Matthew Manouli | Thu 20/10/2016 - 04:49 EDT

NFL Week 7 Picks

NFL Week 7 Picks

It's NFL Week 7 and it kicks off on Thursday night with an NFC North matchup which will dictate the rest of the season for both teams. The Colts are also looking to bounce back after a disappointing loss to the Texans. Is their season over already? You'll find picks for these and many other games below.

NFL Odds Week 7

Results / FixturesNFL

We went 4-3-1 last week, putting us back into the positive at 19-18-1. Tom Brady delivered for New England in his homecoming as expected, the Chargers held on for a momentum changing win, the Falcons covered, and even though the public was on the Chiefs, the sharps were on them too, and we all won on that one.

Our disappointments were Philadelphia and Green Bay, which both lost outright, and Tennessee and Indianapolis, who both gave up late game TDs to give us a loss, and tough luck push respectively. We still had a winning week and will look to continue going forward.

Week 7 NFL Predictions

We have 8 picks for you this week. We start off with the Thursday night game and NFC North matchup between the Bears and Packers. Next, the Rams 'host' the Giants in London, Buffalo travels to Miami in an AFC East tussle, the Jets host the Ravens, San Diego takes on Atlanta, New Orleans against Andy Reid's post-bye Kansas City, Tampa Bay travels across the country to face San Francisco, and the Colts try to redeem themselves in an AFC South matchup against the Titans. Let's get into it!

New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams Prediction

BET LOS ANGELES RAMS +3 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONStarting off Sunday, we have the early game coming to you from London, England. This is the second of 3 games that will be played overseas. Both teams are 3-3, so both will be looking to procure a winning record. The Los Angeles Rams are coming off a 4th quarter loss to the Lions last week, but didn't play badly in the game. They will matchup well with the 2nd ranked passing offense of the New York Giants, as they are 3rd best in deep pass defense, but unfortunately are without two cornerbacks. They do have a high octane offense as of late, as Case Keenum is coming off a career high 321 yards and 2 TDs last week. It will be a long game for the 22nd ranked Giants' pass defense, averaging 266.8 passing yards allowed per game.

The Giants aren't doing that well this season ATS, so look for that to continue as well. They are sitting at 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5, and a worse 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 against NFC competition. Los Angeles is a staunch 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards in their last game. On paper, and taking into account that this isn't really a home game for the Rams, this game should be a PK. There's no room in London for two Beckhams. Take the Rams at +3.

Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins Prediction

BET BUFFALO BILLS -3 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONThis AFC East matchup is a must win for the Buffalo Bills if they want to stay in the hunt to win the division. The Patriots will be difficult to unseat after the return of Tom Brady. They will have a distinct advantage in their running game, as they are averaging 166.3 rushing yards per game, with 5.6 yards per carry, while the Miami Dolphins are pretty weak at defensing against the run, allowing an average of 147 yards per game, and 4.5 yards per carry. Both teams are coming off a win though, but look for the Bills to stay high and gain on the Patriots to keep things interesting. The trends are your friends for this one, favoring the Bills. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after a straight up and ATS win, as well as 4-0 ATS in their last 4 overall. The Bills are also 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 within their division. The Dolphins, on the other hand, are a surprising 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games, 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games overall, 1-9 ATS in their last 10 against divisional rivals, and a surprising 4-17 ATS in their last 21 against AFC opponents. If the Bills were coming off a loss, this game would be a different story, but coming off a win, look for them to ride the momentum. Take the Buffalo Bills at -3.

Baltimore Ravens @ New York Jets Prediction

BET BALTIMORE RAVENS PK AT SPORTSINTERACTIONThe New York Jets are proving to be a disappointment once again, sitting at 1-5 in their division. Things don't seem to be looking up either, as their starting QB Ryan Fitzpatrick will most likely be benched, leaving the door open for Geno Smith this Sunday. While their offense is average, it's their point production that is faltering, ranking them last in the league with only 15.8 per game. They are also second worst in turnovers, with 15 so far, which also prevents them from getting points on the board. On the other side, the Baltimore Ravens aren't without their own problems. Injured Joe Flacco might not get the nod, and could be replaced by backup Ryan Mallett. He's proven himself though on the big stage while filling in for Flacco for two games last season. If the Ravens will have any problems, it will be on defense, as their secondary is banged up or injured. Geno Smith, however, won't be the type of QB to be able to take advantage of this.

The Ravens matchup well against the Jets also, going 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games together. They are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against AFC opponents, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after a straight up or ATS loss. It's Week 7 and they have proven to be just as disappointing as ever. Take the Ravens as a pick.

San Diego Chargers @ Atlanta Falcons Prediction

BET ATLANTA FALCONS -6.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONIn what is sure to be a high scoring game, two high powered offenses are going to clash on Sunday afternoon. The San Diego Chargers are averaging 264 passing yards per game, which the Atlanta Falcons are averaging 329.5 passing yards per game, and a whopping 9.4 yards per completion. To add to that, both pass defenses are lackluster, with the Chargers allowing an average of 279.7 passing yards per game, and 285.3 passing yards per game for the Falcons. The score will be high, so that favors the Falcons and the high spread, and if the Chargers' decent rush defense can stop Devonta Freeman, Matt Ryan will be able to do what he's best at.

San Diego is covering the spread in most of their games, but they are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after winning straight up. The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 overall, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after an ATS win. No 4th quarter drama in this one. San Diego will fall behind early and not catch up. Atlanta should win this game by 10 or more. Take the Atlanta Falcons at -6.5.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ San Francisco 49ers Prediction

BET SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS +2.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONrem.The San Francisco 49ers are still looking for answers even after using Colin Kaepernick last week, in a fruitless attempt to generate more offense. They have an anemic pass offense, averaging 165.9 passing yards per game. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers who are averaging only 88.6 rushing yards per game, for 27th in the league, might have an easier time running the ball against the weak Niner rush defense, but if the opposite holds true, and the Bucs' weak runs make it easy for the 49ers weak rush defense to stop them, then it might be a long day for Tampa. They have a weak pass defense of their own, allowing 263.2 passing yards per game, so this could be Kaepernick's time to shine. 

That being said, Tampa Bay is traveling all the way across the country to face this western foe, and are only, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games, and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 against the NFC. Some interesting trends between these two teams also shows that not only do the Bucs hate traveling out West, they hate facing San Fran, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against them, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 in San Francisco. The home team is also 7-2 in the last 9 between these two teams. The line is low, but SF should pull out a small win. Take the San Francisco 49ers at +2.5.

Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans Prediction

BET TENNESSEE TITANS -2.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONHere come the Titans! The second place Tennessee Titans are looking to build on their momentum and put together their first 3-game winning streak since the 2011 season, and inch closer to the AFC South leading Texans. The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a disappointing loss in which they led 23-9, but ended up losing 26-23. It seems obvious enough to think that they didn't deserve to lose that game, and should bounce back easily, but look for this team to be disheartened by that result. I would even expect a similar meltdown to occur this week, giving the Titans the win. Andrew Luck likes to air out the ball, with 23 passes of 20 or more yards this year, tied for fourth in the league, and 39.5 pass attempts per game, also tied for fourth in the league. The Titans, however, are tied for 6th in interceptions, with 6, and 5th in sacks, with 18, a good counter to the Colts. 

The home team is also 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between these two teams, and the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7, which favors the Titans. Indianapolis is also 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 against divisional rivals. Tennessee is playing with a lot more confidence, and with a record of 3-3, still have a chance in this division. The Colts will lose another game they deserved to win this week. Take the Tennessee Titans at -2.5.

New Orleans Saints @ Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

BET NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +7 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONThe New Orleans Saints aren't who we thought they were. They are coming off a two game win streak with the second most potent offenses in the NFL, after Atlanta, with 414.4 yards per game. They have 335.4 passing yards per game. The Kansas City Chiefs' pass defense isn't anything spectacular, so this could be a major problem for them. They will have to exploit the Saints' defensive holes, which rank just above last place in the league, with 419.4 yards allowed per game, and 33.3 points allowed per game. They did do a good job last week in preventing the Carolina run, but they need to transition that defense to this week. Andy Reid's post-bye record is impressive, so it is most likely Kansas will win this game at home, but having a spread so high against such a good offense makes this a pick. 

Trends will also make this a play, as the Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after a straight up win, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after an ATS win. They are also surpriginsly 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a losing road record. The Saints' on the other hand, fly high and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after getting more than 30 points in their last game, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 30 or more points in their last game, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, and a startling 37-17-1 against a winning team. 7 is too much to give this Saints team that continues to impress. Kansas might win, but New Orleans covers. Take the New Orleans Saints at +7.

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Prediction

BET CHICAGO BEARS +9 AT BODOGWe'll end our list with the opening game for Week 7, a TNF NFC North matchup that will surely excite. The Chicago Bears are only sitting at 1-5, despite averaging 285 passing yards per game behind Brian Hoyer, who is the first QB in franchise history to throw for 4 consecutive 300-yard games. He will also get to pick apart the Green Bay Packers' defense, as their 3 best cornerbacks will be out. Defense isn't their only problem, as Aaron Rodgers is in a severe funk. The holder of the league's best pass rating is currently ranked 26th in completion percentage, and yards per attempt, and 20th in passer rating for the season. Running back Eddie Lacy could also be out with an ankle problem, and backup James Starks just had knee surgery, so newly acquired former Chief Knile Davis might have to play.

This divisional game could bring the best out of the Bears, as their stats show that they aren't a 1-5 team. They are ranked 7th in offense and 4th in passing offense, but are only putting up a mere 16.8 points per game. If their offense stays strong, it will be able to penetrate this weakened Green Bay side, plus getting 9 points should have this pick in the bag. Don't forget, the road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 games between these two, and the Packers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 home games, as well as 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after a double digit home loss. Take the Chicago Bears +9.

Category : NFL

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