow as the Jaguars worst numbers were against the run as they gave up an average of 116.3 YPG. We’ve heard a few pundits say Jacksonville doesn’t deserve to be a two score favorite against anyone but we don’t see how the Bills get many points on offence. Lay the monster ATS line at any of these Canada Sports Betting top ranked online bookmakers.
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